Prediction 1040

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model 2025 sprint test - Sarima
Author Richard Elias Soares Viana
ADM 1 Roraima

Description:

2025 - Sarima - Preditores da picada


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 21.36 0.73 1.30 2.46 6.91 65.55 179.52 327.96 553.08
2024-10-13 17.93 0.56 1.02 1.97 5.67 56.25 157.08 290.31 494.52
2024-10-20 23.66 0.71 1.30 2.52 7.34 75.76 215.53 402.85 692.96
2024-10-27 31.78 0.93 1.69 3.28 9.68 103.80 300.80 568.47 987.30
2024-11-03 26.98 0.72 1.34 2.66 8.04 89.96 265.51 507.31 889.48
2024-11-10 14.46 0.32 0.64 1.33 4.19 49.31 148.28 286.42 506.92
2024-11-17 15.26 0.32 0.64 1.35 4.34 53.04 162.33 316.88 566.00
2024-11-24 23.84 0.51 1.01 2.08 6.69 84.36 262.56 517.87 933.35
2024-12-01 10.94 0.17 0.39 0.87 2.97 39.59 125.47 250.07 454.78
2024-12-08 11.57 0.17 0.39 0.89 3.09 42.66 137.49 276.80 507.81
2024-12-15 6.77 0.05 0.18 0.46 1.74 25.53 83.76 170.35 315.27
2024-12-22 11.79 0.15 0.36 0.84 3.03 45.11 150.26 308.56 575.86
2024-12-29 19.49 0.28 0.62 1.40 4.96 75.71 256.15 531.05 999.40
2025-01-05 19.89 0.27 0.61 1.38 4.98 78.65 270.39 565.96 1073.95
2025-01-12 20.05 0.26 0.58 1.34 4.93 80.70 281.83 595.49 1139.29
2025-01-19 10.58 0.08 0.25 0.64 2.52 43.45 154.24 329.00 634.59
2025-01-26 19.01 0.21 0.49 1.18 4.50 79.18 285.22 613.93 1193.60
2025-02-02 15.44 0.14 0.36 0.91 3.58 65.49 239.58 520.43 1019.85
2025-02-09 12.41 0.08 0.26 0.69 2.81 53.56 198.96 436.12 861.34
2025-02-16 11.05 0.05 0.21 0.58 2.46 48.54 183.03 404.80 805.68
2025-02-23 20.06 0.17 0.43 1.09 4.45 89.28 341.39 761.60 1527.36
2025-03-02 13.54 0.07 0.25 0.68 2.93 61.35 238.14 535.94 1082.99
2025-03-09 12.02 0.05 0.20 0.57 2.55 55.41 218.24 495.41 1008.59
2025-03-16 18.60 0.11 0.34 0.91 3.92 86.90 346.99 794.34 1629.11
2025-03-23 16.05 0.08 0.27 0.74 3.32 76.23 308.75 712.80 1472.62
2025-03-30 13.87 0.05 0.20 0.61 2.81 66.96 275.05 640.34 1332.55
2025-04-06 15.13 0.05 0.22 0.65 3.03 74.14 308.75 724.74 1519.03
2025-04-13 19.50 0.09 0.30 0.84 3.86 96.90 408.95 967.79 2042.86
2025-04-20 17.03 0.06 0.23 0.70 3.31 85.95 367.76 877.41 1865.16
2025-04-27 11.39 0.00 0.12 0.42 2.15 58.48 253.70 610.21 1306.27
2025-05-04 15.76 0.03 0.19 0.60 2.97 82.00 360.34 873.59 1883.00
2025-05-11 16.99 0.04 0.20 0.63 3.16 89.66 399.21 975.48 2117.05
2025-05-18 13.83 0.01 0.14 0.48 2.52 74.13 334.49 823.76 1799.96
2025-05-25 19.26 0.04 0.22 0.68 3.48 104.56 477.80 1185.82 2608.51
2025-06-01 18.01 0.03 0.19 0.61 3.20 99.19 459.13 1148.28 2542.84
2025-06-08 16.41 0.01 0.15 0.53 2.87 91.69 429.89 1083.38 2415.05
2025-06-15 22.65 0.05 0.23 0.75 3.93 128.18 608.47 1545.01 3466.73
2025-06-22 12.34 0.00 0.08 0.36 2.09 70.53 336.93 858.56 1932.29
2025-06-29 21.41 0.03 0.20 0.68 3.65 123.34 594.66 1524.01 3447.23
2025-07-06 28.31 0.07 0.29 0.91 4.80 164.83 802.94 2070.66 4709.16
2025-07-13 13.88 0.00 0.09 0.38 2.28 81.96 403.43 1046.72 2392.93
2025-07-20 24.63 0.04 0.22 0.74 4.07 146.66 728.81 1902.09 4370.82
2025-07-27 19.66 0.01 0.15 0.56 3.19 118.44 594.53 1560.89 3605.29
2025-08-03 28.21 0.05 0.25 0.82 4.57 171.65 869.99 2297.49 5333.78
2025-08-10 32.57 0.07 0.29 0.94 5.23 200.24 1024.80 2722.17 6351.85
2025-08-17 30.76 0.05 0.26 0.86 4.88 191.23 988.24 2640.40 6192.21
2025-08-24 22.67 0.01 0.16 0.60 3.53 142.58 744.08 1999.62 4713.10
2025-08-31 14.56 0.00 0.06 0.34 2.22 92.77 488.97 1321.66 3130.74
2025-09-07 21.00 0.00 0.13 0.52 3.20 134.96 717.99 1951.76 4646.29
2025-09-14 16.34 0.00 0.07 0.37 2.44 106.26 570.80 1560.55 3733.41
2025-09-21 19.56 0.00 0.10 0.46 2.91 128.43 696.25 1914.12 4601.44
2025-09-28 18.47 0.00 0.09 0.41 2.71 122.50 670.32 1853.08 4476.14
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