Prediction 113

Dengue Sprint2425 R Spatio-Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Modelo Temp-SPI Interaction Model
Autor

Descrição:

Validation test 1 for three-way interaction model (MT)


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date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 171.0 - 40.0 - - - - 634.10 -
2022-10-16 178.5 - 42.0 - - - - 695.95 -
2022-10-23 198.0 - 50.0 - - - - 798.75 -
2022-10-30 271.0 - 68.0 - - - - 1062.55 -
2022-11-06 313.0 - 74.0 - - - - 1189.85 -
2022-11-13 398.5 - 92.0 - - - - 1399.00 -
2022-11-20 454.5 - 115.0 - - - - 1820.20 -
2022-11-27 519.5 - 129.0 - - - - 1930.95 -
2022-12-04 622.0 - 157.0 - - - - 2330.55 -
2022-12-11 620.0 - 153.0 - - - - 2396.40 -
2022-12-18 694.0 - 166.0 - - - - 2350.85 -
2022-12-25 796.5 - 194.0 - - - - 2962.05 -
2023-01-01 1153.5 - 298.0 - - - - 4601.90 -
2023-01-08 1355.0 - 352.0 - - - - 5018.00 -
2023-01-15 1481.0 - 367.0 - - - - 5680.15 -
2023-01-22 1544.0 - 415.0 - - - - 6146.00 -
2023-01-29 1426.0 - 361.0 - - - - 5447.35 -
2023-02-05 1464.5 - 388.0 - - - - 5214.60 -
2023-02-12 1423.5 - 363.0 - - - - 5602.55 -
2023-02-19 1404.0 - 346.0 - - - - 5233.95 -
2023-02-26 1107.5 - 265.0 - - - - 4347.50 -
2023-03-05 1094.5 - 278.0 - - - - 4208.80 -
2023-03-12 1032.5 - 253.0 - - - - 4171.05 -
2023-03-19 978.0 - 243.0 - - - - 3785.35 -
2023-03-26 1038.5 - 233.0 - - - - 4002.75 -
2023-04-02 1187.0 - 286.0 - - - - 4816.60 -
2023-04-09 1233.5 - 274.0 - - - - 4398.90 -
2023-04-16 1191.5 - 289.0 - - - - 4791.85 -
2023-04-23 1147.0 - 291.0 - - - - 4341.50 -
2023-04-30 1037.5 - 273.0 - - - - 3938.80 -
2023-05-07 995.5 - 258.0 - - - - 3891.30 -
2023-05-14 943.5 - 238.0 - - - - 3530.30 -
2023-05-21 821.0 - 221.0 - - - - 3004.95 -
2023-05-28 741.5 - 188.0 - - - - 2589.00 -
2023-06-04 579.5 - 140.0 - - - - 2115.15 -
2023-06-11 495.5 - 118.0 - - - - 1905.50 -
2023-06-18 449.5 - 114.0 - - - - 1751.70 -
2023-06-25 389.5 - 102.0 - - - - 1390.70 -
2023-07-02 391.0 - 95.0 - - - - 1568.40 -
2023-07-09 340.0 - 84.0 - - - - 1186.80 -
2023-07-16 288.5 - 71.0 - - - - 1128.95 -
2023-07-23 280.0 - 68.0 - - - - 1110.85 -
2023-07-30 217.5 - 59.0 - - - - 881.45 -
2023-08-06 197.0 - 54.0 - - - - 764.90 -
2023-08-13 187.0 - 44.0 - - - - 701.00 -
2023-08-20 169.0 - 40.0 - - - - 619.95 -
2023-08-27 151.5 - 39.0 - - - - 568.50 -
2023-09-03 147.0 - 34.0 - - - - 591.65 -
2023-09-10 150.0 - 36.0 - - - - 544.75 -
2023-09-17 146.0 - 33.0 - - - - 594.00 -
2023-09-24 149.0 - 39.0 - - - - 600.70 -
2023-10-01 164.0 - 39.0 - - - - 600.70 -