Prediction 1028

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1

Model 2025 sprint test - Sarima
Author Richard Elias Soares Viana
ADM 1 Mato Grosso

Description:

2025 - Sarima - Preditores da picada


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 237.35 42.10 55.61 76.64 130.94 430.18 734.63 1011.93 1335.92
2024-10-13 271.39 45.29 60.41 84.20 146.59 502.34 874.27 1218.02 1623.90
2024-10-20 302.83 47.63 64.14 90.39 160.28 572.07 1014.05 1428.35 1922.53
2024-10-27 328.03 48.72 66.21 94.30 170.23 632.04 1140.43 1623.53 2205.48
2024-11-03 422.19 59.32 81.35 117.05 214.94 829.17 1522.14 2189.42 3000.95
2024-11-10 445.52 59.30 82.03 119.22 222.63 891.45 1664.15 2417.83 3343.02
2024-11-17 546.59 69.03 96.29 141.32 268.23 1113.69 2113.26 3100.51 4323.43
2024-11-24 645.13 77.40 108.86 161.29 311.04 1337.94 2579.53 3820.86 5372.13
2024-12-01 718.41 81.97 116.23 173.81 340.44 1515.88 2968.40 4437.96 6290.35
2024-12-08 619.71 67.31 96.20 145.18 288.74 1329.91 2644.13 3989.30 5699.22
2024-12-15 356.18 36.83 53.07 80.83 163.21 777.15 1568.33 2387.37 3437.11
2024-12-22 328.84 32.43 47.09 72.36 148.26 729.22 1493.21 2292.92 3326.18
2024-12-29 1301.87 122.85 179.59 278.18 577.88 2932.74 6091.30 9433.69 13786.45
2025-01-05 1389.08 125.29 184.49 288.17 607.08 3178.25 6694.30 10454.78 15390.12
2025-01-12 1708.91 147.47 218.68 344.40 735.55 3970.15 8477.95 13349.71 19792.32
2025-01-19 1877.56 155.12 231.64 367.77 796.11 4427.86 9583.84 15213.49 22714.15
2025-01-26 2161.29 171.08 257.24 411.66 903.02 5172.65 11345.39 18153.34 27290.68
2025-02-02 2366.08 179.57 271.84 438.43 974.36 5745.45 12767.19 20588.40 31161.72
2025-02-09 2465.75 179.54 273.61 444.68 1001.03 6073.47 13670.45 22215.00 33848.43
2025-02-16 2463.08 172.17 264.11 432.51 986.00 6152.66 14024.78 22963.80 35219.61
2025-02-23 2648.34 177.83 274.56 452.98 1045.61 6707.53 15481.05 25537.75 39421.11
2025-03-02 2504.26 161.62 251.13 417.39 975.34 6429.65 15022.79 24964.33 38782.03
2025-03-09 2614.13 162.25 253.70 424.72 1004.55 6802.47 16087.17 26927.16 42094.56
2025-03-16 2626.73 156.88 246.82 416.16 996.11 6926.39 16576.64 27945.11 43957.05
2025-03-23 2436.66 140.09 221.77 376.57 912.03 6509.72 15763.76 26762.43 42354.48
2025-03-30 2870.80 159.00 253.21 432.94 1060.77 7769.06 19032.93 32537.75 51805.68
2025-04-06 2907.45 155.18 248.60 427.99 1060.72 7969.03 19747.77 33992.07 54444.04
2025-04-13 3071.77 158.07 254.72 441.51 1106.68 8525.93 21368.21 37031.23 59661.12
2025-04-20 2982.07 148.01 239.90 418.61 1061.10 8380.38 21239.47 37055.17 60047.03
2025-04-27 3033.17 145.27 236.82 415.97 1066.11 8629.21 22112.99 38834.95 63292.91
2025-05-04 2884.94 133.38 218.67 386.63 1001.79 8307.68 21522.71 38046.04 62359.48
2025-05-11 2388.72 106.63 175.82 312.90 819.58 6961.74 18231.50 32436.95 53464.56
2025-05-18 1917.31 82.67 137.08 245.53 650.07 5654.53 14967.08 26799.62 44418.17
2025-05-25 1402.85 58.43 97.44 175.67 470.07 4186.15 11198.02 20177.94 33627.05
2025-06-01 1401.77 56.45 94.65 171.70 464.29 4231.75 11438.87 20741.18 34753.61
2025-06-08 1121.20 43.65 73.59 134.35 367.11 3423.90 9351.34 17061.25 28741.37
2025-06-15 1065.86 40.14 68.04 124.99 345.04 3292.13 9083.91 16675.13 28240.49
2025-06-22 899.05 31.59 54.17 100.79 284.25 2843.15 8013.25 14897.65 25509.52
2025-06-29 736.65 24.50 42.39 79.69 228.58 2373.52 6803.01 12775.49 22067.34
2025-07-06 596.95 18.80 32.83 62.35 181.85 1959.00 5708.32 10826.09 18860.90
2025-07-13 538.95 16.05 28.28 54.28 161.08 1802.64 5343.37 10238.27 17995.97
2025-07-20 450.45 12.64 22.51 43.68 131.99 1536.66 4636.47 8978.59 15927.73
2025-07-27 429.16 11.35 20.41 40.05 123.24 1493.80 4589.54 8984.58 16088.93
2025-08-03 383.68 9.55 17.35 34.44 107.96 1362.89 4264.53 8440.10 15257.90
2025-08-10 364.82 8.55 15.69 31.50 100.59 1322.47 4214.28 8432.22 15388.72
2025-08-17 328.14 7.24 13.42 27.26 88.66 1213.71 3938.46 7966.30 14675.83
2025-08-24 278.78 5.79 10.85 22.28 73.83 1051.97 3475.44 7105.62 13212.73
2025-08-31 277.60 5.44 10.29 21.36 72.08 1068.34 3592.62 7423.53 13931.45
2025-09-07 273.22 5.05 9.65 20.26 69.57 1072.11 3668.96 7661.07 14508.40
2025-09-14 260.14 4.54 8.76 18.59 64.98 1040.59 3623.09 7643.87 14606.15
2025-09-21 269.23 4.44 8.66 18.56 65.99 1097.53 3887.02 8284.75 15971.38
2025-09-28 274.40 4.28 8.43 18.26 66.01 1139.70 4104.80 8837.40 17186.13
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