Prediction 1029

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model 2025 sprint test - Sarima
Author Richard Elias Soares Viana
ADM 1 Mato Grosso do Sul

Description:

2025 - Sarima - Preditores da picada


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 82.40 7.81 11.43 17.70 36.71 184.82 382.25 590.45 860.92
2024-10-13 103.61 9.11 13.49 21.19 44.97 238.55 505.14 791.38 1168.13
2024-10-20 105.83 8.63 12.94 20.62 44.78 249.95 541.57 860.18 1284.89
2024-10-27 120.76 9.17 13.91 22.45 49.85 292.33 647.68 1042.53 1575.39
2024-11-03 128.47 9.10 13.95 22.81 51.77 318.59 721.34 1176.27 1797.63
2024-11-10 153.59 10.17 15.76 26.09 60.46 389.91 901.64 1489.01 2300.68
2024-11-17 171.90 10.65 16.69 27.97 66.14 446.52 1054.07 1762.37 2752.36
2024-11-24 178.34 10.35 16.39 27.80 67.10 473.72 1141.05 1930.94 3047.35
2024-12-01 188.76 10.28 16.44 28.23 69.48 512.49 1259.00 2155.82 3437.23
2024-12-08 149.69 7.63 12.35 21.47 53.92 415.26 1040.03 1801.57 2901.32
2024-12-15 101.58 4.84 7.93 13.97 35.81 287.84 734.72 1287.19 2093.40
2024-12-22 70.47 3.13 5.20 9.29 24.31 203.90 530.22 939.30 1542.39
2024-12-29 284.12 12.16 20.23 36.30 96.26 838.24 2219.25 3974.19 6587.52
2025-01-05 383.23 15.51 26.02 47.18 127.31 1153.23 3108.11 5625.66 9411.67
2025-01-12 462.42 17.70 29.95 54.87 150.66 1418.86 3891.57 7117.95 12017.07
2025-01-19 573.83 20.79 35.49 65.68 183.43 1794.67 5007.80 9254.51 15764.48
2025-01-26 641.03 22.00 37.88 70.80 201.10 2042.89 5797.82 10823.65 18600.27
2025-02-02 766.80 24.95 43.32 81.77 236.15 2489.37 7183.67 13545.28 23479.63
2025-02-09 865.79 26.72 46.79 89.19 261.82 2862.42 8396.87 15989.12 27952.95
2025-02-16 918.50 26.91 47.51 91.45 272.82 3091.74 9217.38 17722.14 31243.80
2025-02-23 1154.91 32.16 57.24 111.20 337.04 3956.87 11985.97 23266.03 41358.16
2025-03-02 1317.46 34.88 62.58 122.72 377.84 4593.20 14133.75 27694.16 49632.65
2025-03-09 1429.71 36.00 65.13 128.90 403.03 5071.03 15847.63 31341.57 56622.86
2025-03-16 1521.54 36.47 66.50 132.83 421.70 5489.15 17418.45 34764.63 63307.24
2025-03-23 1505.17 34.36 63.15 127.28 410.23 5521.87 17788.55 35825.20 65751.30
2025-03-30 1540.46 33.51 62.07 126.23 412.96 5745.60 18786.94 38174.56 70606.80
2025-04-06 1594.75 33.08 61.75 126.68 420.59 6046.08 20062.29 41126.36 76649.21
2025-04-13 1463.16 28.95 54.45 112.71 379.70 5637.46 18980.15 39247.80 73701.72
2025-04-20 1469.98 27.76 52.62 109.85 375.43 5754.78 19655.29 40994.55 77557.64
2025-04-27 1523.67 27.49 52.48 110.50 383.06 6059.75 20992.68 44157.29 84158.79
2025-05-04 1326.91 22.86 43.98 93.41 328.42 5360.19 18831.56 39945.45 76687.95
2025-05-11 973.12 16.00 31.04 66.50 237.15 3992.18 14221.45 30418.04 58819.16
2025-05-18 687.94 10.79 21.11 45.64 165.09 2865.69 10349.69 22319.40 43467.46
2025-05-25 554.59 8.30 16.38 35.73 131.08 2345.37 8586.37 18667.86 36613.21
2025-06-01 446.75 6.38 12.70 27.96 104.01 1917.82 7116.16 15596.38 30803.27
2025-06-08 427.23 5.84 11.71 25.99 98.00 1861.36 6999.15 15462.55 30750.54
2025-06-15 336.24 4.38 8.87 19.87 75.99 1486.57 5664.00 12611.98 25253.65
2025-06-22 309.38 3.74 7.67 17.44 68.22 1401.85 5460.53 12320.71 24954.95
2025-06-29 280.44 3.16 6.57 15.13 60.44 1299.84 5167.43 11802.42 24159.33
2025-07-06 242.99 2.54 5.37 12.54 51.18 1152.21 4675.25 10809.84 22363.78
2025-07-13 215.32 2.09 4.48 10.63 44.33 1044.40 4324.99 10122.60 21164.50
2025-07-20 153.97 1.37 3.00 7.25 30.97 763.92 3228.22 7647.69 16158.72
2025-07-27 161.17 1.34 2.98 7.28 31.70 817.66 3525.32 8452.39 18045.94
2025-08-03 151.31 1.17 2.64 6.54 29.11 784.79 3451.55 8374.58 18065.29
2025-08-10 133.04 0.95 2.18 5.50 25.03 705.37 3163.98 7767.82 16928.50
2025-08-17 116.02 0.76 1.79 4.59 21.35 628.64 2875.32 7141.93 15722.67
2025-08-24 109.28 0.66 1.59 4.14 19.67 604.96 2820.84 7087.88 15760.54
2025-08-31 105.84 0.59 1.45 3.85 18.65 598.50 2844.43 7229.15 16234.49
2025-09-07 110.52 0.58 1.44 3.86 19.07 638.14 3090.52 7943.68 18014.52
2025-09-14 120.63 0.60 1.50 4.05 20.40 711.04 3508.31 9118.71 20880.32
2025-09-21 114.84 0.53 1.35 3.70 19.02 690.98 3472.85 9126.71 21099.65
2025-09-28 117.05 0.50 1.30 3.63 18.99 718.66 3678.43 9773.08 22808.92
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