Prediction 1023

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model 2025 sprint test - Sarima
Author Richard Elias Soares Viana
ADM 1 Roraima

Description:

2025 - Sarima - Preditores da picada


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2025-10-05 18.87 0.72 1.26 2.33 6.33 55.82 147.86 264.78 438.86
2025-10-12 22.37 0.81 1.43 2.67 7.37 67.55 182.29 330.10 552.45
2025-10-19 23.36 0.80 1.42 2.68 7.54 71.97 197.82 362.19 611.95
2025-10-26 21.33 0.67 1.22 2.35 6.74 67.08 187.76 347.51 592.69
2025-11-02 13.89 0.38 0.72 1.44 4.28 44.64 127.23 238.03 409.75
2025-11-09 17.93 0.48 0.91 1.81 5.43 58.67 170.12 321.57 558.58
2025-11-16 25.34 0.68 1.26 2.50 7.56 84.43 248.97 475.45 833.22
2025-11-23 23.20 0.57 1.09 2.20 6.78 78.78 236.28 455.82 805.86
2025-11-30 14.75 0.31 0.63 1.31 4.21 51.12 155.97 303.92 542.01
2025-12-07 14.33 0.28 0.57 1.23 4.01 50.59 156.92 308.80 555.41
2025-12-14 26.70 0.56 1.10 2.28 7.40 95.73 301.60 599.18 1086.71
2025-12-21 11.60 0.17 0.40 0.90 3.11 42.48 136.11 273.06 499.41
2026-01-04 15.46 0.25 0.54 1.19 4.10 57.53 187.16 379.00 698.80
2026-01-11 10.30 0.12 0.31 0.74 2.66 39.08 129.19 264.07 490.86
2026-01-18 12.13 0.15 0.36 0.85 3.09 46.77 156.98 323.80 606.68
2026-01-25 17.97 0.25 0.55 1.26 4.53 70.32 239.48 498.44 941.20
2026-02-01 22.07 0.31 0.67 1.52 5.49 87.77 303.34 636.99 1212.16
2026-02-08 21.04 0.27 0.61 1.40 5.15 85.06 298.39 632.16 1212.22
2026-02-15 13.52 0.13 0.34 0.84 3.23 55.65 198.18 423.58 818.47
2026-02-22 20.94 0.23 0.55 1.30 4.96 87.42 315.70 680.54 1324.80
2026-03-01 15.07 0.13 0.35 0.88 3.49 64.04 234.66 510.22 1000.65
2026-03-08 15.92 0.13 0.36 0.90 3.63 68.68 255.22 559.63 1105.61
2026-03-15 14.47 0.10 0.30 0.79 3.24 63.45 239.09 528.67 1052.05
2026-03-22 20.93 0.18 0.46 1.14 4.65 93.04 355.37 792.24 1587.86
2026-03-29 16.14 0.11 0.32 0.83 3.51 72.92 282.44 634.85 1281.49
2026-04-05 16.47 0.10 0.31 0.83 3.53 75.54 296.56 672.00 1366.06
2026-04-12 19.53 0.13 0.37 0.97 4.14 90.83 361.31 825.30 1689.38
2026-04-19 17.25 0.09 0.30 0.82 3.59 81.48 328.48 756.30 1558.84
2026-04-26 15.12 0.06 0.24 0.68 3.09 72.50 296.21 687.41 1426.56
2026-05-03 14.55 0.05 0.21 0.63 2.93 70.82 293.14 685.60 1432.48
2026-05-10 19.79 0.10 0.31 0.87 3.95 97.57 408.98 963.91 2027.46
2026-05-17 17.27 0.06 0.25 0.72 3.39 86.43 366.98 871.59 1845.51
2026-05-24 10.75 0.00 0.11 0.40 2.05 54.73 235.47 563.57 1201.24
2026-05-31 15.06 0.03 0.18 0.58 2.86 77.58 337.90 814.76 1747.97
2026-06-07 19.88 0.07 0.26 0.77 3.75 103.70 457.22 1110.67 2398.22
2026-06-14 17.77 0.04 0.21 0.66 3.29 94.03 419.76 1027.26 2232.42
2026-06-21 24.48 0.09 0.31 0.92 4.50 131.13 592.44 1460.48 3194.09
2026-06-28 24.07 0.08 0.30 0.89 4.40 129.76 589.66 1458.69 3199.80
2026-07-05 22.36 0.06 0.26 0.80 4.04 121.84 558.99 1390.70 3065.72
2026-07-12 27.29 0.09 0.33 0.98 4.89 150.29 696.50 1743.34 3863.43
2026-07-19 18.76 0.03 0.19 0.63 3.30 104.63 489.73 1233.02 2746.41
2026-07-26 26.61 0.08 0.30 0.91 4.66 149.80 707.83 1792.47 4012.63
2026-08-02 32.50 0.11 0.37 1.11 5.65 184.84 881.83 2246.01 5053.15
2026-08-09 16.67 0.00 0.14 0.51 2.83 96.07 462.92 1185.93 2681.54
2026-08-16 28.68 0.07 0.30 0.92 4.87 166.65 810.45 2087.99 4744.57
2026-08-23 22.43 0.03 0.20 0.68 3.75 131.81 647.21 1676.96 3829.41
2026-08-30 32.11 0.08 0.32 1.00 5.34 190.49 944.05 2459.85 5644.68
2026-09-06 33.67 0.09 0.33 1.03 5.55 201.80 1009.45 2645.05 6099.26
2026-09-13 31.90 0.07 0.30 0.95 5.20 193.22 975.64 2570.77 5956.71
2026-09-20 24.47 0.03 0.20 0.69 3.92 149.86 763.81 2023.84 4712.07
2026-09-27 16.68 0.00 0.10 0.43 2.62 103.35 531.76 1416.81 3314.56
2026-10-04 20.78 0.00 0.14 0.55 3.25 129.99 674.90 1808.04 4250.00
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