Prediction 11
Modelo | Random Forest model with uncertainty computed with conformal prediction |
---|---|
Autor | Eduardo Correa Araujo |
Descrição:
Forecast de novos casos para o geocode 2927408 entre 2022-01-01 e 2023-01-01 usando apenas os dados de todos as cidades clusterizadas com 2927408 como input
Mostrar Tabela
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2022-01-02 | 20.93 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 73.44 | - |
2022-01-09 | 21.97 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 69.92 | - |
2022-01-16 | 21.43 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 85.07 | - |
2022-01-23 | 13.66 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 70.92 | - |
2022-01-30 | 7.65 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 136.93 | - |
2022-02-06 | 6.70 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 142.51 | - |
2022-02-13 | 24.40 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 150.57 | - |
2022-02-20 | 24.99 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 170.15 | - |
2022-02-27 | 28.43 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 156.20 | - |
2022-03-06 | 26.84 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 155.73 | - |
2022-03-13 | 28.86 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 166.80 | - |
2022-03-20 | 27.94 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 162.76 | - |
2022-03-27 | 26.89 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 172.55 | - |
2022-04-03 | 29.40 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 153.49 | - |
2022-04-10 | 22.70 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 142.75 | - |
2022-04-17 | 22.51 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 125.38 | - |
2022-04-24 | 23.78 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 104.20 | - |
2022-05-01 | 27.01 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 117.32 | - |
2022-05-08 | 28.03 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 106.22 | - |
2022-05-15 | 28.61 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 135.65 | - |
2022-05-22 | 32.52 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 165.10 | - |
2022-05-29 | 97.64 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 281.60 | - |
2022-06-05 | 98.28 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 289.63 | - |
2022-06-12 | 74.99 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 259.45 | - |
2022-06-19 | 67.70 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 213.85 | - |
2022-06-26 | 73.01 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 198.23 | - |
2022-07-03 | 75.32 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 220.76 | - |
2022-07-10 | 55.89 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 203.35 | - |
2022-07-17 | 54.62 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 222.22 | - |
2022-07-24 | 59.04 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 196.34 | - |
2022-07-31 | 58.73 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 165.92 | - |
2022-08-07 | 65.13 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 174.01 | - |
2022-08-14 | 61.32 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 159.49 | - |
2022-08-21 | 60.90 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 152.49 | - |
2022-08-28 | 57.15 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 165.42 | - |
2022-09-04 | 72.55 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 163.63 | - |
2022-09-11 | 129.94 | - | 55.37 | - | - | - | - | 204.51 | - |
2022-09-18 | 61.71 | - | 0.77 | - | - | - | - | 122.65 | - |
2022-09-25 | 69.51 | - | 15.25 | - | - | - | - | 123.77 | - |
2022-10-02 | 58.43 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 118.83 | - |
2022-10-09 | 58.37 | - | 11.54 | - | - | - | - | 105.20 | - |
2022-10-16 | 53.70 | - | 11.36 | - | - | - | - | 96.04 | - |
2022-10-23 | 55.90 | - | 7.34 | - | - | - | - | 104.46 | - |
2022-10-30 | 58.44 | - | 5.77 | - | - | - | - | 111.11 | - |
2022-11-06 | 63.40 | - | 22.23 | - | - | - | - | 104.57 | - |
2022-11-13 | 62.70 | - | 4.50 | - | - | - | - | 120.90 | - |
2022-11-20 | 62.58 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 133.74 | - |
2022-11-27 | 57.06 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 150.45 | - |
2022-12-04 | 57.97 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 173.76 | - |
2022-12-11 | 102.53 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 224.59 | - |
2022-12-18 | 56.23 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 171.28 | - |
2022-12-25 | 48.94 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 140.50 | - |
2023-01-01 | 34.61 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 92.91 | - |
2023-01-08 | 48.60 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 133.98 | - |
2023-01-15 | 87.58 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 186.92 | - |
2023-01-22 | 51.55 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 173.50 | - |
2023-01-29 | 111.45 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 252.70 | - |
2023-02-05 | 238.70 | - | 125.31 | - | - | - | - | 352.09 | - |
2023-02-12 | 233.68 | - | 116.36 | - | - | - | - | 351.00 | - |
2023-02-19 | 225.18 | - | 134.52 | - | - | - | - | 315.84 | - |
2023-02-26 | 213.86 | - | 153.82 | - | - | - | - | 273.90 | - |
2023-03-05 | 267.45 | - | 193.99 | - | - | - | - | 340.91 | - |
2023-03-12 | 255.74 | - | 203.68 | - | - | - | - | 307.80 | - |
2023-03-19 | 244.30 | - | 194.28 | - | - | - | - | 294.32 | - |
2023-03-26 | 254.95 | - | 183.14 | - | - | - | - | 326.76 | - |
2023-04-02 | 291.94 | - | 202.63 | - | - | - | - | 381.25 | - |
2023-04-09 | 286.76 | - | 200.33 | - | - | - | - | 373.19 | - |
2023-04-16 | 265.27 | - | 166.30 | - | - | - | - | 364.24 | - |
2023-04-23 | 266.10 | - | 176.80 | - | - | - | - | 355.40 | - |
2023-04-30 | 282.54 | - | 171.61 | - | - | - | - | 393.47 | - |
2023-05-07 | 279.01 | - | 154.55 | - | - | - | - | 403.47 | - |
2023-05-14 | 247.72 | - | 127.57 | - | - | - | - | 367.87 | - |
2023-05-21 | 276.99 | - | 136.52 | - | - | - | - | 417.46 | - |
2023-05-28 | 282.33 | - | 143.03 | - | - | - | - | 421.63 | - |
2023-06-04 | 306.53 | - | 153.17 | - | - | - | - | 459.89 | - |
2023-06-11 | 293.02 | - | 118.51 | - | - | - | - | 467.53 | - |
2023-06-18 | 265.16 | - | 84.29 | - | - | - | - | 446.03 | - |
2023-06-25 | 262.07 | - | 96.76 | - | - | - | - | 427.38 | - |
2023-07-02 | 274.19 | - | 84.63 | - | - | - | - | 463.75 | - |