Prediction 1033

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model 2025 sprint test - Sarima
Author Richard Elias Soares Viana
ADM 1 Paraná

Description:

2025 - Sarima - Preditores da picada


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 3379.37 236.78 363.07 594.29 1353.86 8435.01 19214.07 31447.63 48214.04
2024-10-13 3594.85 229.21 356.84 594.40 1394.21 9268.72 21738.72 36206.92 56358.50
2024-10-20 3830.66 222.97 352.24 596.74 1439.80 10191.43 24587.23 41648.98 65786.41
2024-10-27 4547.11 242.31 388.27 668.62 1657.93 12470.76 30920.38 53241.22 85299.27
2024-11-03 5485.79 268.33 435.92 762.70 1942.07 15495.48 39453.48 69022.04 112116.44
2024-11-10 6977.86 314.04 517.05 918.71 2400.47 20283.38 52994.25 94154.04 155002.42
2024-11-17 7859.93 326.17 544.08 981.38 2629.47 23494.28 62945.43 113528.73 189352.17
2024-11-24 9369.07 359.23 606.90 1110.85 3050.17 28778.16 79014.39 144615.93 244289.21
2024-12-01 10858.44 385.40 659.24 1224.05 3442.34 34251.23 96318.07 178827.73 305854.89
2024-12-08 11051.17 363.72 629.75 1185.78 3413.60 35776.49 102987.03 193903.60 335688.70
2024-12-15 11020.80 336.89 590.28 1126.78 3318.80 36596.48 107784.76 205733.66 360422.82
2024-12-22 11458.71 325.84 577.59 1117.44 3365.86 39009.41 117493.65 227291.72 402846.51
2024-12-29 15626.91 413.99 742.24 1454.94 4479.64 54512.75 167832.54 328965.70 589732.49
2025-01-05 19135.39 472.91 857.39 1702.45 5355.74 68367.71 215069.91 427021.79 774119.72
2025-01-12 24558.49 566.92 1039.16 2089.62 6714.09 89828.17 288615.20 580339.72 1063664.11
2025-01-19 28897.22 623.85 1155.89 2353.38 7720.16 108164.06 354816.99 722374.66 1338332.69
2025-01-26 34594.61 699.26 1309.38 2698.63 9035.14 132458.36 443466.40 913947.31 1711282.57
2025-02-02 41222.51 780.98 1477.70 3082.31 10528.85 161393.41 551289.81 1149885.74 2175594.12
2025-02-09 49903.43 887.08 1695.74 3579.12 12469.59 199713.14 695782.67 1468516.42 2807061.49
2025-02-16 57790.71 964.82 1863.04 3978.23 14131.99 236325.67 839493.20 1792557.04 3461200.39
2025-02-23 68862.73 1080.79 2107.80 4552.71 16485.22 287655.13 1041574.35 2249678.21 4387212.32
2025-03-02 83128.51 1227.63 2417.72 5281.38 19487.72 354599.04 1308415.71 2858099.17 5628553.46
2025-03-09 91072.51 1266.61 2518.65 5563.41 20913.58 396592.95 1490824.78 3292985.12 6547868.99
2025-03-16 101066.29 1324.82 2659.60 5939.54 22740.58 449169.19 1719702.06 3840441.04 7709460.78
2025-03-23 109714.13 1356.61 2749.10 6206.24 24195.30 497499.88 1939503.69 4378436.25 8872355.64
2025-03-30 114597.62 1337.65 2735.91 6242.78 24776.04 530051.77 2103619.84 4799926.01 9816981.62
2025-04-06 108736.73 1199.04 2474.95 5707.20 23053.14 512886.40 2071678.73 4777154.17 9860178.59
2025-04-13 97356.32 1014.88 2113.86 4925.57 20245.18 468171.87 1924258.45 4483660.62 9338364.74
2025-04-20 84225.30 830.58 1745.51 4109.36 17183.26 412836.34 1726239.18 4063851.00 8539859.90
2025-04-27 76756.40 716.53 1519.17 3613.04 15366.74 383394.24 1630590.66 3877896.22 8221252.86
2025-05-04 64072.18 566.54 1211.71 2910.95 12590.29 326062.70 1410234.14 3387705.57 7244891.88
2025-05-11 46474.82 389.47 840.24 2038.73 8965.49 240911.84 1059390.96 2570303.34 5544368.72
2025-05-18 28321.70 225.05 489.73 1200.05 5364.80 149513.27 668352.76 1637568.93 3562601.01
2025-05-25 21647.90 163.21 358.19 886.34 4027.31 116361.58 528671.23 1307972.65 2869628.88
2025-06-01 17349.37 124.17 274.82 686.64 3170.53 94935.14 438306.08 1094874.57 2422209.21
2025-06-08 13821.74 93.95 209.69 528.96 2481.64 76979.41 361099.22 910633.54 2031296.31
2025-06-15 11671.95 75.39 169.67 432.08 2059.32 66152.75 315234.22 802490.61 1804748.26
2025-06-22 8831.99 53.58 121.83 313.90 1525.27 51138.73 248423.61 639736.38 1453167.97
2025-06-29 7225.13 41.21 94.66 246.71 1221.77 42724.59 211518.05 550907.68 1263757.54
2025-07-06 5557.80 29.77 69.10 182.21 919.97 33573.60 169434.89 446398.36 1034270.50
2025-07-13 5103.43 25.66 60.19 160.60 826.77 31499.46 162076.21 431989.08 1010998.08
2025-07-20 4664.13 22.01 52.18 140.87 739.47 29415.81 154322.25 416128.97 983743.96
2025-07-27 4246.08 18.81 45.06 123.10 658.85 27361.75 146353.23 399240.97 953355.68
2025-08-03 3804.81 15.83 38.31 105.89 577.87 25048.49 136585.14 376913.22 909080.68
2025-08-10 3780.87 14.78 36.14 101.06 562.17 25425.08 141313.79 394448.06 960858.22
2025-08-17 3956.23 14.54 35.93 101.60 575.99 27170.27 153901.91 434483.65 1068842.94
2025-08-24 3385.67 11.70 29.20 83.56 482.73 23741.85 137030.09 391222.18 971840.38
2025-08-31 3290.76 10.70 26.98 78.08 459.61 23557.87 138519.01 399896.51 1003018.65
2025-09-07 4223.77 12.96 32.97 96.42 578.00 30861.42 184833.39 539512.22 1366189.39
2025-09-14 4276.78 12.37 31.77 93.95 573.53 31887.53 194489.15 573918.18 1467119.34
2025-09-21 4158.92 11.34 29.42 87.95 546.68 31635.07 196452.95 585990.17 1512037.42
2025-09-28 4959.20 12.78 33.44 101.01 639.09 38477.80 243248.71 733366.05 1909924.53
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