Prediction 1027

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model 2025 sprint test - Sarima
Author Richard Elias Soares Viana
ADM 1 Tocantins

Description:

2025 - Sarima - Preditores da picada


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2025-10-05 22.68 4.12 5.44 7.47 12.65 40.60 68.50 93.67 122.86
2025-10-12 21.58 3.73 4.96 6.87 11.83 39.27 67.28 92.83 122.72
2025-10-19 17.81 2.92 3.92 5.49 9.60 32.96 57.30 79.75 106.23
2025-10-26 20.59 3.23 4.37 6.17 10.93 38.71 68.24 95.78 128.52
2025-11-02 25.60 3.86 5.24 7.46 13.40 48.83 87.26 123.49 166.87
2025-11-09 27.43 3.95 5.42 7.77 14.14 53.11 96.19 137.23 186.75
2025-11-16 28.57 3.95 5.45 7.87 14.52 56.14 103.02 148.13 202.96
2025-11-23 39.59 5.27 7.31 10.64 19.85 78.88 146.61 212.43 293.01
2025-11-30 45.94 5.89 8.21 12.03 22.72 92.81 174.67 255.00 354.02
2025-12-07 66.83 8.26 11.58 17.07 32.61 136.84 260.72 383.44 535.78
2025-12-14 61.19 7.26 10.25 15.23 29.46 127.00 244.95 362.87 510.23
2025-12-21 77.12 8.82 12.52 18.73 36.65 162.19 316.56 472.31 668.25
2026-01-04 84.07 9.27 13.23 19.93 39.44 179.11 353.68 531.41 756.44
2026-01-11 58.93 6.23 8.96 13.60 27.27 127.19 254.12 384.48 550.60
2026-01-18 46.11 4.68 6.78 10.38 21.06 100.83 203.75 310.38 447.12
2026-01-25 73.93 7.28 10.59 16.29 33.38 163.59 334.25 512.55 742.62
2026-02-01 84.38 8.03 11.74 18.18 37.64 188.98 390.37 602.56 878.01
2026-02-08 112.96 10.40 15.29 23.81 49.80 256.03 534.59 830.52 1217.00
2026-02-15 127.82 11.38 16.82 26.35 55.70 293.16 618.67 967.28 1425.25
2026-02-22 134.95 11.62 17.26 27.21 58.13 313.15 667.85 1050.78 1556.77
2026-03-01 145.62 12.12 18.11 28.73 62.01 341.81 736.56 1166.08 1736.91
2026-03-08 154.12 12.42 18.64 29.75 64.89 365.90 796.58 1268.86 1900.09
2026-03-15 162.29 12.66 19.10 30.67 67.56 389.63 856.85 1373.13 2067.02
2026-03-22 157.85 11.91 18.08 29.21 64.99 383.20 851.18 1372.22 2076.39
2026-03-29 163.26 11.94 18.21 29.59 66.49 400.70 898.84 1457.62 2216.92
2026-04-05 159.03 11.26 17.27 28.23 64.06 394.57 893.76 1457.85 2228.52
2026-04-12 174.78 12.01 18.50 30.41 69.66 438.29 1002.38 1644.46 2526.33
2026-04-19 179.48 11.95 18.51 30.61 70.79 454.86 1050.21 1732.77 2675.18
2026-04-26 195.63 12.65 19.67 32.71 76.36 500.96 1167.57 1937.26 3005.51
2026-05-03 212.89 13.36 20.88 34.91 82.24 550.82 1295.75 2161.95 3370.33
2026-05-10 207.90 12.66 19.89 33.43 79.50 543.43 1290.19 2164.55 3390.53
2026-05-17 204.09 12.06 19.04 32.19 77.25 538.90 1291.15 2178.00 3427.77
2026-05-24 191.11 10.96 17.39 29.57 71.62 509.73 1232.31 2089.98 3304.67
2026-05-31 184.56 10.28 16.39 28.02 68.47 497.16 1212.71 2067.74 3284.68
2026-06-07 189.25 10.25 16.41 28.20 69.53 514.81 1266.88 2171.56 3465.43
2026-06-14 150.34 7.89 12.71 21.97 54.69 413.01 1025.31 1766.72 2832.22
2026-06-21 117.29 5.96 9.66 16.81 42.24 325.37 814.81 1411.32 2272.68
2026-06-28 93.66 4.53 7.42 13.02 33.21 263.83 669.80 1169.68 1896.98
2026-07-05 83.19 3.87 6.37 11.28 29.12 237.35 609.54 1071.77 1748.54
2026-07-12 66.54 2.96 4.92 8.78 22.98 192.33 499.70 884.75 1452.13
2026-07-19 55.15 2.34 3.94 7.09 18.79 161.46 424.27 756.29 1248.58
2026-07-26 48.19 1.96 3.32 6.04 16.21 142.88 379.73 681.49 1131.71
2026-08-02 38.14 1.47 2.53 4.65 12.66 114.52 307.76 555.99 928.62
2026-08-09 34.26 1.27 2.19 4.07 11.23 104.18 283.08 514.80 864.74
2026-08-16 37.29 1.33 2.32 4.34 12.08 114.73 315.12 576.77 974.28
2026-08-23 35.63 1.22 2.15 4.04 11.40 110.96 308.07 567.52 964.02
2026-08-30 26.10 0.84 1.50 2.87 8.23 82.28 230.91 428.11 731.23
2026-09-06 27.83 0.87 1.56 3.00 8.68 88.77 251.76 469.70 806.66
2026-09-13 21.83 0.63 1.17 2.28 6.71 70.49 202.06 379.34 655.01
2026-09-20 22.81 0.64 1.19 2.33 6.94 74.48 215.68 407.41 707.25
2026-09-27 19.32 0.51 0.96 1.92 5.80 63.86 186.86 355.15 619.81
2026-10-04 23.71 0.62 1.17 2.32 7.05 79.19 234.02 447.46 785.01
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