Prediction 1025

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model 2025 sprint test - Sarima
Author Richard Elias Soares Viana
ADM 1 São Paulo

Description:

2025 - Sarima - Preditores da picada


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2025-10-05 246.70 25.35 36.57 55.78 112.83 539.27 1090.02 1660.86 2393.13
2025-10-12 240.65 22.46 32.91 51.10 106.49 543.65 1131.95 1755.62 2568.89
2025-10-19 255.04 21.70 32.28 50.98 109.34 594.74 1274.19 2010.29 2985.46
2025-10-26 243.78 18.97 28.62 45.97 101.35 586.17 1290.93 2070.59 3119.35
2025-11-02 265.90 18.98 29.04 47.40 107.32 658.57 1489.58 2427.64 3708.20
2025-11-09 263.44 17.29 26.82 44.46 103.31 671.49 1558.57 2579.66 3993.62
2025-11-16 288.38 17.46 27.43 46.16 109.99 755.82 1798.83 3022.35 4740.28
2025-11-23 325.34 18.21 28.98 49.47 120.77 876.09 2136.53 3642.49 5785.66
2025-11-30 353.25 18.31 29.50 51.09 127.73 976.66 2438.99 4217.64 6782.27
2025-12-07 431.90 20.79 33.89 59.50 152.21 1225.18 3131.22 5490.17 8935.26
2025-12-14 501.09 22.43 37.00 65.83 172.23 1457.56 3810.17 6771.52 11150.60
2025-12-21 615.26 25.66 42.80 77.16 206.36 1834.02 4901.20 8826.31 14701.63
2026-01-04 731.77 28.47 48.03 87.69 239.63 2234.24 6100.98 11129.75 18747.24
2026-01-11 690.10 25.07 42.76 79.08 220.73 2157.07 6016.05 11114.50 18928.03
2026-01-18 647.47 21.99 37.92 71.01 202.38 2070.94 5896.67 11029.77 18986.69
2026-01-25 1384.53 44.13 76.84 145.58 423.19 4529.20 13160.46 24917.54 43347.49
2026-02-01 1642.14 49.09 86.36 165.56 490.95 5492.11 16279.48 31192.67 54828.01
2026-02-08 2053.78 57.65 102.45 198.71 600.83 7019.73 21218.65 41135.28 73042.34
2026-02-15 2580.26 68.09 122.20 239.73 738.91 9009.55 27761.83 54442.91 97641.68
2026-02-22 3164.14 78.57 142.38 282.50 887.30 11282.71 35429.65 70270.42 127270.39
2026-03-01 3628.57 84.86 155.27 311.50 996.74 13208.86 42256.54 84748.56 154981.14
2026-03-08 4197.50 92.54 170.93 346.70 1129.82 15593.76 50807.43 103020.17 190193.00
2026-03-15 4689.91 97.56 181.89 372.91 1237.34 17775.41 58968.90 120865.45 225235.69
2026-03-22 5566.28 109.35 205.75 426.33 1439.88 21517.27 72660.98 150520.32 283095.39
2026-03-29 6311.66 117.19 222.50 465.89 1601.26 24877.62 85491.53 178963.86 339662.86
2026-04-05 6920.12 121.53 232.82 492.54 1722.30 27803.85 97210.45 205608.02 393742.85
2026-04-12 7656.87 127.28 246.00 525.75 1869.97 31351.28 111494.97 238235.34 460273.36
2026-04-19 7888.65 124.21 242.17 522.79 1890.95 32908.73 119015.96 256874.73 500630.44
2026-04-26 7925.42 118.28 232.60 507.16 1865.09 33676.79 123829.74 269929.36 530619.74
2026-05-03 7705.89 109.07 216.34 476.36 1780.74 33344.97 124633.32 274355.80 543923.50
2026-05-10 6796.56 91.29 182.62 406.03 1542.63 29943.31 113743.37 252818.42 505449.23
2026-05-17 6381.78 81.40 164.20 368.60 1423.00 28619.49 110465.48 247891.43 499725.89
2026-05-24 5804.75 70.35 143.09 324.27 1271.81 26492.50 103883.10 235333.41 478314.25
2026-05-31 5229.82 60.25 123.56 282.67 1126.14 24286.16 96729.70 221184.87 453214.62
2026-06-07 4131.75 45.26 93.60 216.14 874.54 19518.89 78951.35 182207.72 376352.43
2026-06-14 2902.79 30.24 63.06 147.00 604.06 13947.82 57285.06 133418.63 277770.35
2026-06-21 1595.63 15.78 33.23 78.23 326.48 7796.89 32510.02 76404.34 160321.66
2026-06-28 1242.16 11.46 24.42 58.24 248.30 6212.49 26451.35 62948.55 133529.06
2026-07-05 973.43 8.38 18.08 43.69 190.19 4980.57 21644.86 52145.20 111794.41
2026-07-12 697.47 5.58 12.21 29.92 133.13 3652.39 16207.26 39535.58 85682.83
2026-07-19 497.67 3.68 8.19 20.37 92.73 2669.16 12101.42 29901.77 65530.55
2026-07-26 365.63 2.49 5.63 14.26 66.45 2009.80 9315.62 23324.57 51705.87
2026-08-02 284.53 1.77 4.10 10.55 50.41 1603.83 7603.69 19297.16 43282.08
2026-08-09 225.45 1.28 3.03 7.94 38.92 1303.66 6323.83 16270.50 36929.86
2026-08-16 193.31 1.00 2.42 6.47 32.51 1146.91 5693.33 14851.96 34116.27
2026-08-23 175.05 0.82 2.04 5.57 28.69 1065.67 5413.82 14319.58 33290.45
2026-08-30 148.80 0.63 1.61 4.49 23.75 929.42 4831.89 12958.04 30487.99
2026-09-06 140.76 0.54 1.42 4.04 21.89 901.93 4797.79 13044.47 31059.01
2026-09-13 128.67 0.44 1.21 3.50 19.51 845.64 4602.00 12683.81 30559.32
2026-09-20 118.97 0.37 1.04 3.08 17.58 801.80 4463.01 12467.93 30393.05
2026-09-27 124.88 0.36 1.02 3.08 18.00 862.76 4910.71 13903.20 34286.96
2026-10-04 133.99 0.36 1.04 3.16 18.85 948.65 5520.18 15836.75 39505.79
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