Prediction 1036

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model 2025 sprint test - Sarima
Author Richard Elias Soares Viana
ADM 1 Rio de Janeiro

Description:

2025 - Sarima - Preditores da picada


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 431.95 43.54 62.99 96.40 196.19 950.86 1934.27 2958.54 4277.14
2024-10-13 482.92 44.74 65.61 101.99 213.07 1094.38 2285.16 3550.32 5202.77
2024-10-20 413.55 35.29 52.45 82.78 177.39 963.90 2064.31 3256.13 4834.74
2024-10-27 473.03 37.30 56.14 89.92 197.46 1133.00 2486.70 3980.40 5985.88
2024-11-03 361.86 26.39 40.23 65.39 147.09 890.01 2000.52 3248.19 4945.56
2024-11-10 593.91 40.24 62.06 102.24 235.31 1498.76 3447.71 5676.09 8746.72
2024-11-17 647.37 40.78 63.64 106.26 250.14 1675.13 3941.36 6577.02 10254.41
2024-11-24 743.83 43.65 68.90 116.56 280.48 1972.35 4743.88 8021.07 12649.50
2024-12-01 717.00 39.25 62.65 107.37 263.99 1947.11 4784.82 8194.93 13068.51
2024-12-08 694.84 35.54 57.35 99.54 249.93 1931.42 4846.90 8406.13 13552.09
2024-12-15 673.74 32.24 52.59 92.42 236.88 1915.97 4907.78 8616.87 14040.56
2024-12-22 294.16 13.14 21.69 38.62 101.10 855.50 2235.92 3973.24 6541.99
2024-12-29 1094.42 46.10 76.75 138.08 368.19 3252.73 8669.71 15588.35 25929.65
2025-01-05 1320.85 52.29 87.93 160.01 434.95 4010.71 10898.16 19822.65 33304.76
2025-01-12 1300.41 48.42 82.23 151.36 419.31 4032.54 11166.86 20542.74 34855.34
2025-01-19 1756.83 61.64 105.66 196.64 554.92 5561.49 15689.57 29185.52 49999.66
2025-01-26 2126.85 70.36 121.76 229.07 658.32 6870.73 19740.13 37123.67 64204.53
2025-02-02 2631.32 82.17 143.51 272.89 798.41 8671.57 25365.19 48217.32 84171.16
2025-02-09 2889.53 85.23 150.23 288.71 859.73 9711.08 28911.68 55542.56 97850.99
2025-02-16 3116.81 86.93 154.60 300.21 909.63 10679.02 32350.47 62798.31 111635.69
2025-02-23 4056.74 107.08 192.14 376.91 1161.68 14166.05 43654.12 85612.55 153549.36
2025-03-02 5126.99 128.19 232.01 459.72 1440.95 18241.53 57168.11 113251.67 204905.19
2025-03-09 5400.91 127.99 233.66 467.60 1490.19 19573.88 62370.56 124791.63 227738.50
2025-03-16 5966.95 134.13 246.95 499.07 1616.70 22022.15 71329.74 144122.09 265259.74
2025-03-23 6201.68 132.32 245.68 501.32 1650.44 23302.70 76705.78 156488.96 290444.84
2025-03-30 6782.64 137.47 257.35 530.16 1773.39 25940.64 86759.98 178695.93 334414.51
2025-04-06 6449.69 124.24 234.51 487.67 1657.13 25101.88 85284.91 177318.15 334554.93
2025-04-13 6279.71 115.05 218.92 459.51 1585.87 24865.44 85803.04 180060.14 342476.40
2025-04-20 6682.56 116.52 223.48 473.42 1659.11 26915.09 94310.33 199736.82 382936.43
2025-04-27 7084.40 117.63 227.40 486.10 1729.53 29017.69 103229.29 220616.33 426304.57
2025-05-04 7124.49 112.71 219.60 473.65 1710.64 29671.20 107145.57 231045.98 449939.66
2025-05-11 6436.88 97.07 190.59 414.76 1520.33 27251.77 99875.34 217283.68 426400.45
2025-05-18 5271.59 75.81 150.00 329.33 1225.02 22684.02 84359.81 185142.40 366094.80
2025-05-25 4560.12 62.57 124.76 276.30 1042.78 19940.46 75237.27 166556.97 331826.69
2025-06-01 4067.52 53.28 107.03 239.11 915.45 18071.46 69168.06 154438.09 309976.38
2025-06-08 3161.73 39.54 80.04 180.36 700.47 14269.95 55396.70 124741.96 252219.35
2025-06-15 2837.57 33.90 69.15 157.14 618.93 13007.90 51209.91 116285.20 236836.68
2025-06-22 2431.01 27.43 56.47 129.72 520.01 11363.38 45526.78 104470.34 214718.20
2025-06-29 2170.44 23.21 48.22 111.86 455.88 10331.92 42078.63 97510.04 202125.69
2025-07-06 2097.10 21.24 44.53 104.35 432.41 10168.92 42109.08 98556.29 206064.99
2025-07-13 1971.63 18.91 40.00 94.70 399.06 9739.65 41010.81 96950.06 204471.72
2025-07-20 1540.82 13.98 29.85 71.42 306.11 7754.26 33201.38 79277.68 168657.10
2025-07-27 1422.94 12.22 26.34 63.66 277.49 7295.02 31760.51 76598.10 164373.71
2025-08-03 1369.82 11.14 24.23 59.16 262.24 7153.55 31666.27 77133.85 166956.82
2025-08-10 1137.00 8.75 19.21 47.41 213.69 6047.71 27217.01 66954.73 146171.85
2025-08-17 1105.99 8.06 17.87 44.54 204.11 5990.97 27407.54 68088.55 149918.16
2025-08-24 970.32 6.69 14.98 37.74 175.85 5352.05 24886.46 62430.65 138626.88
2025-08-31 836.56 5.46 12.35 31.43 148.90 4697.85 22200.06 56232.19 125913.98
2025-09-07 1016.25 6.31 14.38 36.93 177.71 5809.26 27894.92 71337.16 161069.36
2025-09-14 858.20 5.05 11.61 30.14 147.44 4993.11 24359.41 62889.93 143170.91
2025-09-21 1016.17 5.69 13.19 34.54 171.57 6016.29 29816.20 77705.75 178349.29
2025-09-28 922.06 4.90 11.46 30.31 153.00 5554.51 27960.01 73550.96 170184.26
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