Prediction 126

Dengue Sprint2425 R Spatio-Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Modelo Temp-SPI Interaction Model
Autor

Descrição:

Validation test 1 for three-way interaction model (SP)


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date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 1315.5 - 402.0 - - - - 4423.60 -
2022-10-16 1470.5 - 433.0 - - - - 4870.50 -
2022-10-23 1461.0 - 426.0 - - - - 4804.90 -
2022-10-30 1531.5 - 436.0 - - - - 5049.15 -
2022-11-06 1564.0 - 472.0 - - - - 5152.75 -
2022-11-13 1644.0 - 522.0 - - - - 5578.45 -
2022-11-20 1804.5 - 532.0 - - - - 5923.35 -
2022-11-27 1783.5 - 521.0 - - - - 6024.90 -
2022-12-04 2013.5 - 596.0 - - - - 6303.00 -
2022-12-11 1925.0 - 600.0 - - - - 6175.65 -
2022-12-18 1952.5 - 601.0 - - - - 6480.40 -
2022-12-25 2165.5 - 628.0 - - - - 7624.80 -
2023-01-01 2979.0 - 870.0 - - - - 10405.85 -
2023-01-08 3564.0 - 1071.0 - - - - 11525.50 -
2023-01-15 4432.5 - 1352.0 - - - - 14134.25 -
2023-01-22 5196.5 - 1609.0 - - - - 16672.05 -
2023-01-29 6860.0 - 1974.0 - - - - 23122.65 -
2023-02-05 7644.0 - 2264.0 - - - - 25369.90 -
2023-02-12 8730.0 - 2644.0 - - - - 28235.65 -
2023-02-19 9770.5 - 2776.0 - - - - 31328.15 -
2023-02-26 12106.5 - 3598.0 - - - - 41981.05 -
2023-03-05 13159.5 - 3828.0 - - - - 45130.15 -
2023-03-12 13868.5 - 4001.0 - - - - 49311.95 -
2023-03-19 14603.5 - 4521.0 - - - - 48638.80 -
2023-03-26 15058.5 - 4405.0 - - - - 50839.60 -
2023-04-02 15738.0 - 4841.0 - - - - 52442.40 -
2023-04-09 16368.0 - 4902.0 - - - - 55022.40 -
2023-04-16 15689.5 - 4557.0 - - - - 51204.00 -
2023-04-23 14668.5 - 4581.0 - - - - 51531.05 -
2023-04-30 14054.5 - 4017.0 - - - - 46355.80 -
2023-05-07 11393.5 - 3291.0 - - - - 38441.30 -
2023-05-14 8812.0 - 2547.0 - - - - 31785.50 -
2023-05-21 6409.5 - 1961.0 - - - - 21050.35 -
2023-05-28 4893.0 - 1417.0 - - - - 16399.75 -
2023-06-04 3818.0 - 1117.0 - - - - 13111.85 -
2023-06-11 3005.0 - 856.0 - - - - 9780.95 -
2023-06-18 2440.5 - 759.0 - - - - 7948.95 -
2023-06-25 1930.0 - 612.0 - - - - 6823.70 -
2023-07-02 1498.5 - 462.0 - - - - 4997.75 -
2023-07-09 1274.0 - 379.0 - - - - 4239.80 -
2023-07-16 1141.0 - 342.0 - - - - 3629.45 -
2023-07-23 1058.5 - 312.0 - - - - 3622.55 -
2023-07-30 865.0 - 269.0 - - - - 2796.15 -
2023-08-06 869.0 - 263.0 - - - - 2773.70 -
2023-08-13 872.5 - 245.0 - - - - 2893.85 -
2023-08-20 854.5 - 246.0 - - - - 2700.90 -
2023-08-27 893.5 - 265.0 - - - - 3191.50 -
2023-09-03 787.5 - 235.0 - - - - 2565.85 -
2023-09-10 885.0 - 258.0 - - - - 2896.20 -
2023-09-17 942.0 - 293.0 - - - - 3216.10 -
2023-09-24 1008.0 - 301.0 - - - - 3339.55 -
2023-10-01 1056.0 - 313.0 - - - - 3650.15 -