Prediction 119

Dengue Sprint2425 R Spatio-Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Modelo Temp-SPI Interaction Model
Autor

Descrição:

Validation test 1 for three-way interaction model (RJ)


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date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 202.0 - 50.0 - - - - 876.70 -
2022-10-16 211.0 - 46.0 - - - - 905.45 -
2022-10-23 229.5 - 52.0 - - - - 1113.60 -
2022-10-30 257.0 - 53.0 - - - - 1023.15 -
2022-11-06 265.5 - 58.0 - - - - 1212.05 -
2022-11-13 303.0 - 61.0 - - - - 1264.70 -
2022-11-20 335.0 - 74.0 - - - - 1452.85 -
2022-11-27 366.0 - 74.0 - - - - 1465.60 -
2022-12-04 439.0 - 100.0 - - - - 1968.35 -
2022-12-11 481.0 - 115.0 - - - - 2013.05 -
2022-12-18 550.0 - 118.0 - - - - 2440.65 -
2022-12-25 627.5 - 151.0 - - - - 2764.95 -
2023-01-01 796.5 - 194.0 - - - - 3588.65 -
2023-01-08 997.5 - 233.0 - - - - 4288.15 -
2023-01-15 1069.5 - 262.0 - - - - 5180.30 -
2023-01-22 1200.0 - 265.0 - - - - 5075.10 -
2023-01-29 1342.5 - 304.0 - - - - 5410.50 -
2023-02-05 1349.5 - 314.0 - - - - 6634.05 -
2023-02-12 1574.0 - 345.0 - - - - 6873.35 -
2023-02-19 1826.0 - 404.0 - - - - 7296.55 -
2023-02-26 2266.0 - 514.0 - - - - 9689.20 -
2023-03-05 2339.5 - 580.0 - - - - 10602.55 -
2023-03-12 2721.0 - 640.0 - - - - 11531.95 -
2023-03-19 2707.0 - 674.0 - - - - 11109.60 -
2023-03-26 2715.5 - 599.0 - - - - 11753.35 -
2023-04-02 2529.5 - 535.0 - - - - 11810.75 -
2023-04-09 2550.0 - 573.0 - - - - 11105.90 -
2023-04-16 2420.5 - 515.0 - - - - 11235.00 -
2023-04-23 2209.5 - 517.0 - - - - 9893.15 -
2023-04-30 2594.5 - 550.0 - - - - 12515.95 -
2023-05-07 2277.5 - 483.0 - - - - 10727.10 -
2023-05-14 1845.0 - 378.0 - - - - 8422.85 -
2023-05-21 1556.0 - 338.0 - - - - 7028.80 -
2023-05-28 1365.0 - 295.0 - - - - 5844.85 -
2023-06-04 1031.0 - 218.0 - - - - 4253.70 -
2023-06-11 864.0 - 186.0 - - - - 3781.45 -
2023-06-18 701.5 - 163.0 - - - - 3420.55 -
2023-06-25 604.0 - 131.0 - - - - 2713.30 -
2023-07-02 504.0 - 105.0 - - - - 2250.75 -
2023-07-09 413.5 - 97.0 - - - - 1814.40 -
2023-07-16 366.0 - 78.0 - - - - 1691.45 -
2023-07-23 340.5 - 74.0 - - - - 1519.90 -
2023-07-30 256.0 - 60.0 - - - - 1225.50 -
2023-08-06 260.0 - 53.0 - - - - 1168.45 -
2023-08-13 241.5 - 60.0 - - - - 1119.80 -
2023-08-20 234.0 - 50.0 - - - - 1174.85 -
2023-08-27 223.5 - 55.0 - - - - 917.15 -
2023-09-03 180.5 - 39.0 - - - - 807.55 -
2023-09-10 183.0 - 42.0 - - - - 828.95 -
2023-09-17 182.0 - 41.0 - - - - 756.00 -
2023-09-24 197.0 - 42.0 - - - - 828.55 -
2023-10-01 179.5 - 41.0 - - - - 783.90 -