Prediction 12

Dengue Python Quantitative Weekly ADM 2
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Modelo Random Forest model with uncertainty computed with conformal prediction
Autor Eduardo Correa Araujo

Descrição:

Forecast de novos casos para o geocode 2111300 entre 2022-01-01 e 2023-01-01 usando apenas os dados de todos as cidades clusterizadas com 2111300 como input


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date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-01-02 8.84 - 0.00 - - - - 73.57 -
2022-01-09 4.78 - 0.00 - - - - 67.07 -
2022-01-16 11.60 - 0.00 - - - - 97.96 -
2022-01-23 11.66 - 0.00 - - - - 82.93 -
2022-01-30 15.95 - 0.00 - - - - 97.84 -
2022-02-06 27.97 - 0.00 - - - - 118.11 -
2022-02-13 24.62 - 0.00 - - - - 119.62 -
2022-02-20 28.76 - 0.00 - - - - 129.74 -
2022-02-27 12.88 - 0.00 - - - - 84.77 -
2022-03-06 17.66 - 0.00 - - - - 92.98 -
2022-03-13 17.99 - 0.00 - - - - 77.32 -
2022-03-20 31.42 - 0.00 - - - - 103.47 -
2022-03-27 39.07 - 0.00 - - - - 131.09 -
2022-04-03 31.05 - 0.00 - - - - 145.18 -
2022-04-10 35.63 - 0.00 - - - - 161.92 -
2022-04-17 41.31 - 0.00 - - - - 159.26 -
2022-04-24 37.47 - 0.00 - - - - 171.58 -
2022-05-01 59.97 - 0.00 - - - - 172.00 -
2022-05-08 53.21 - 0.00 - - - - 166.56 -
2022-05-15 60.08 - 0.00 - - - - 171.90 -
2022-05-22 68.79 - 0.00 - - - - 152.89 -
2022-05-29 246.72 - 165.79 - - - - 327.65 -
2022-06-05 270.05 - 188.01 - - - - 352.09 -
2022-06-12 186.39 - 116.93 - - - - 255.85 -
2022-06-19 141.51 - 79.30 - - - - 203.72 -
2022-06-26 157.31 - 90.39 - - - - 224.23 -
2022-07-03 128.16 - 48.57 - - - - 207.75 -
2022-07-10 148.57 - 58.53 - - - - 238.61 -
2022-07-17 139.50 - 34.76 - - - - 244.24 -
2022-07-24 170.87 - 56.11 - - - - 285.63 -
2022-07-31 169.80 - 75.76 - - - - 263.84 -
2022-08-07 187.33 - 100.45 - - - - 274.21 -
2022-08-14 200.56 - 140.96 - - - - 260.16 -
2022-08-21 184.44 - 133.16 - - - - 235.72 -
2022-08-28 161.43 - 93.68 - - - - 229.18 -
2022-09-04 142.18 - 71.10 - - - - 213.26 -
2022-09-11 119.79 - 41.18 - - - - 198.40 -
2022-09-18 107.18 - 15.33 - - - - 199.03 -
2022-09-25 89.48 - 5.21 - - - - 173.75 -
2022-10-02 77.99 - 0.00 - - - - 168.58 -
2022-10-09 80.28 - 0.00 - - - - 174.79 -
2022-10-16 70.06 - 0.00 - - - - 150.32 -
2022-10-23 40.45 - 0.00 - - - - 112.90 -
2022-10-30 28.01 - 0.00 - - - - 89.19 -
2022-11-06 87.32 - 45.30 - - - - 129.34 -
2022-11-13 52.27 - 10.89 - - - - 93.65 -
2022-11-20 45.18 - 17.08 - - - - 73.28 -
2022-11-27 24.62 - 3.88 - - - - 45.36 -
2022-12-04 52.44 - 13.62 - - - - 91.26 -
2022-12-11 63.61 - 0.00 - - - - 134.68 -
2022-12-18 52.08 - 0.00 - - - - 139.35 -
2022-12-25 26.59 - 0.00 - - - - 113.30 -
2023-01-01 23.93 - 0.00 - - - - 111.91 -
2023-01-08 24.61 - 0.00 - - - - 128.72 -
2023-01-15 26.51 - 0.00 - - - - 131.13 -
2023-01-22 22.42 - 0.00 - - - - 114.79 -
2023-01-29 28.40 - 0.00 - - - - 127.61 -
2023-02-05 61.23 - 0.00 - - - - 142.71 -
2023-02-12 31.55 - 0.00 - - - - 121.85 -
2023-02-19 35.06 - 0.00 - - - - 114.57 -
2023-02-26 41.42 - 0.00 - - - - 124.72 -
2023-03-05 48.85 - 0.00 - - - - 130.10 -
2023-03-12 49.85 - 0.00 - - - - 124.24 -
2023-03-19 48.39 - 0.00 - - - - 119.09 -
2023-03-26 172.31 - 90.26 - - - - 254.36 -
2023-04-02 195.10 - 108.46 - - - - 281.74 -
2023-04-09 146.51 - 52.46 - - - - 240.56 -
2023-04-16 131.18 - 33.05 - - - - 229.31 -
2023-04-23 118.04 - 15.25 - - - - 220.83 -
2023-04-30 64.56 - 0.00 - - - - 167.22 -
2023-05-07 87.84 - 0.00 - - - - 178.98 -
2023-05-14 124.78 - 40.39 - - - - 209.17 -
2023-05-21 127.68 - 51.04 - - - - 204.32 -
2023-05-28 125.61 - 53.87 - - - - 197.35 -
2023-06-04 140.94 - 82.17 - - - - 199.71 -
2023-06-11 66.19 - 0.00 - - - - 136.61 -
2023-06-18 47.38 - 0.00 - - - - 112.06 -
2023-06-25 31.63 - 0.00 - - - - 92.58 -
2023-07-02 38.14 - 0.00 - - - - 94.27 -