Prediction 1024

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model 2025 sprint test - Sarima
Author Richard Elias Soares Viana
ADM 1 Santa Catarina

Description:

2025 - Sarima - Preditores da picada


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2025-10-05 46.22 1.18 2.17 4.32 13.36 159.31 484.78 943.44 1680.75
2025-10-12 50.03 1.16 2.19 4.42 14.03 177.75 555.86 1099.59 1986.92
2025-10-19 39.40 0.81 1.58 3.27 10.71 144.23 463.19 930.96 1705.56
2025-10-26 37.10 0.69 1.37 2.90 9.79 139.81 460.87 940.86 1747.17
2025-11-02 55.97 1.00 1.97 4.19 14.39 216.84 733.06 1519.39 2858.92
2025-11-09 46.32 0.74 1.50 3.27 11.57 184.55 639.70 1345.86 2565.43
2025-11-16 51.66 0.77 1.57 3.47 12.56 211.44 751.01 1603.30 3095.13
2025-11-23 61.49 0.85 1.76 3.93 14.57 258.44 940.19 2036.17 3980.01
2025-11-30 62.57 0.80 1.68 3.81 14.44 269.93 1005.35 2208.15 4369.22
2025-12-07 76.76 0.92 1.95 4.46 17.29 339.72 1294.82 2883.56 5774.54
2025-12-14 92.10 1.04 2.21 5.12 20.23 417.96 1629.59 3678.77 7454.41
2025-12-21 133.63 1.44 3.05 7.12 28.67 621.51 2477.88 5669.10 11621.56
2026-01-04 171.27 1.74 3.71 8.73 35.88 816.18 3326.31 7711.02 15989.00
2026-01-11 149.18 1.39 3.03 7.25 30.49 728.27 3033.08 7123.04 14936.88
2026-01-18 116.30 0.99 2.20 5.38 23.20 581.50 2474.12 5885.06 12478.34
2026-01-25 128.57 1.02 2.30 5.69 25.06 658.00 2859.08 6886.89 14762.84
2026-02-01 135.69 1.01 2.30 5.75 25.85 710.61 3152.34 7688.08 16658.61
2026-02-08 171.59 1.21 2.77 6.98 31.97 919.15 4161.60 10274.44 22500.30
2026-02-15 222.08 1.49 3.42 8.68 40.48 1216.45 5619.82 14043.09 31077.11
2026-02-22 324.71 2.08 4.77 12.21 57.92 1818.15 8568.34 21667.64 48448.30
2026-03-01 421.97 2.56 5.90 15.25 73.67 2414.82 11606.06 29696.77 67082.34
2026-03-08 507.93 2.90 6.75 17.63 86.80 2970.03 14554.33 37675.85 85968.54
2026-03-15 736.92 3.99 9.33 24.60 123.31 4401.59 21987.15 57573.86 132686.36
2026-03-22 1049.03 5.38 12.66 33.69 171.90 6399.01 32576.44 86275.42 200799.07
2026-03-29 1560.56 7.58 17.94 48.21 250.50 9719.36 50415.61 135026.42 317334.87
2026-04-05 1860.22 8.52 20.35 55.28 292.53 11826.53 62492.99 169239.12 401584.33
2026-04-12 2733.55 11.84 28.49 78.19 421.23 17736.00 95452.47 261348.06 626074.82
2026-04-19 3525.33 14.42 35.01 97.07 532.44 23338.50 127901.77 354013.71 856078.41
2026-04-26 4166.83 16.09 39.43 110.49 616.92 28140.55 157009.41 439269.44 1072180.39
2026-05-03 4568.86 16.67 41.21 116.70 663.24 31470.20 178731.72 505382.96 1244970.72
2026-05-10 4896.42 16.88 42.11 120.51 697.05 34391.27 198784.04 568025.00 1412105.59
2026-05-17 4571.90 14.89 37.50 108.46 638.38 32738.71 192553.09 555978.70 1394696.74
2026-05-24 4286.61 13.19 33.54 98.05 587.19 31289.08 187225.03 546196.99 1382466.77
2026-05-31 4279.56 12.46 31.97 94.42 575.21 31835.52 193773.24 571102.71 1458365.36
2026-06-07 3660.84 10.07 26.11 77.92 482.88 27749.25 171780.81 511432.81 1317502.45
2026-06-14 2781.47 7.22 18.93 57.12 360.10 21479.85 135216.26 406626.87 1056658.48
2026-06-21 1975.15 4.83 12.82 39.13 251.01 15537.14 99443.79 302036.04 791660.54
2026-06-28 1383.93 2.93 8.01 25.14 168.13 11386.36 75881.23 236109.70 631974.77
2026-07-05 1153.82 2.25 6.26 19.97 136.70 9733.44 66341.57 209224.12 566589.67
2026-07-12 894.78 1.58 4.50 14.64 103.00 7767.36 54321.55 173975.48 477471.40
2026-07-19 516.11 0.80 2.39 7.99 57.84 4599.38 32932.97 106971.69 297192.58
2026-07-26 407.88 0.55 1.74 5.97 44.46 3735.57 27412.83 90359.48 254260.01
2026-08-02 254.70 0.28 0.98 3.51 27.02 2394.24 17984.45 60114.33 171213.94
2026-08-09 219.26 0.20 0.77 2.86 22.64 2116.30 16278.64 55191.13 159140.94
2026-08-16 135.72 0.07 0.41 1.64 13.62 1344.13 10579.49 36365.03 106113.94
2026-08-23 126.76 0.05 0.35 1.45 12.39 1288.04 10374.74 36157.22 106779.11
2026-08-30 80.75 0.00 0.17 0.84 7.67 841.72 6934.60 24496.40 73194.39
2026-09-06 99.99 0.00 0.21 1.01 9.28 1068.38 9002.29 32231.80 97439.58
2026-09-13 89.22 0.00 0.16 0.85 8.06 977.22 8418.43 30543.23 93401.72
2026-09-20 57.68 0.00 0.06 0.49 5.05 647.76 5704.75 20972.21 64870.53
2026-09-27 68.96 0.00 0.08 0.57 5.91 793.18 7138.63 26586.73 83169.26
2026-10-04 71.01 0.00 0.07 0.56 5.94 836.43 7691.88 29019.26 91800.44
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