Prediction 106

Dengue Sprint2425 R Spatio-Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Modelo Temp-SPI Interaction Model
Autor

Descrição:

Validation test 1 for three-way interaction model (CE)


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date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 284.5 - 72.0 - - - - 1149.10 -
2022-10-16 268.5 - 69.0 - - - - 1045.50 -
2022-10-23 259.0 - 69.0 - - - - 1027.00 -
2022-10-30 244.5 - 64.0 - - - - 941.80 -
2022-11-06 256.5 - 70.0 - - - - 1039.60 -
2022-11-13 291.0 - 73.0 - - - - 1163.20 -
2022-11-20 294.0 - 74.0 - - - - 1185.95 -
2022-11-27 280.5 - 75.0 - - - - 1221.40 -
2022-12-04 337.5 - 84.0 - - - - 1183.25 -
2022-12-11 287.0 - 79.0 - - - - 1305.80 -
2022-12-18 278.5 - 70.0 - - - - 1048.70 -
2022-12-25 300.5 - 67.0 - - - - 1149.55 -
2023-01-01 353.0 - 91.0 - - - - 1281.30 -
2023-01-08 422.5 - 112.0 - - - - 1633.45 -
2023-01-15 522.0 - 141.0 - - - - 2054.30 -
2023-01-22 627.0 - 169.0 - - - - 2488.60 -
2023-01-29 769.5 - 207.0 - - - - 3075.80 -
2023-02-05 830.5 - 223.0 - - - - 3303.30 -
2023-02-12 1002.0 - 263.0 - - - - 3632.40 -
2023-02-19 1117.0 - 296.0 - - - - 4227.40 -
2023-02-26 1279.0 - 330.0 - - - - 5020.90 -
2023-03-05 1415.5 - 380.0 - - - - 5197.95 -
2023-03-12 1469.5 - 424.0 - - - - 5762.70 -
2023-03-19 1560.5 - 397.0 - - - - 5937.10 -
2023-03-26 1681.5 - 475.0 - - - - 6297.70 -
2023-04-02 1850.0 - 468.0 - - - - 7672.80 -
2023-04-09 2068.5 - 560.0 - - - - 7695.80 -
2023-04-16 2217.5 - 555.0 - - - - 8249.55 -
2023-04-23 2252.0 - 639.0 - - - - 8852.35 -
2023-04-30 2373.0 - 670.0 - - - - 9285.65 -
2023-05-07 2548.5 - 635.0 - - - - 9713.15 -
2023-05-14 2449.0 - 619.0 - - - - 9622.85 -
2023-05-21 2297.5 - 652.0 - - - - 9942.85 -
2023-05-28 2097.5 - 579.0 - - - - 8402.90 -
2023-06-04 1916.0 - 531.0 - - - - 7611.45 -
2023-06-11 1762.0 - 470.0 - - - - 6771.55 -
2023-06-18 1574.5 - 417.0 - - - - 6384.40 -
2023-06-25 1480.0 - 395.0 - - - - 5610.35 -
2023-07-02 1179.5 - 302.0 - - - - 4389.95 -
2023-07-09 1099.0 - 264.0 - - - - 4185.50 -
2023-07-16 988.0 - 252.0 - - - - 3740.60 -
2023-07-23 907.5 - 238.0 - - - - 3549.20 -
2023-07-30 798.5 - 229.0 - - - - 3031.55 -
2023-08-06 744.0 - 193.0 - - - - 2726.60 -
2023-08-13 641.0 - 171.0 - - - - 2591.35 -
2023-08-20 556.0 - 157.0 - - - - 2266.05 -
2023-08-27 479.0 - 136.0 - - - - 1771.95 -
2023-09-03 428.5 - 132.0 - - - - 1678.25 -
2023-09-10 396.5 - 108.0 - - - - 1661.90 -
2023-09-17 357.0 - 93.0 - - - - 1479.40 -
2023-09-24 331.5 - 84.0 - - - - 1321.80 -
2023-10-01 351.0 - 91.0 - - - - 1518.25 -