Prediction 116

Dengue Sprint2425 R Spatio-Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Modelo Temp-SPI Interaction Model
Autor

Descrição:

Validation test 1 for three-way interaction model (PE)


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date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 303.0 - 66.0 - - - - 1392.30 -
2022-10-16 342.0 - 70.0 - - - - 1386.90 -
2022-10-23 374.0 - 84.0 - - - - 1679.85 -
2022-10-30 335.5 - 64.0 - - - - 1542.70 -
2022-11-06 345.0 - 85.0 - - - - 1782.10 -
2022-11-13 390.0 - 75.0 - - - - 1608.65 -
2022-11-20 395.5 - 89.0 - - - - 1762.70 -
2022-11-27 404.0 - 96.0 - - - - 1723.30 -
2022-12-04 358.5 - 81.0 - - - - 1707.60 -
2022-12-11 367.5 - 89.0 - - - - 1724.90 -
2022-12-18 360.0 - 83.0 - - - - 1534.40 -
2022-12-25 370.0 - 82.0 - - - - 1679.90 -
2023-01-01 415.0 - 98.0 - - - - 1937.05 -
2023-01-08 449.0 - 111.0 - - - - 1965.60 -
2023-01-15 509.5 - 109.0 - - - - 2301.45 -
2023-01-22 568.5 - 141.0 - - - - 2359.75 -
2023-01-29 643.5 - 151.0 - - - - 3025.85 -
2023-02-05 733.5 - 159.0 - - - - 2985.30 -
2023-02-12 740.5 - 168.0 - - - - 2932.55 -
2023-02-19 844.0 - 199.0 - - - - 3938.55 -
2023-02-26 978.0 - 234.0 - - - - 4468.65 -
2023-03-05 1033.5 - 236.0 - - - - 4263.30 -
2023-03-12 1068.5 - 246.0 - - - - 4466.55 -
2023-03-19 1135.5 - 258.0 - - - - 5063.05 -
2023-03-26 1155.0 - 259.0 - - - - 4959.75 -
2023-04-02 1281.5 - 264.0 - - - - 5562.95 -
2023-04-09 1365.0 - 308.0 - - - - 6034.55 -
2023-04-16 1485.5 - 329.0 - - - - 6986.40 -
2023-04-23 1608.0 - 356.0 - - - - 7395.50 -
2023-04-30 1750.0 - 408.0 - - - - 7561.40 -
2023-05-07 1794.5 - 383.0 - - - - 7746.80 -
2023-05-14 1770.5 - 421.0 - - - - 8349.50 -
2023-05-21 1700.5 - 412.0 - - - - 7216.00 -
2023-05-28 1571.5 - 354.0 - - - - 6915.70 -
2023-06-04 1335.5 - 323.0 - - - - 6015.05 -
2023-06-11 1166.0 - 274.0 - - - - 4985.70 -
2023-06-18 971.5 - 223.0 - - - - 4768.70 -
2023-06-25 848.0 - 184.0 - - - - 3779.10 -
2023-07-02 752.5 - 177.0 - - - - 3257.25 -
2023-07-09 666.0 - 150.0 - - - - 2959.80 -
2023-07-16 563.0 - 127.0 - - - - 2442.00 -
2023-07-23 512.5 - 121.0 - - - - 2441.80 -
2023-07-30 431.0 - 100.0 - - - - 1963.85 -
2023-08-06 394.0 - 95.0 - - - - 1951.90 -
2023-08-13 389.5 - 92.0 - - - - 1722.85 -
2023-08-20 370.0 - 83.0 - - - - 1813.60 -
2023-08-27 387.5 - 85.0 - - - - 1811.60 -
2023-09-03 339.5 - 66.0 - - - - 1568.15 -
2023-09-10 329.0 - 70.0 - - - - 1545.75 -
2023-09-17 309.5 - 73.0 - - - - 1423.45 -
2023-09-24 305.0 - 68.0 - - - - 1425.90 -
2023-10-01 355.0 - 83.0 - - - - 1652.80 -