Prediction 1032

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model 2025 sprint test - Sarima
Author Richard Elias Soares Viana
ADM 1 Paraíba

Description:

2025 - Sarima - Preditores da picada


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 65.96 8.08 11.34 16.75 32.09 135.47 258.82 381.27 533.49
2024-10-13 68.43 7.83 11.12 16.63 32.53 143.83 280.58 418.49 591.94
2024-10-20 59.10 6.32 9.08 13.75 27.46 127.07 252.94 381.87 545.83
2024-10-27 56.80 5.69 8.26 12.67 25.82 124.81 253.39 387.06 558.91
2024-11-03 58.47 5.51 8.07 12.53 26.02 131.22 271.52 419.52 611.82
2024-11-10 57.42 5.08 7.53 11.82 25.03 131.57 277.36 433.34 638.10
2024-11-17 55.12 4.59 6.88 10.92 23.54 128.88 276.66 436.97 649.54
2024-11-24 52.46 4.12 6.23 10.00 21.96 125.10 273.36 436.36 654.62
2024-12-01 53.91 4.00 6.11 9.91 22.14 131.07 291.40 470.01 711.47
2024-12-08 44.48 3.10 4.79 7.87 17.92 110.23 249.28 406.18 620.30
2024-12-15 36.18 2.37 3.71 6.16 14.29 91.36 210.09 345.76 532.61
2024-12-22 26.15 1.60 2.54 4.28 10.13 67.29 157.32 261.47 406.20
2024-12-29 49.79 2.96 4.70 7.95 19.00 130.27 309.34 518.99 812.93
2025-01-05 56.82 3.22 5.14 8.78 21.31 151.24 364.81 617.83 975.65
2025-01-12 64.29 3.47 5.59 9.62 23.71 174.07 426.37 728.75 1160.07
2025-01-19 72.80 3.75 6.08 10.56 26.40 200.42 498.40 859.63 1379.21
2025-01-26 91.25 4.50 7.34 12.84 32.56 255.36 644.51 1121.58 1813.44
2025-02-02 102.41 4.82 7.92 13.98 35.96 291.30 746.07 1309.75 2133.87
2025-02-09 130.49 5.89 9.73 17.30 45.11 377.12 979.88 1735.12 2848.14
2025-02-16 164.39 7.10 11.81 21.17 55.95 482.60 1271.91 2271.47 3756.17
2025-02-23 202.20 8.37 14.00 25.30 67.77 602.89 1611.32 2901.85 4833.63
2025-03-02 220.33 8.72 14.70 26.78 72.72 667.10 1807.75 3282.67 5507.34
2025-03-09 232.61 8.81 14.96 27.47 75.63 715.02 1964.21 3596.00 6075.88
2025-03-16 232.20 8.42 14.39 26.65 74.37 724.52 2017.27 3723.00 6334.56
2025-03-23 233.22 8.10 13.94 26.02 73.60 738.54 2083.79 3876.46 6641.30
2025-03-30 267.27 8.90 15.43 29.02 83.14 858.75 2454.93 4602.85 7939.64
2025-04-06 282.19 9.02 15.73 29.81 86.53 919.82 2663.78 5033.30 8740.70
2025-04-13 310.28 9.52 16.71 31.91 93.80 1025.85 3009.08 5729.46 10015.94
2025-04-20 280.54 8.25 14.59 28.08 83.62 940.65 2794.29 5360.91 9433.39
2025-04-27 290.31 8.20 14.60 28.31 85.34 987.04 2968.98 5738.83 10164.14
2025-05-04 312.18 8.47 15.18 29.66 90.52 1076.05 3276.95 6381.15 11374.51
2025-05-11 301.31 7.85 14.17 27.89 86.18 1052.78 3245.54 6366.39 11420.44
2025-05-18 281.22 7.04 12.79 25.37 79.36 995.92 3107.61 6140.12 11083.92
2025-05-25 261.95 6.30 11.52 23.03 72.94 940.09 2968.74 5907.89 10731.16
2025-06-01 252.78 5.84 10.76 21.67 69.46 919.21 2937.40 5887.11 10759.36
2025-06-08 235.69 5.24 9.71 19.70 63.92 868.32 2807.52 5666.44 10419.27
2025-06-15 212.58 4.54 8.48 17.33 56.90 793.38 2595.18 5274.38 9757.00
2025-06-22 217.97 4.39 8.28 17.12 57.22 829.56 2761.71 5672.29 10589.40
2025-06-29 212.10 4.05 7.71 16.10 54.70 821.64 2779.27 5763.00 10848.05
2025-07-06 196.83 3.56 6.84 14.43 49.85 776.34 2668.88 5587.97 10607.30
2025-07-13 172.19 2.93 5.70 12.17 42.79 692.00 2419.28 5116.61 9797.67
2025-07-20 153.81 2.46 4.85 10.47 37.50 630.00 2240.40 4786.87 9247.71
2025-07-27 146.01 2.20 4.39 9.59 34.93 609.34 2203.80 4756.40 9269.60
2025-08-03 138.17 1.97 3.96 8.75 32.45 587.32 2159.51 4707.08 9252.43
2025-08-10 118.66 1.58 3.24 7.25 27.36 513.61 1919.35 4224.36 8373.68
2025-08-17 100.39 1.25 2.61 5.91 22.72 442.36 1679.75 3732.52 7460.32
2025-08-24 99.20 1.17 2.46 5.65 22.06 444.86 1716.12 3849.55 7757.55
2025-08-31 88.21 0.97 2.08 4.84 19.27 402.55 1577.41 3571.64 7256.14
2025-09-07 82.58 0.86 1.86 4.38 17.72 383.40 1525.76 3486.83 7140.91
2025-09-14 74.23 0.72 1.59 3.80 15.66 350.58 1416.69 3267.34 6744.71
2025-09-21 71.50 0.65 1.46 3.54 14.82 343.40 1408.83 3278.74 6821.57
2025-09-28 68.89 0.59 1.35 3.30 14.04 336.42 1401.00 3289.84 6898.01
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