Prediction 1038

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model 2025 sprint test - Sarima
Author Richard Elias Soares Viana
ADM 1 Rio Grande do Sul

Description:

2025 - Sarima - Preditores da picada


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 853.70 22.42 40.30 79.16 244.27 2982.92 9196.81 18041.73 32366.80
2024-10-13 780.00 18.74 34.19 68.27 216.52 2809.26 8900.89 17748.53 32294.74
2024-10-20 301.35 6.58 12.23 24.87 81.17 1118.13 3638.48 7371.87 13600.48
2024-10-27 843.91 17.10 32.06 66.08 220.93 3222.68 10763.21 22149.61 41420.39
2024-11-03 1003.04 18.72 35.57 74.44 255.27 3940.41 13500.17 28209.24 53454.98
2024-11-10 913.91 15.72 30.28 64.33 226.21 3691.35 12966.85 27503.02 52797.03
2024-11-17 1086.01 17.27 33.68 72.60 261.60 4507.47 16226.32 34924.68 67902.18
2024-11-24 1676.55 24.72 48.75 106.57 393.25 7146.66 26352.80 57542.16 113280.69
2024-12-01 1779.39 24.31 48.54 107.61 406.57 7786.53 29397.96 65104.49 129748.21
2024-12-08 1781.32 22.57 45.63 102.58 396.65 7998.46 30906.58 69402.01 139987.84
2024-12-15 2415.26 28.46 58.18 132.58 524.39 11123.05 43971.27 100095.71 204302.29
2024-12-22 1442.05 15.76 32.65 75.45 305.35 6808.81 27526.96 63508.82 131143.79
2024-12-29 3683.31 37.62 78.69 184.09 761.16 17822.42 73660.85 172206.22 359698.11
2025-01-05 5140.21 48.97 103.56 245.41 1036.91 25479.69 107622.44 254896.45 538459.08
2025-01-12 5631.34 50.07 107.06 256.98 1109.28 28586.17 123356.90 295930.28 632128.15
2025-01-19 7291.37 60.58 130.94 318.26 1403.02 37890.88 166996.22 405711.40 876173.41
2025-01-26 10394.15 80.78 176.47 434.24 1954.39 55278.06 248748.54 611897.69 1335801.92
2025-02-02 13397.69 97.47 215.18 536.01 2462.36 72894.70 334823.81 833812.74 1839747.29
2025-02-09 18870.42 128.63 286.93 723.39 3391.07 105006.96 492189.91 1240646.26 2766320.89
2025-02-16 29499.30 188.56 424.94 1084.17 5184.72 167838.75 802578.21 2047375.97 4612730.27
2025-02-23 44467.70 266.73 607.25 1567.65 7646.06 258611.56 1261287.53 3255770.59 7410769.40
2025-03-02 57521.82 324.00 745.12 1946.13 9678.78 341854.80 1700096.14 4439964.85 10209003.36
2025-03-09 68149.01 360.73 837.91 2213.83 11224.19 413772.38 2097767.24 5542030.04 12871057.78
2025-03-16 85011.87 423.19 992.73 2652.87 13708.55 527187.96 2724126.19 7279233.16 17073463.72
2025-03-23 96404.76 451.63 1069.82 2891.26 15224.10 610468.42 3214372.25 8686498.29 20574165.47
2025-03-30 100490.39 443.32 1060.34 2897.72 15544.64 649630.46 3484809.73 9522764.12 22773747.22
2025-04-06 99126.98 412.08 995.08 2749.49 15023.43 654052.46 3573686.77 9873766.65 23839786.57
2025-04-13 112060.67 439.26 1070.78 2991.06 16643.59 754496.98 4198236.94 11726393.69 28581666.13
2025-04-20 97612.94 360.99 888.29 2508.21 14210.50 670506.81 3798701.96 10725418.44 26387473.95
2025-04-27 70275.74 245.33 609.33 1739.04 10030.08 492383.49 2839734.24 8103825.87 20122986.57
2025-05-04 41650.73 137.30 344.23 992.95 5829.12 297602.44 1746927.73 5038184.36 12625677.15
2025-05-11 44481.86 138.59 350.63 1022.05 6105.66 324062.06 1935776.22 5641514.26 14266430.39
2025-05-18 21943.16 64.60 164.99 486.04 2954.56 162965.29 990460.66 2916589.02 7442104.12
2025-05-25 13951.78 38.82 100.11 298.01 1843.08 105608.03 652954.42 1942565.30 5001035.71
2025-06-01 9545.63 25.11 65.38 196.68 1237.42 73632.03 463049.15 1391659.81 3614475.00
2025-06-08 7111.81 17.69 46.51 141.40 904.82 55893.58 357461.47 1085195.72 2843236.58
2025-06-15 6267.54 14.76 39.16 120.29 782.76 50179.33 326312.29 1000566.19 2644292.23
2025-06-22 4391.05 9.16 24.83 78.03 526.72 36600.81 246798.78 773352.16 2082634.25
2025-06-29 4251.48 8.23 22.60 72.01 497.30 36340.83 250660.70 796175.56 2169460.59
2025-07-06 3566.16 6.41 17.84 57.63 407.01 31239.91 220286.77 709003.64 1954194.42
2025-07-13 4210.06 7.02 19.76 64.73 468.03 37864.27 273400.57 892520.89 2490460.52
2025-07-20 3534.70 5.46 15.60 51.83 383.31 32588.70 240619.56 796070.23 2247214.65
2025-07-27 1719.71 2.42 7.09 23.99 181.84 16256.27 122755.97 411625.31 1175600.16
2025-08-03 2050.64 2.69 7.97 27.32 211.58 19867.06 153380.07 521173.13 1505670.77
2025-08-10 1577.71 1.90 5.75 20.04 158.85 15661.77 123590.41 425488.79 1243287.45
2025-08-17 1458.40 1.63 5.00 17.69 143.34 14830.41 119594.72 417109.12 1232594.04
2025-08-24 793.87 0.78 2.52 9.15 76.14 8268.01 68120.43 240652.52 719111.80
2025-08-31 1868.12 1.83 5.72 20.72 175.12 19919.12 167634.95 599784.69 1812121.93
2025-09-07 666.37 0.54 1.86 7.01 60.96 7273.78 62515.49 226507.46 691852.72
2025-09-14 1443.43 1.20 3.91 14.63 129.14 16123.71 141493.54 519093.46 1602775.61
2025-09-21 2070.86 1.65 5.35 20.13 181.12 23666.99 212008.97 787432.68 2457430.37
2025-09-28 1576.65 1.14 3.82 14.65 134.78 18432.14 168517.23 633583.90 1998339.98
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