Prediction 1030

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model 2025 sprint test - Sarima
Author Richard Elias Soares Viana
ADM 1 Minas Gerais

Description:

2025 - Sarima - Preditores da picada


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 1628.82 223.82 307.96 444.93 822.75 3224.53 5962.16 8612.99 11849.83
2024-10-13 1875.63 239.95 333.98 488.96 924.40 3805.60 7194.09 10531.26 14656.49
2024-10-20 2207.00 263.50 370.86 549.93 1062.16 4585.69 8856.28 13131.61 18479.59
2024-10-27 2447.63 273.32 388.83 583.78 1151.15 5204.16 10261.25 15404.76 21913.04
2024-11-03 3142.79 328.89 472.79 718.43 1445.43 6833.22 13747.10 20887.88 30024.59
2024-11-10 3355.84 329.70 478.79 736.11 1510.24 7456.71 15297.70 23517.54 34149.40
2024-11-17 4147.04 383.15 561.94 873.83 1827.25 9411.72 19679.56 30600.54 44875.78
2024-11-24 4835.88 420.82 623.15 979.84 2087.29 11203.70 23865.33 37523.63 55561.18
2024-12-01 5180.56 425.20 635.59 1010.30 2191.51 12246.26 26562.97 42220.37 63106.23
2024-12-08 5321.03 412.47 622.25 999.63 2207.10 12828.13 28321.99 45495.63 68629.39
2024-12-15 3689.84 270.44 411.69 668.28 1501.32 9068.41 20370.96 33064.17 50327.02
2024-12-22 2008.83 139.35 214.03 351.00 802.07 5030.98 11494.68 18847.30 28941.05
2024-12-29 11027.81 725.42 1123.63 1860.82 4322.87 28132.17 65351.74 108224.45 167623.29
2025-01-05 13357.74 833.69 1302.27 2177.80 5142.29 34698.17 81928.40 137004.97 214001.74
2025-01-12 17161.77 1017.25 1602.23 2705.16 6490.42 45378.36 108872.75 183812.84 289507.96
2025-01-19 20548.17 1157.79 1838.51 3133.38 7636.76 55288.52 134748.29 229646.68 364656.44
2025-01-26 25157.46 1348.64 2158.79 3713.34 9190.92 68860.86 170435.71 293161.63 469254.66
2025-02-02 28659.61 1462.96 2360.29 4096.96 10295.41 79780.22 200480.02 347984.69 561411.27
2025-02-09 31613.97 1537.86 2500.43 4379.14 11169.96 89475.68 228224.29 399695.77 649852.36
2025-02-16 37357.21 1733.08 2839.40 5016.70 12985.52 107470.22 278179.01 491484.51 805204.78
2025-02-23 48081.79 2128.86 3514.09 6262.72 16446.97 140564.06 369141.44 657866.82 1085914.14
2025-03-02 54418.37 2301.07 3826.55 6878.00 18322.04 161627.86 430550.70 773880.13 1286897.80
2025-03-09 62638.98 2531.24 4240.11 7685.68 20763.22 188970.41 510508.18 925343.97 1550030.88
2025-03-16 71837.58 2776.00 4683.66 8560.32 23448.65 220082.11 602850.20 1101818.64 1858959.42
2025-03-23 69830.31 2581.97 4387.31 8084.52 22450.02 217205.28 603155.45 1111428.05 1888519.37
2025-03-30 75734.01 2680.97 4587.53 8521.96 23985.98 239124.26 673036.12 1250244.54 2139314.76
2025-04-06 78183.24 2651.26 4568.13 8553.80 24398.19 250535.29 714601.94 1338074.20 2305475.17
2025-04-13 70894.45 2304.19 3997.33 7544.09 21802.88 230520.52 666212.72 1257317.52 2181162.99
2025-04-20 63740.52 1986.62 3469.72 6599.44 19322.03 210270.08 615628.95 1170914.89 2045008.58
2025-04-27 62502.81 1869.01 3286.12 6298.40 18678.71 209146.72 620245.33 1188786.17 2090091.30
2025-05-04 53716.24 1541.83 2728.78 5270.01 15828.33 182294.98 547511.28 1057373.42 1871319.23
2025-05-11 40394.39 1113.44 1983.49 3859.52 11738.22 139007.46 422765.65 822607.24 1465336.72
2025-05-18 28114.13 744.52 1334.87 2616.79 8057.94 98089.45 302041.39 592080.19 1061498.45
2025-05-25 21432.56 545.52 984.36 1943.90 6059.78 75803.15 236295.44 466611.61 841894.84
2025-06-01 16243.27 397.54 721.88 1435.98 4531.09 58228.99 183727.64 365449.03 663533.92
2025-06-08 11724.60 276.01 504.36 1010.55 3227.26 42594.68 136020.03 272504.98 497870.28
2025-06-15 9298.32 210.64 387.30 781.56 2525.84 34228.99 110611.55 223182.11 410278.63
2025-06-22 6873.69 146.16 271.51 554.37 1827.06 25859.14 85214.00 173960.62 323055.81
2025-06-29 5142.43 102.96 193.15 398.80 1339.00 19748.66 66295.52 136848.95 256593.88
2025-07-06 4390.84 82.72 156.72 327.26 1119.68 17217.89 58895.65 122948.10 232787.95
2025-07-13 3686.37 65.24 124.86 263.79 920.12 14768.11 51498.14 108751.50 207976.87
2025-07-20 3228.50 53.61 103.67 221.64 788.44 13219.00 47009.93 100446.45 194061.31
2025-07-27 2761.03 42.99 84.01 181.76 659.58 11556.72 41921.18 90642.06 176930.25
2025-08-03 2810.29 41.03 81.03 177.41 656.70 12025.26 44495.47 97358.15 192008.46
2025-08-10 2491.90 34.12 68.08 150.86 569.64 10899.80 41136.59 91080.31 181480.70
2025-08-17 2363.22 30.36 61.21 137.26 528.56 10564.77 40662.25 91093.48 183365.01
2025-08-24 2085.20 25.14 51.23 116.23 456.41 9525.27 37380.43 84720.50 172264.70
2025-08-31 2361.80 26.77 55.09 126.43 506.05 11021.43 44090.36 101083.05 207593.95
2025-09-07 2650.36 28.26 58.73 136.31 556.04 12631.36 51498.36 119414.83 247668.53
2025-09-14 2599.61 26.09 54.75 128.51 534.16 12650.10 52550.11 123227.49 258073.52
2025-09-21 2534.08 23.95 50.75 120.47 510.10 12587.34 53265.83 126296.49 267053.26
2025-09-28 2780.90 24.78 53.01 127.20 548.54 14096.65 60752.78 145632.42 310873.66
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