Prediction 1028
Model | 2025 sprint test - Sarima |
---|---|
Author | Richard Elias Soares Viana |
ADM 1 | Mato Grosso |
Description:
2025 - Sarima - Preditores da picada
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024-10-06 | 237.35 | 42.10 | 55.61 | 76.64 | 130.94 | 430.18 | 734.63 | 1011.93 | 1335.92 |
2024-10-13 | 271.39 | 45.29 | 60.41 | 84.20 | 146.59 | 502.34 | 874.27 | 1218.02 | 1623.90 |
2024-10-20 | 302.83 | 47.63 | 64.14 | 90.39 | 160.28 | 572.07 | 1014.05 | 1428.35 | 1922.53 |
2024-10-27 | 328.03 | 48.72 | 66.21 | 94.30 | 170.23 | 632.04 | 1140.43 | 1623.53 | 2205.48 |
2024-11-03 | 422.19 | 59.32 | 81.35 | 117.05 | 214.94 | 829.17 | 1522.14 | 2189.42 | 3000.95 |
2024-11-10 | 445.52 | 59.30 | 82.03 | 119.22 | 222.63 | 891.45 | 1664.15 | 2417.83 | 3343.02 |
2024-11-17 | 546.59 | 69.03 | 96.29 | 141.32 | 268.23 | 1113.69 | 2113.26 | 3100.51 | 4323.43 |
2024-11-24 | 645.13 | 77.40 | 108.86 | 161.29 | 311.04 | 1337.94 | 2579.53 | 3820.86 | 5372.13 |
2024-12-01 | 718.41 | 81.97 | 116.23 | 173.81 | 340.44 | 1515.88 | 2968.40 | 4437.96 | 6290.35 |
2024-12-08 | 619.71 | 67.31 | 96.20 | 145.18 | 288.74 | 1329.91 | 2644.13 | 3989.30 | 5699.22 |
2024-12-15 | 356.18 | 36.83 | 53.07 | 80.83 | 163.21 | 777.15 | 1568.33 | 2387.37 | 3437.11 |
2024-12-22 | 328.84 | 32.43 | 47.09 | 72.36 | 148.26 | 729.22 | 1493.21 | 2292.92 | 3326.18 |
2024-12-29 | 1301.87 | 122.85 | 179.59 | 278.18 | 577.88 | 2932.74 | 6091.30 | 9433.69 | 13786.45 |
2025-01-05 | 1389.08 | 125.29 | 184.49 | 288.17 | 607.08 | 3178.25 | 6694.30 | 10454.78 | 15390.12 |
2025-01-12 | 1708.91 | 147.47 | 218.68 | 344.40 | 735.55 | 3970.15 | 8477.95 | 13349.71 | 19792.32 |
2025-01-19 | 1877.56 | 155.12 | 231.64 | 367.77 | 796.11 | 4427.86 | 9583.84 | 15213.49 | 22714.15 |
2025-01-26 | 2161.29 | 171.08 | 257.24 | 411.66 | 903.02 | 5172.65 | 11345.39 | 18153.34 | 27290.68 |
2025-02-02 | 2366.08 | 179.57 | 271.84 | 438.43 | 974.36 | 5745.45 | 12767.19 | 20588.40 | 31161.72 |
2025-02-09 | 2465.75 | 179.54 | 273.61 | 444.68 | 1001.03 | 6073.47 | 13670.45 | 22215.00 | 33848.43 |
2025-02-16 | 2463.08 | 172.17 | 264.11 | 432.51 | 986.00 | 6152.66 | 14024.78 | 22963.80 | 35219.61 |
2025-02-23 | 2648.34 | 177.83 | 274.56 | 452.98 | 1045.61 | 6707.53 | 15481.05 | 25537.75 | 39421.11 |
2025-03-02 | 2504.26 | 161.62 | 251.13 | 417.39 | 975.34 | 6429.65 | 15022.79 | 24964.33 | 38782.03 |
2025-03-09 | 2614.13 | 162.25 | 253.70 | 424.72 | 1004.55 | 6802.47 | 16087.17 | 26927.16 | 42094.56 |
2025-03-16 | 2626.73 | 156.88 | 246.82 | 416.16 | 996.11 | 6926.39 | 16576.64 | 27945.11 | 43957.05 |
2025-03-23 | 2436.66 | 140.09 | 221.77 | 376.57 | 912.03 | 6509.72 | 15763.76 | 26762.43 | 42354.48 |
