Prediction 1034

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model 2025 sprint test - Sarima
Author Richard Elias Soares Viana
ADM 1 Pernambuco

Description:

2025 - Sarima - Preditores da picada


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 321.81 40.73 56.81 83.34 158.07 655.03 1241.76 1820.83 2537.74
2024-10-13 333.32 39.53 55.72 82.73 160.11 693.80 1342.00 1991.64 2804.95
2024-10-20 277.12 30.86 43.94 66.02 130.28 589.35 1162.18 1744.83 2482.08
2024-10-27 261.85 27.44 39.46 59.96 120.56 568.60 1142.48 1734.59 2491.64
2024-11-03 253.70 25.04 36.36 55.87 114.44 562.27 1150.74 1766.45 2561.75
2024-11-10 212.24 19.74 28.95 44.97 93.82 479.96 1000.22 1552.13 2272.18
2024-11-17 222.48 19.54 28.92 45.41 96.43 513.14 1088.55 1707.26 2522.43
2024-11-24 249.77 20.74 30.98 49.15 106.19 587.31 1267.72 2009.05 2995.21
2024-12-01 240.10 18.87 28.43 45.58 100.17 575.32 1263.05 2022.05 3041.24
2024-12-08 214.26 15.95 24.25 39.27 87.76 522.91 1167.13 1887.04 2862.61
2024-12-15 149.14 10.51 16.13 26.39 59.98 370.60 840.66 1372.40 2099.41
2024-12-22 79.04 5.25 8.14 13.49 31.21 199.96 460.86 759.54 1171.48
2024-12-29 137.98 8.77 13.69 22.84 53.59 355.02 830.94 1382.19 2149.05
2025-01-05 134.67 8.14 12.82 21.58 51.42 352.45 837.61 1406.09 2203.61
2025-01-12 166.67 9.62 15.24 25.89 62.59 443.51 1069.98 1812.38 2862.60
2025-01-19 193.24 10.64 16.99 29.10 71.40 522.71 1279.82 2187.09 3481.07
2025-01-26 244.51 12.86 20.69 35.73 88.91 672.15 1669.81 2878.49 4616.24
2025-02-02 316.48 15.92 25.78 44.89 113.28 883.88 2227.38 3872.65 6256.84
2025-02-09 410.84 19.77 32.24 56.60 144.79 1165.44 2978.49 5222.35 8499.31
2025-02-16 487.46 22.44 36.85 65.23 169.18 1404.20 3638.74 6433.11 10545.40
2025-02-23 634.34 27.97 46.24 82.49 216.85 1855.20 4873.50 8686.83 14341.09
2025-03-02 728.76 30.77 51.22 92.12 245.43 2163.47 5760.43 10350.89 17208.28
2025-03-09 729.42 29.50 49.45 89.65 242.05 2197.68 5929.89 10740.57 17979.85
2025-03-16 779.93 30.24 51.03 93.24 255.07 2384.40 6518.71 11900.23 20057.37
2025-03-23 806.95 30.00 50.97 93.86 260.13 2502.77 6931.59 12752.48 21638.90
2025-03-30 919.15 32.80 56.09 104.08 292.13 2891.57 8111.51 15037.95 25687.00
2025-04-06 954.19 32.69 56.27 105.20 299.04 3044.23 8648.33 16154.85 27776.39
2025-04-13 1071.05 35.25 61.07 115.02 331.04 3464.74 9966.53 18756.79 32459.74
2025-04-20 1025.75 32.43 56.56 107.32 312.72 3364.02 9796.93 18574.23 32350.29
2025-04-27 1102.70 33.52 58.83 112.44 331.66 3665.68 10806.43 20638.27 36173.47
2025-05-04 1102.43 32.23 56.92 109.58 327.17 3714.26 11082.52 21318.89 37601.12
2025-05-11 997.05 28.03 49.83 96.63 291.99 3404.07 10278.94 19914.78 35342.85
2025-05-18 895.51 24.22 43.33 84.64 258.82 3097.78 9465.14 18468.13 32976.92
2025-05-25 822.36 21.41 38.54 75.83 234.61 2881.92 8909.07 17505.08 31447.39
2025-06-01 781.44 19.59 35.49 70.31 220.09 2773.92 8674.90 17163.30 31018.96
2025-06-08 765.79 18.50 33.71 67.25 212.95 2753.17 8709.11 17349.39 31542.07
2025-06-15 747.09 17.39 31.89 64.06 205.15 2719.97 8702.14 17453.46 31918.45
2025-06-22 712.45 15.65 28.96 58.82 191.79 2645.83 8617.48 17469.38 32245.09
2025-06-29 650.58 13.50 25.23 51.78 171.81 2462.68 8160.06 16713.16 31125.76
2025-07-06 607.19 11.91 22.47 46.60 157.31 2342.82 7897.57 16342.87 30709.06
2025-07-13 582.98 10.80 20.56 43.11 148.12 2293.69 7868.78 16455.14 31202.86
2025-07-20 518.97 9.06 17.43 36.94 129.26 2082.74 7273.72 15374.00 29423.95
2025-07-27 561.98 9.26 17.98 38.53 137.23 2300.44 8178.49 17471.79 33749.75
2025-08-03 529.85 8.24 16.16 35.00 126.89 2211.53 8001.18 17272.91 33669.96
2025-08-10 493.13 7.25 14.35 31.42 115.88 2097.48 7718.58 16833.10 33103.27
2025-08-17 461.61 6.42 12.84 28.39 106.49 1999.77 7481.50 16477.99 32683.69
2025-08-24 426.27 5.62 11.33 25.33 96.58 1880.18 7148.71 15898.09 31799.16
2025-08-31 414.45 5.18 10.55 23.80 92.25 1860.83 7189.20 16141.90 32555.98
2025-09-07 385.18 4.56 9.38 21.38 84.22 1760.33 6910.14 15663.92 31854.24
2025-09-14 342.22 3.83 7.97 18.36 73.51 1591.87 6348.88 14529.05 29790.86
2025-09-21 349.50 3.72 7.79 18.13 73.77 1654.45 6703.34 15485.67 32013.30
2025-09-28 340.24 3.43 7.27 17.08 70.58 1638.79 6744.22 15726.16 32774.65
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