Prediction 1039

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model 2025 sprint test - Sarima
Author Richard Elias Soares Viana
ADM 1 Rondônia

Description:

2025 - Sarima - Preditores da picada


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 17.65 2.04 2.91 4.36 8.48 36.63 70.59 104.50 146.83
2024-10-13 21.98 2.41 3.46 5.23 10.35 46.53 91.30 136.64 193.81
2024-10-20 21.54 2.23 3.23 4.93 9.94 46.54 92.97 140.62 201.33
2024-10-27 27.44 2.70 3.94 6.07 12.43 60.40 122.75 187.60 271.01
2024-11-03 29.55 2.75 4.05 6.31 13.14 66.29 137.02 211.56 308.33
2024-11-10 33.81 2.99 4.44 6.98 14.77 77.23 162.29 253.07 372.02
2024-11-17 37.09 3.11 4.67 7.40 15.91 86.25 184.22 290.08 430.03
2024-11-24 43.61 3.49 5.27 8.43 18.39 103.22 223.97 356.03 532.17
2024-12-01 43.64 3.32 5.05 8.16 18.09 105.10 231.64 371.67 560.06
2024-12-08 38.34 2.76 4.24 6.93 15.61 93.93 210.23 340.42 517.07
2024-12-15 19.22 1.27 1.99 3.32 7.67 47.96 109.02 178.16 272.76
2024-12-22 19.28 1.21 1.92 3.23 7.56 48.90 112.81 185.98 286.91
2024-12-29 84.99 5.38 8.42 14.06 33.02 218.54 511.09 849.71 1320.55
2025-01-05 93.65 5.67 8.93 15.04 35.81 244.62 580.27 972.98 1523.33
2025-01-12 108.37 6.28 9.96 16.91 40.81 287.48 691.55 1169.34 1844.11
2025-01-19 113.78 6.31 10.08 17.25 42.20 306.49 747.52 1274.44 2024.29
2025-01-26 121.31 6.44 10.36 17.87 44.32 331.75 820.16 1409.70 2254.97
2025-02-02 134.37 6.83 11.07 19.25 48.37 372.94 934.41 1618.96 2607.76
2025-02-09 143.20 6.98 11.38 19.95 50.80 403.30 1023.88 1788.04 2899.88
2025-02-16 161.42 7.55 12.40 21.89 56.45 461.20 1186.18 2087.64 3408.70
2025-02-23 163.87 7.35 12.15 21.63 56.50 474.93 1237.26 2194.31 3606.81
2025-03-02 172.26 7.42 12.35 22.14 58.57 506.31 1335.81 2387.10 3949.56
2025-03-09 155.99 6.44 10.79 19.51 52.29 464.91 1242.02 2236.16 3723.91
2025-03-16 132.94 5.26 8.88 16.19 43.95 401.70 1086.49 1970.67 3302.87
2025-03-23 112.24 4.25 7.24 13.30 36.60 343.82 941.38 1719.97 2900.99
2025-03-30 108.19 3.93 6.75 12.50 34.80 335.90 930.84 1713.02 2907.39
2025-04-06 89.37 3.11 5.38 10.05 28.36 281.19 788.57 1461.58 2496.03
2025-04-13 87.75 2.93 5.11 9.62 27.48 279.74 793.79 1481.65 2545.80
2025-04-20 83.92 2.69 4.73 8.97 25.94 271.00 778.01 1462.34 2527.85
2025-04-27 67.78 2.07 3.68 7.05 20.67 221.74 644.00 1218.84 2119.55
2025-05-04 63.45 1.86 3.33 6.44 19.10 210.24 617.60 1176.88 2058.72
2025-05-11 51.56 1.44 2.61 5.09 15.31 173.06 514.16 986.41 1735.66
2025-05-18 40.67 1.07 1.97 3.90 11.91 138.24 415.35 802.19 1419.72
2025-05-25 38.79 0.98 1.82 3.63 11.22 133.49 405.55 788.45 1403.42
2025-06-01 35.61 0.86 1.61 3.25 10.17 124.06 381.07 745.74 1334.96
2025-06-08 36.82 0.85 1.62 3.28 10.39 129.84 403.14 794.05 1429.44
2025-06-15 33.87 0.75 1.43 2.94 9.44 120.89 379.42 752.14 1361.55
2025-06-22 31.24 0.63 1.23 2.57 8.48 114.38 367.23 737.94 1351.67
2025-06-29 25.69 0.47 0.95 2.02 6.83 95.87 313.03 635.37 1173.98
2025-07-06 26.80 0.46 0.94 2.04 7.00 101.89 338.32 693.64 1292.85
2025-07-13 24.04 0.38 0.79 1.75 6.15 93.13 314.50 651.33 1224.64
2025-07-20 19.57 0.27 0.60 1.36 4.90 77.27 265.29 554.83 1052.09
2025-07-27 18.17 0.22 0.52 1.21 4.46 73.07 255.01 538.57 1029.94
2025-08-03 16.09 0.17 0.43 1.02 3.87 65.90 233.70 498.30 960.86
2025-08-10 15.15 0.14 0.37 0.92 3.57 63.16 227.57 489.86 952.39
2025-08-17 12.68 0.09 0.28 0.73 2.93 53.84 197.08 428.23 839.35
2025-08-24 10.31 0.05 0.20 0.55 2.32 44.61 165.88 363.80 718.84
2025-08-31 11.05 0.05 0.21 0.58 2.45 48.62 183.57 406.27 809.12
2025-09-07 11.01 0.05 0.19 0.55 2.40 49.26 188.79 421.62 846.29
2025-09-14 15.50 0.10 0.29 0.79 3.35 70.34 273.53 616.28 1246.58
2025-09-21 13.17 0.06 0.22 0.63 2.79 60.83 240.08 545.73 1112.37
2025-09-28 13.65 0.06 0.22 0.64 2.85 64.07 256.57 588.33 1208.31
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