Prediction 11

Dengue Python Quantitative Weekly ADM 2

Modelo Random Forest model with uncertainty computed with conformal prediction
Autor Eduardo Correa Araujo

Descrição:

Forecast de novos casos para o geocode 2927408 entre 2022-01-01 e 2023-01-01 usando apenas os dados de todos as cidades clusterizadas com 2927408 como input


Mostrar Tabela
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-01-02 20.93 - 0.00 - - - - 73.44 -
2022-01-09 21.97 - 0.00 - - - - 69.92 -
2022-01-16 21.43 - 0.00 - - - - 85.07 -
2022-01-23 13.66 - 0.00 - - - - 70.92 -
2022-01-30 7.65 - 0.00 - - - - 136.93 -
2022-02-06 6.70 - 0.00 - - - - 142.51 -
2022-02-13 24.40 - 0.00 - - - - 150.57 -
2022-02-20 24.99 - 0.00 - - - - 170.15 -
2022-02-27 28.43 - 0.00 - - - - 156.20 -
2022-03-06 26.84 - 0.00 - - - - 155.73 -
2022-03-13 28.86 - 0.00 - - - - 166.80 -
2022-03-20 27.94 - 0.00 - - - - 162.76 -
2022-03-27 26.89 - 0.00 - - - - 172.55 -
2022-04-03 29.40 - 0.00 - - - - 153.49 -
2022-04-10 22.70 - 0.00 - - - - 142.75 -
2022-04-17 22.51 - 0.00 - - - - 125.38 -
2022-04-24 23.78 - 0.00 - - - - 104.20 -
2022-05-01 27.01 - 0.00 - - - - 117.32 -
2022-05-08 28.03 - 0.00 - - - - 106.22 -
2022-05-15 28.61 - 0.00 - - - - 135.65 -
2022-05-22 32.52 - 0.00 - - - - 165.10 -
2022-05-29 97.64 - 0.00 - - - - 281.60 -
2022-06-05 98.28 - 0.00 - - - - 289.63 -
2022-06-12 74.99 - 0.00 - - - - 259.45 -
2022-06-19 67.70 - 0.00 - - - - 213.85 -
2022-06-26 73.01 - 0.00 - - - - 198.23 -
2022-07-03 75.32 - 0.00 - - - - 220.76 -
2022-07-10 55.89 - 0.00 - - - - 203.35 -
2022-07-17 54.62 - 0.00 - - - - 222.22 -
2022-07-24 59.04 - 0.00 - - - - 196.34 -
2022-07-31 58.73 - 0.00 - - - - 165.92 -
2022-08-07 65.13 - 0.00 - - - - 174.01 -
2022-08-14 61.32 - 0.00 - - - - 159.49 -
2022-08-21 60.90 - 0.00 - - - - 152.49 -
2022-08-28 57.15 - 0.00 - - - - 165.42 -
2022-09-04 72.55 - 0.00 - - - - 163.63 -
2022-09-11 129.94 - 55.37 - - - - 204.51 -
2022-09-18 61.71 - 0.77 - - - - 122.65 -
2022-09-25 69.51 - 15.25 - - - - 123.77 -
2022-10-02 58.43 - 0.00 - - - - 118.83 -
2022-10-09 58.37 - 11.54 - - - - 105.20 -
2022-10-16 53.70 - 11.36 - - - - 96.04 -
2022-10-23 55.90 - 7.34 - - - - 104.46 -
2022-10-30 58.44 - 5.77 - - - - 111.11 -
2022-11-06 63.40 - 22.23 - - - - 104.57 -
2022-11-13 62.70 - 4.50 - - - - 120.90 -
2022-11-20 62.58 - 0.00 - - - - 133.74 -
2022-11-27 57.06 - 0.00 - - - - 150.45 -
2022-12-04 57.97 - 0.00 - - - - 173.76 -
2022-12-11 102.53 - 0.00 - - - - 224.59 -
2022-12-18 56.23 - 0.00 - - - - 171.28 -
2022-12-25 48.94 - 0.00 - - - - 140.50 -
2023-01-01 34.61 - 0.00 - - - - 92.91 -
2023-01-08 48.60 - 0.00 - - - - 133.98 -
2023-01-15 87.58 - 0.00 - - - - 186.92 -
2023-01-22 51.55 - 0.00 - - - - 173.50 -
2023-01-29 111.45 - 0.00 - - - - 252.70 -
2023-02-05 238.70 - 125.31 - - - - 352.09 -
2023-02-12 233.68 - 116.36 - - - - 351.00 -
2023-02-19 225.18 - 134.52 - - - - 315.84 -
2023-02-26 213.86 - 153.82 - - - - 273.90 -
2023-03-05 267.45 - 193.99 - - - - 340.91 -
2023-03-12 255.74 - 203.68 - - - - 307.80 -
2023-03-19 244.30 - 194.28 - - - - 294.32 -
2023-03-26 254.95 - 183.14 - - - - 326.76 -
2023-04-02 291.94 - 202.63 - - - - 381.25 -
2023-04-09 286.76 - 200.33 - - - - 373.19 -
2023-04-16 265.27 - 166.30 - - - - 364.24 -
2023-04-23 266.10 - 176.80 - - - - 355.40 -
2023-04-30 282.54 - 171.61 - - - - 393.47 -
2023-05-07 279.01 - 154.55 - - - - 403.47 -
2023-05-14 247.72 - 127.57 - - - - 367.87 -
2023-05-21 276.99 - 136.52 - - - - 417.46 -
2023-05-28 282.33 - 143.03 - - - - 421.63 -
2023-06-04 306.53 - 153.17 - - - - 459.89 -
2023-06-11 293.02 - 118.51 - - - - 467.53 -
2023-06-18 265.16 - 84.29 - - - - 446.03 -
2023-06-25 262.07 - 96.76 - - - - 427.38 -
2023-07-02 274.19 - 84.63 - - - - 463.75 -