Prediction 1042

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model 2025 sprint test - Sarima
Author Richard Elias Soares Viana
ADM 1 São Paulo

Description:

2025 - Sarima - Preditores da picada


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 9593.47 974.31 1407.33 2150.38 4366.80 21075.88 42798.06 65393.27 94453.92
2024-10-13 10562.03 975.26 1430.43 2224.60 4652.71 23976.52 50145.39 77983.75 114376.97
2024-10-20 10791.10 909.09 1353.19 2140.56 4605.94 25281.95 54399.03 86049.19 128080.93
2024-10-27 11837.75 912.77 1378.16 2216.11 4901.07 28592.00 63231.46 101675.26 153509.12
2024-11-03 14729.80 1042.58 1595.95 2607.39 5921.36 36641.22 83210.28 135941.61 208089.52
2024-11-10 15876.57 1034.25 1604.48 2661.95 6202.67 40637.98 94689.47 157093.22 243696.59
2024-11-17 20489.11 1231.44 1935.28 3259.07 7785.85 53918.52 128808.27 216912.48 340879.88
2024-11-24 24912.20 1384.49 2203.37 3764.79 9214.87 67349.31 164844.70 281657.42 448236.34
2024-12-01 29817.42 1535.42 2473.71 4286.89 10743.58 82754.12 207391.26 359398.53 579011.75
2024-12-08 33469.41 1599.97 2608.71 4583.58 11754.76 95297.38 244390.44 429394.14 700098.60
2024-12-15 31426.59 1397.12 2304.72 4104.31 10765.00 91744.21 240627.87 428510.21 706858.51
2024-12-22 26502.04 1097.49 1831.22 3304.28 8859.19 79279.76 212554.97 383527.76 639913.01
2024-12-29 60893.79 2352.77 3969.69 7255.59 19875.55 186563.15 511055.85 934070.67 1575972.99
2025-01-05 72566.73 2619.63 4468.48 8270.76 23138.22 227585.35 636686.50 1178436.66 2010106.33
2025-01-12 92338.52 3118.70 5377.02 10075.94 28775.65 296305.70 846207.73 1585686.01 2733874.90
2025-01-19 114901.27 3635.47 6334.12 12013.96 35011.33 377086.06 1098905.89 2084284.53 3631428.60
2025-01-26 146397.63 4344.51 7647.87 14679.07 43635.55 491164.69 1460048.17 2802350.40 4933071.23
2025-02-02 181409.34 5055.17 8989.36 17456.32 52912.72 621954.77 1885231.24 3660886.89 6509919.73
2025-02-09 220378.56 5772.79 10368.05 20365.71 62925.44 771812.94 2384720.01 4684227.47 8412900.47
2025-02-16 253440.56 6247.14 11330.22 22507.99 70866.97 906375.26 2853737.11 5669050.07 10281687.51
2025-02-23 337212.04 7829.33 14337.02 28798.73 92369.50 1231054.56 3948495.03 7931303.31 14523670.15
2025-03-02 395760.52 8663.16 16014.84 32522.06 106232.08 1474378.70 4815991.72 9780024.14 18079401.84
2025-03-09 441669.67 9123.29 17023.45 34943.98 116212.29 1678583.25 5582409.71 11458959.10 21381550.38
2025-03-16 530376.11 10347.12 19485.23 40423.20 136835.08 2055749.97 6958831.39 14436444.86 27185949.81
2025-03-23 561503.18 10354.37 19676.29 41248.00 142084.56 2219000.40 7643646.62 16023566.67 30449248.44
2025-03-30 605749.26 10566.74 20259.97 42911.15 150378.54 2440055.73 8550957.59 18111103.30 34724876.43
2025-04-06 641036.12 10586.05 20476.58 43812.68 156165.88 2631350.40 9379168.71 20068067.13 38817473.69
2025-04-13 605870.76 9478.67 18494.68 39970.75 144877.92 2533714.04 9183680.97 19847732.49 38726488.76
2025-04-20 581635.43 8626.53 16977.07 37055.72 136551.16 2477456.92 9129467.29 19926754.41 39215776.49
2025-04-27 582863.98 8200.88 16276.75 35875.96 134379.80 2528134.98 9469560.79 20872006.39 41425601.14
2025-05-04 521242.76 6961.78 13933.60 31009.23 118038.91 2301731.50 8761690.45 19499060.14 39025971.49
2025-05-11 402099.48 5101.16 10294.50 23129.96 89460.18 1807328.01 6990212.80 15705711.47 31694926.15
2025-05-18 283271.88 3415.49 6949.30 15761.78 61929.88 1295705.37 5090955.24 11546748.87 23493196.45
2025-05-25 210432.38 2412.82 4949.10 11330.23 45216.44 979328.09 3908256.07 8947260.92 18351955.87
2025-06-01 160577.75 1751.87 3622.25 8369.40 33918.74 760204.28 3080857.85 7118367.08 14717818.70
2025-06-08 130664.52 1357.11 2828.31 6594.82 27137.09 629145.41 2588845.69 6036329.82 12579664.89
2025-06-15 101553.36 1004.65 2110.23 4965.06 20740.99 497230.62 2077094.91 4886963.08 10264354.52
2025-06-22 77101.63 713.07 1514.10 3607.23 15386.39 386356.76 1647944.13 3925947.98 8335613.96
2025-06-29 61800.48 535.11 1148.35 2769.49 12056.55 316780.26 1379016.64 3325618.02 7136135.23
2025-07-06 51650.83 418.18 907.18 2215.27 9846.44 270939.72 1204232.82 2940459.76 6378099.78
2025-07-13 42565.80 321.57 705.43 1744.86 7923.61 228662.34 1038334.49 2568092.35 5632699.89
2025-07-20 37594.76 264.49 586.91 1471.01 6828.94 206965.17 960754.88 2407769.02 5341825.92
2025-07-27 34147.74 223.37 501.52 1274.08 6049.51 192751.94 915154.83 2324609.53 5217971.60
2025-08-03 29373.76 178.47 405.51 1044.37 5073.41 170064.44 826085.41 2127230.13 4831846.28
2025-08-10 27112.11 152.93 351.67 918.29 4564.68 161030.94 800394.27 2089623.45 4803399.26
2025-08-17 25653.95 134.33 312.63 827.68 4210.13 156316.85 795052.34 2104464.22 4895651.44
2025-08-24 23992.32 116.65 274.74 737.46 3838.31 149967.07 780460.58 2094404.39 4930626.84
2025-08-31 24960.78 112.74 268.70 731.16 3893.33 160024.63 852013.86 2317842.07 5521623.12
2025-09-07 26560.80 111.51 268.93 741.75 4040.08 174616.28 950973.59 2622314.96 6320728.18
2025-09-14 26191.99 102.28 249.57 697.66 3886.03 176531.72 983187.69 2747741.07 6700521.91
2025-09-21 25231.65 91.72 226.39 641.34 3652.46 174300.13 992520.64 2810871.45 6933803.72
2025-09-28 27423.03 92.87 231.86 665.51 3874.14 194109.82 1129826.82 3241993.80 8088828.96
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