Prediction 1026

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model 2025 sprint test - Sarima
Author Richard Elias Soares Viana
ADM 1 Sergipe

Description:

2025 - Sarima - Preditores da picada


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2025-10-05 18.99 1.08 1.75 2.99 7.22 49.64 117.67 197.19 308.52
2025-10-12 19.58 1.03 1.69 2.93 7.26 52.54 127.53 216.74 343.30
2025-10-19 18.12 0.87 1.45 2.58 6.54 49.92 123.99 213.65 342.48
2025-10-26 15.53 0.67 1.15 2.09 5.46 43.89 111.50 194.72 315.77
2025-11-02 15.28 0.61 1.06 1.96 5.24 44.24 114.89 203.30 333.45
2025-11-09 14.93 0.55 0.97 1.82 4.99 44.26 117.42 210.44 349.01
2025-11-16 17.04 0.59 1.06 2.00 5.57 51.69 140.01 254.08 425.97
2025-11-23 17.40 0.56 1.02 1.95 5.56 54.00 149.28 274.23 464.68
2025-11-30 15.32 0.44 0.83 1.63 4.78 48.65 137.25 255.18 436.93
2025-12-07 12.61 0.32 0.63 1.27 3.84 40.98 117.93 221.89 383.84
2025-12-14 14.56 0.36 0.70 1.42 4.34 48.30 141.70 269.69 471.23
2025-12-21 12.17 0.26 0.53 1.12 3.54 41.28 123.45 237.67 419.40
2026-01-04 9.31 0.16 0.36 0.80 2.63 32.29 98.44 191.66 341.53
2026-01-11 8.85 0.13 0.32 0.72 2.45 31.35 97.35 191.64 344.76
2026-01-18 4.41 0.01 0.10 0.30 1.16 16.06 50.88 101.29 183.98
2026-01-25 7.80 0.08 0.23 0.57 2.06 28.76 92.59 186.23 341.33
2026-02-01 10.51 0.13 0.33 0.77 2.75 39.47 129.22 262.60 485.66
2026-02-08 9.15 0.09 0.26 0.63 2.34 35.07 116.83 239.91 447.70
2026-02-15 9.91 0.10 0.27 0.66 2.49 38.68 131.06 271.87 511.84
2026-02-22 11.09 0.11 0.29 0.72 2.74 44.03 151.70 317.84 603.62
2026-03-01 12.39 0.12 0.32 0.79 3.01 50.09 175.41 371.16 710.94
2026-03-08 13.89 0.13 0.35 0.86 3.32 57.17 203.48 434.78 839.88
2026-03-15 15.28 0.14 0.37 0.92 3.59 63.96 231.32 499.04 972.12
2026-03-22 14.73 0.12 0.34 0.85 3.40 62.79 230.76 502.60 987.20
2026-03-29 18.85 0.17 0.44 1.08 4.29 81.68 304.85 670.23 1327.22
2026-04-05 20.30 0.18 0.45 1.13 4.55 89.50 339.23 752.79 1502.79
2026-04-12 19.35 0.15 0.41 1.03 4.25 86.77 334.02 748.07 1505.35
2026-04-19 22.91 0.18 0.47 1.20 4.97 104.45 408.15 922.43 1870.91
2026-04-26 28.07 0.23 0.57 1.44 6.00 130.02 515.70 1176.00 2403.86
2026-05-03 28.98 0.22 0.57 1.44 6.09 136.49 549.49 1264.26 2604.29
2026-05-10 26.07 0.18 0.48 1.24 5.38 124.81 509.93 1183.65 2456.95
2026-05-17 32.53 0.23 0.59 1.52 6.63 158.24 655.90 1535.77 3212.03
2026-05-24 33.47 0.23 0.59 1.52 6.71 165.42 695.62 1642.86 3461.83
2026-05-31 35.95 0.23 0.61 1.59 7.10 180.49 769.88 1833.84 3892.99
2026-06-07 33.30 0.20 0.53 1.42 6.46 169.87 734.92 1765.44 3775.40
2026-06-14 32.26 0.17 0.49 1.33 6.16 167.15 733.36 1776.53 3826.83
2026-06-21 32.40 0.16 0.47 1.29 6.09 170.50 758.49 1852.71 4019.77
2026-06-28 31.58 0.14 0.43 1.21 5.82 169.29 765.95 1889.93 4136.59
2026-07-05 29.55 0.12 0.38 1.09 5.35 161.25 741.12 1845.91 4073.28
2026-07-12 29.45 0.10 0.36 1.05 5.24 163.42 762.46 1916.25 4261.64
2026-07-19 30.78 0.10 0.36 1.06 5.39 173.67 822.69 2086.52 4677.08
2026-07-26 32.00 0.10 0.36 1.07 5.51 183.57 882.62 2258.56 5102.02
2026-08-02 30.45 0.08 0.32 0.98 5.15 177.58 866.61 2237.38 5093.28
2026-08-09 25.54 0.05 0.24 0.78 4.24 151.49 750.30 1954.17 4482.58
2026-08-16 26.23 0.04 0.23 0.77 4.28 158.11 794.52 2087.44 4824.57
2026-08-23 29.14 0.05 0.25 0.84 4.69 178.40 909.47 2410.11 5612.16
2026-08-30 28.10 0.04 0.23 0.78 4.45 174.81 903.95 2416.08 5667.94
2026-09-06 24.86 0.02 0.18 0.66 3.86 157.17 824.39 2222.19 5251.57
2026-09-13 21.55 0.00 0.13 0.54 3.28 138.50 736.79 2002.84 4767.83
2026-09-20 22.49 0.00 0.14 0.54 3.38 146.77 791.71 2170.14 5203.58
2026-09-27 20.71 0.00 0.11 0.48 3.05 137.30 750.96 2075.54 5012.57
2026-10-04 19.96 0.00 0.09 0.44 2.89 134.35 744.96 2075.91 5049.24
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