Prediction 1041

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model 2025 sprint test - Sarima
Author Richard Elias Soares Viana
ADM 1 Santa Catarina

Description:

2025 - Sarima - Preditores da picada


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 190.29 4.81 8.74 17.31 53.96 670.44 2082.23 4102.56 7387.69
2024-10-13 312.03 7.26 13.35 26.83 85.86 1133.32 3617.77 7246.16 13235.99
2024-10-20 328.89 7.02 13.08 26.73 87.86 1230.46 4034.01 8209.86 15205.38
2024-10-27 342.97 6.72 12.70 26.37 88.99 1321.05 4446.06 9191.54 17256.77
2024-11-03 418.87 7.57 14.49 30.53 105.65 1659.84 5730.88 12030.35 22888.25
2024-11-10 418.71 6.97 13.53 28.94 102.70 1706.18 6040.72 12872.84 24812.58
2024-11-17 546.74 8.43 16.54 35.90 130.51 2289.44 8307.37 17965.39 35073.14
2024-11-24 830.29 11.88 23.57 51.84 192.98 3571.23 13275.13 29126.57 57580.13
2024-12-01 1253.46 16.65 33.42 74.49 283.80 5535.01 21068.12 46884.97 93833.47
2024-12-08 1605.64 19.80 40.21 90.86 354.27 7275.98 28347.63 63970.60 129585.71
2024-12-15 1220.81 13.95 28.70 65.79 262.57 5674.72 22621.08 51752.03 106087.68
2024-12-22 946.06 10.02 20.90 48.59 198.43 4509.16 18384.48 42630.62 88417.56
2024-12-29 863.41 8.50 17.95 42.31 176.68 4217.87 17582.34 41315.09 86680.80
2025-01-05 981.64 9.01 19.24 45.94 196.07 4913.18 20932.80 49834.96 105747.56
2025-01-12 1194.95 10.25 22.11 53.46 233.05 6125.32 26664.44 64302.60 137978.95
2025-01-19 1506.17 12.08 26.33 64.45 286.93 7904.59 35147.03 85840.92 186233.40
2025-01-26 2501.77 18.82 41.38 102.49 465.70 13437.79 61011.57 150886.23 330920.92
2025-02-02 4279.52 30.17 67.01 167.92 778.64 23518.89 109006.88 272928.96 605022.96
2025-02-09 6186.23 40.88 91.70 232.57 1100.43 34774.52 164487.21 416883.63 933948.18
2025-02-16 9383.91 58.16 131.78 338.18 1632.46 53939.47 260314.35 667728.27 1511591.30
2025-02-23 15505.78 90.19 206.42 535.95 2638.72 91113.29 448521.66 1164228.15 2662822.48
2025-03-02 23725.80 129.59 299.57 786.91 3950.72 142481.32 715260.85 1878490.45 4340380.64
2025-03-09 23756.10 121.90 284.62 756.38 3871.63 145763.35 746032.36 1982124.53 4626061.93
2025-03-16 38668.40 186.59 439.95 1182.52 6169.53 242357.11 1264356.36 3397916.28 8009471.10
2025-03-23 48037.89 218.09 519.28 1411.60 7505.15 307471.25 1634660.62 4443076.18 10576359.52
2025-03-30 53855.72 230.19 553.43 1521.33 8241.16 351942.37 1906392.14 5239941.73 12594836.92
2025-04-06 59502.26 239.59 581.58 1616.51 8920.10 396911.45 2190095.39 6086703.13 14771198.00
2025-04-13 64373.82 244.35 598.78 1682.63 9456.29 438222.23 2462672.10 6919570.19 16952572.84
2025-04-20 54318.62 194.46 481.05 1366.56 7820.36 377282.31 2158927.90 6132171.01 15165279.57
2025-04-27 52236.56 176.49 440.69 1265.41 7372.41 370113.66 2156182.97 6190376.07 15452223.35
2025-05-04 48267.79 153.99 388.10 1126.30 6679.38 348797.92 2068354.23 6001568.86 15119446.13
2025-05-11 39112.25 117.88 299.85 879.43 5307.85 288204.61 1739308.23 5100108.71 12966066.60
2025-05-18 25345.25 72.18 185.33 549.31 3373.72 190403.42 1169233.50 3464359.89 8887329.00
2025-05-25 18256.92 49.15 127.38 381.53 2384.10 139802.86 873417.34 2614686.10 6767839.74
2025-06-01 12377.44 31.50 82.42 249.47 1585.94 96594.63 613858.64 1856523.42 4848161.06
2025-06-08 10296.90 24.79 65.48 200.24 1294.79 81881.62 529229.09 1616849.29 4259484.94
2025-06-15 8647.85 19.71 52.53 162.31 1067.36 70060.45 460475.09 1420974.55 3776161.58
2025-06-22 4565.54 9.02 24.67 78.31 537.57 38769.45 265833.51 841382.51 2285607.75
2025-06-29 3844.90 7.04 19.52 62.84 441.41 33484.72 234873.42 753568.37 2071345.79
2025-07-06 2478.88 4.13 11.68 38.29 276.35 22229.37 160084.60 521772.89 1453941.17
2025-07-13 2218.83 3.40 9.78 32.57 240.85 20433.83 150719.33 498336.73 1405998.59
2025-07-20 1317.05 1.82 5.38 18.29 139.00 12472.05 94329.32 316604.51 904963.48
2025-07-27 1151.97 1.45 4.39 15.20 118.40 11200.22 86743.73 295307.19 854546.39
2025-08-03 710.15 0.79 2.49 8.86 71.02 7093.23 56282.84 194404.82 569676.87
2025-08-10 988.29 1.04 3.29 11.77 96.33 10130.70 82284.63 288219.43 854895.04
2025-08-17 923.64 0.89 2.87 10.46 87.70 9718.90 80819.65 287103.21 862050.59
2025-08-24 577.26 0.47 1.65 6.19 53.39 6231.50 53023.28 190965.85 580265.36
2025-08-31 750.03 0.59 2.03 7.68 67.65 8305.33 72309.65 264028.05 811885.17
2025-09-07 786.38 0.58 2.00 7.68 69.18 8928.55 79507.46 294251.76 915469.80
2025-09-14 682.05 0.45 1.62 6.34 58.51 7939.62 72305.36 271214.37 853680.14
2025-09-21 730.58 0.44 1.63 6.48 61.15 8716.02 81150.61 308447.55 982084.29
2025-09-28 524.87 0.26 1.07 4.41 42.85 6416.82 61071.03 235198.27 757449.17
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