2025-03-30 | 2870.80 | 159.00 | 253.21 | 432.94 | 1060.77 | 7769.06 | 19032.93 | 32537.75 | 51805.68 |
2025-04-06 | 2907.45 | 155.18 | 248.60 | 427.99 | 1060.72 | 7969.03 | 19747.77 | 33992.07 | 54444.04 |
2025-04-13 | 3071.77 | 158.07 | 254.72 | 441.51 | 1106.68 | 8525.93 | 21368.21 | 37031.23 | 59661.12 |
2025-04-20 | 2982.07 | 148.01 | 239.90 | 418.61 | 1061.10 | 8380.38 | 21239.47 | 37055.17 | 60047.03 |
2025-04-27 | 3033.17 | 145.27 | 236.82 | 415.97 | 1066.11 | 8629.21 | 22112.99 | 38834.95 | 63292.91 |
2025-05-04 | 2884.94 | 133.38 | 218.67 | 386.63 | 1001.79 | 8307.68 | 21522.71 | 38046.04 | 62359.48 |
2025-05-11 | 2388.72 | 106.63 | 175.82 | 312.90 | 819.58 | 6961.74 | 18231.50 | 32436.95 | 53464.56 |
2025-05-18 | 1917.31 | 82.67 | 137.08 | 245.53 | 650.07 | 5654.53 | 14967.08 | 26799.62 | 44418.17 |
2025-05-25 | 1402.85 | 58.43 | 97.44 | 175.67 | 470.07 | 4186.15 | 11198.02 | 20177.94 | 33627.05 |
2025-06-01 | 1401.77 | 56.45 | 94.65 | 171.70 | 464.29 | 4231.75 | 11438.87 | 20741.18 | 34753.61 |
2025-06-08 | 1121.20 | 43.65 | 73.59 | 134.35 | 367.11 | 3423.90 | 9351.34 | 17061.25 | 28741.37 |
2025-06-15 | 1065.86 | 40.14 | 68.04 | 124.99 | 345.04 | 3292.13 | 9083.91 | 16675.13 | 28240.49 |
2025-06-22 | 899.05 | 31.59 | 54.17 | 100.79 | 284.25 | 2843.15 | 8013.25 | 14897.65 | 25509.52 |
2025-06-29 | 736.65 | 24.50 | 42.39 | 79.69 | 228.58 | 2373.52 | 6803.01 | 12775.49 | 22067.34 |
2025-07-06 | 596.95 | 18.80 | 32.83 | 62.35 | 181.85 | 1959.00 | 5708.32 | 10826.09 | 18860.90 |
2025-07-13 | 538.95 | 16.05 | 28.28 | 54.28 | 161.08 | 1802.64 | 5343.37 | 10238.27 | 17995.97 |
2025-07-20 | 450.45 | 12.64 | 22.51 | 43.68 | 131.99 | 1536.66 | 4636.47 | 8978.59 | 15927.73 |
2025-07-27 | 429.16 | 11.35 | 20.41 | 40.05 | 123.24 | 1493.80 | 4589.54 | 8984.58 | 16088.93 |
2025-08-03 | 383.68 | 9.55 | 17.35 | 34.44 | 107.96 | 1362.89 | 4264.53 | 8440.10 | 15257.90 |
2025-08-10 | 364.82 | 8.55 | 15.69 | 31.50 | 100.59 | 1322.47 | 4214.28 | 8432.22 | 15388.72 |
2025-08-17 | 328.14 | 7.24 | 13.42 | 27.26 | 88.66 | 1213.71 | 3938.46 | 7966.30 | 14675.83 |
2025-08-24 | 278.78 | 5.79 | 10.85 | 22.28 | 73.83 | 1051.97 | 3475.44 | 7105.62 | 13212.73 |
2025-08-31 | 277.60 | 5.44 | 10.29 | 21.36 | 72.08 | 1068.34 | 3592.62 | 7423.53 | 13931.45 |
2025-09-07 | 273.22 | 5.05 | 9.65 | 20.26 | 69.57 | 1072.11 | 3668.96 | 7661.07 | 14508.40 |
2025-09-14 | 260.14 | 4.54 | 8.76 | 18.59 | 64.98 | 1040.59 | 3623.09 | 7643.87 | 14606.15 |
2025-09-21 | 269.23 | 4.44 | 8.66 | 18.56 | 65.99 | 1097.53 | 3887.02 | 8284.75 | 15971.38 |
2025-09-28 | 274.40 | 4.28 | 8.43 | 18.26 | 66.01 | 1139.70 | 4104.80 | 8837.40 | 17186.13 |