Prediction 1043

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model 2025 sprint test - Sarima
Author Richard Elias Soares Viana
ADM 1 Sergipe

Description:

2025 - Sarima - Preditores da picada


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 27.04 1.33 2.20 3.87 9.76 74.60 185.69 320.39 514.19
2024-10-13 26.07 1.17 1.97 3.53 9.15 73.95 188.75 330.60 537.52
2024-10-20 26.26 1.09 1.85 3.37 8.96 76.53 200.16 355.75 585.79
2024-10-27 31.65 1.22 2.10 3.87 10.53 94.68 253.57 457.13 762.07
2024-11-03 28.61 1.01 1.77 3.32 9.27 87.85 240.81 440.22 742.81
2024-11-10 24.86 0.80 1.43 2.73 7.84 78.33 219.68 407.10 695.09
2024-11-17 19.54 0.56 1.03 2.03 6.00 63.17 181.19 340.28 587.76
2024-11-24 22.97 0.62 1.16 2.29 6.89 76.03 222.84 423.98 740.63
2024-12-01 20.46 0.50 0.96 1.93 5.98 69.36 207.69 400.24 706.97
2024-12-08 13.86 0.28 0.58 1.22 3.94 48.19 147.43 287.72 513.80
2024-12-15 12.81 0.23 0.49 1.07 3.55 45.58 142.35 281.26 507.65
2024-12-22 3.60 0.00 0.06 0.22 0.92 13.30 42.55 85.16 155.39
2024-12-29 9.71 0.12 0.30 0.72 2.55 36.17 117.64 238.09 438.77
2025-01-05 15.72 0.23 0.52 1.16 4.08 59.69 197.79 404.95 753.80
2025-01-12 12.33 0.15 0.36 0.85 3.12 47.91 161.87 335.24 630.32
2025-01-19 13.13 0.15 0.37 0.88 3.26 52.09 179.35 375.67 713.29
2025-01-26 14.89 0.16 0.40 0.96 3.62 60.25 211.30 447.54 857.98
2025-02-02 17.66 0.19 0.47 1.11 4.22 72.87 260.24 557.25 1078.51
2025-02-09 18.65 0.19 0.47 1.13 4.37 78.50 285.44 617.85 1207.08
2025-02-16 20.92 0.21 0.51 1.23 4.81 89.78 332.29 726.96 1433.42
2025-02-23 23.88 0.23 0.56 1.36 5.40 104.48 393.55 870.07 1731.34
2025-03-02 25.63 0.24 0.58 1.41 5.69 114.28 437.94 978.33 1964.37
2025-03-09 29.27 0.26 0.64 1.56 6.38 133.00 518.48 1170.16 2370.53
2025-03-16 26.12 0.21 0.53 1.33 5.58 120.95 479.57 1093.39 2234.56
2025-03-23 33.90 0.28 0.68 1.69 7.13 159.84 644.37 1483.86 3058.98
2025-03-30 40.34 0.33 0.79 1.96 8.34 193.65 793.63 1845.69 3837.65
2025-04-06 41.74 0.32 0.78 1.96 8.48 204.03 849.91 1995.99 4185.50
2025-04-13 41.55 0.30 0.74 1.88 8.29 206.80 875.48 2076.01 4389.94
2025-04-20 46.61 0.32 0.80 2.05 9.14 236.07 1015.43 2430.99 5183.35
2025-04-27 52.39 0.35 0.87 2.23 10.10 270.00 1179.83 2851.36 6129.72
2025-05-04 58.89 0.38 0.94 2.44 11.17 308.76 1370.42 3343.08 7245.32
2025-05-11 57.07 0.34 0.87 2.28 10.63 304.41 1372.17 3378.49 7381.09
2025-05-18 58.31 0.33 0.85 2.26 10.68 316.37 1448.07 3598.18 7923.77
2025-05-25 69.91 0.39 0.99 2.63 12.61 385.66 1792.12 4493.63 9973.84
2025-06-01 69.87 0.37 0.95 2.55 12.39 391.90 1848.66 4677.22 10462.53
2025-06-08 67.78 0.33 0.88 2.39 11.82 386.58 1850.85 4724.60 10650.40
2025-06-15 65.41 0.30 0.80 2.23 11.21 379.21 1842.51 4744.98 10778.40
2025-06-22 71.05 0.30 0.83 2.32 11.91 421.56 2091.44 5453.70 12523.22
2025-06-29 79.37 0.33 0.89 2.50 13.04 480.63 2428.90 6404.04 14847.09
2025-07-06 71.32 0.26 0.75 2.15 11.48 440.35 2264.37 6032.64 14112.76
2025-07-13 64.12 0.21 0.62 1.85 10.11 403.86 2114.29 5693.48 13443.63
2025-07-20 66.80 0.20 0.62 1.86 10.33 428.87 2284.22 6214.86 14806.66
2025-07-27 67.69 0.19 0.60 1.81 10.27 443.03 2400.98 6600.76 15868.43
2025-08-03 64.21 0.16 0.53 1.65 9.55 428.35 2361.22 6557.84 15904.94
2025-08-10 58.38 0.12 0.45 1.44 8.51 396.86 2225.06 6242.71 15274.45
2025-08-17 45.51 0.07 0.31 1.06 6.49 315.30 1797.70 5094.40 12573.40
2025-08-24 50.12 0.07 0.33 1.13 7.03 353.66 2050.08 5867.57 14606.95
2025-08-31 45.51 0.05 0.27 0.98 6.26 327.09 1927.49 5571.17 13987.72
2025-09-07 41.63 0.03 0.23 0.85 5.61 304.75 1825.34 5327.60 13489.72
2025-09-14 38.94 0.01 0.19 0.76 5.15 290.26 1766.81 5206.77 13294.61
2025-09-21 38.31 0.01 0.18 0.72 4.97 290.68 1797.86 5349.15 13771.87
2025-09-28 33.59 0.00 0.13 0.60 4.27 259.44 1630.31 4896.85 12711.42
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