Prediction 1291

Dengue Sprint2425 R Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model LaCiD/UFRN
Author Laboratório de Ciência de Dados
ADM 1 Amapá

Description:

Dengue predictions for AP using Validation Test 1


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 4.57 1.02 1.40 1.91 2.89 7.09 9.53 11.41 13.27
2022-10-16 4.79 0.39 0.71 1.15 2.39 8.13 12.23 15.57 19.16
2022-10-23 5.32 0.25 0.55 0.93 2.51 9.55 14.83 20.25 23.60
2022-10-30 7.28 0.36 0.74 1.33 3.33 13.79 23.81 32.18 37.93
2022-11-06 9.37 0.43 0.84 1.52 3.90 18.46 30.21 43.44 51.83
2022-11-13 8.57 0.15 0.42 0.98 3.00 18.91 32.49 47.81 62.90
2022-11-20 7.95 0.05 0.19 0.60 2.57 18.47 33.40 47.15 68.07
2022-11-27 7.45 0.01 0.10 0.41 2.05 18.60 35.65 51.02 70.72
2022-12-04 7.90 0.01 0.09 0.43 2.19 22.00 40.63 57.66 83.60
2022-12-11 8.61 0.01 0.05 0.33 1.92 23.55 43.95 60.35 88.14
2022-12-18 18.97 0.06 0.52 1.39 6.19 47.64 86.49 112.71 159.42
2022-12-25 11.60 0.01 0.06 0.39 2.98 30.76 63.26 90.55 125.73
2023-01-01 7.34 -0.00 0.00 0.06 1.36 22.66 47.07 76.78 98.41
2023-01-08 4.84 -0.00 0.00 0.01 0.72 17.97 41.05 63.57 94.22
2023-01-15 4.11 -0.01 -0.00 0.00 0.50 16.75 40.95 75.68 97.26
2023-01-22 3.62 -0.05 -0.00 0.00 0.32 16.19 41.45 66.26 100.50
2023-01-29 2.86 -0.10 -0.00 0.00 0.15 15.05 41.16 60.94 91.05
2023-02-05 2.74 -0.19 -0.01 0.00 0.16 15.82 45.77 66.73 96.20
2023-02-12 3.86 -0.09 -0.01 0.00 0.32 20.08 55.56 83.66 115.33
2023-02-19 4.43 -0.08 -0.00 0.00 0.39 21.96 62.21 94.56 123.32
2023-02-26 3.49 -0.27 -0.01 0.00 0.22 18.58 60.05 92.59 127.55
2023-03-05 2.82 -0.34 -0.03 -0.00 0.11 17.35 55.50 88.55 125.40
2023-03-12 3.00 -0.33 -0.04 -0.00 0.14 20.45 56.49 100.48 140.42
2023-03-19 2.74 -0.40 -0.04 -0.00 0.11 20.83 59.86 96.72 145.20
2023-03-26 3.11 -0.42 -0.06 -0.00 0.09 22.25 71.14 106.56 184.46
2023-04-02 3.45 -0.46 -0.08 -0.00 0.19 24.47 77.51 125.38 196.84
2023-04-09 4.10 -0.40 -0.05 -0.00 0.19 28.09 83.35 151.08 216.57
2023-04-16 3.54 -0.80 -0.12 -0.00 0.11 25.00 81.07 133.17 214.88
2023-04-23 3.02 -0.81 -0.16 -0.00 0.10 23.72 80.39 132.75 205.09
2023-04-30 2.79 -1.23 -0.36 -0.02 0.03 20.49 75.68 126.83 196.37
2023-05-07 4.07 -0.62 -0.16 -0.00 0.10 29.59 96.18 167.43 237.52
2023-05-14 4.29 -1.22 -0.31 -0.01 0.08 25.92 86.06 156.18 248.68
2023-05-21 4.13 -1.11 -0.28 -0.01 0.07 25.94 94.33 164.96 245.56
2023-05-28 5.80 -0.91 -0.21 -0.00 0.10 30.79 106.50 179.54 278.52
2023-06-04 2.97 -2.27 -0.57 -0.05 0.02 21.48 81.99 166.26 239.37
2023-06-11 2.77 -1.72 -0.74 -0.05 0.01 23.50 90.20 157.60 219.39
2023-06-18 3.25 -1.88 -0.55 -0.04 0.02 24.32 92.48 158.57 265.77
2023-06-25 3.22 -2.18 -0.58 -0.05 0.01 25.04 86.96 162.42 241.67
2023-07-02 3.03 -2.44 -0.85 -0.09 0.01 22.73 84.42 160.15 276.14
2023-07-09 3.23 -3.80 -1.32 -0.11 0.01 23.59 84.90 191.97 292.73
2023-07-16 2.85 -4.63 -1.75 -0.12 0.00 22.23 80.28 192.73 282.75
2023-07-23 2.41 -5.03 -1.68 -0.13 0.01 23.91 85.52 176.31 299.34
2023-07-30 2.13 -5.75 -2.15 -0.29 0.00 20.96 80.18 174.76 319.49
2023-08-06 1.28 -8.09 -2.57 -0.49 -0.00 17.94 67.99 155.89 300.31
2023-08-13 0.77 -10.47 -4.85 -0.87 -0.00 14.55 60.25 135.84 251.89
2023-08-20 0.81 -12.20 -4.77 -0.88 -0.00 14.68 69.34 137.47 230.18
2023-08-27 0.38 -16.86 -7.35 -1.29 -0.01 11.70 59.40 124.40 243.12
2023-09-03 0.15 -24.25 -9.28 -1.88 -0.02 9.76 51.43 114.80 208.92
2023-09-10 0.41 -21.39 -6.37 -1.36 -0.00 13.27 64.50 138.25 285.45
2023-09-17 0.50 -23.55 -6.80 -1.37 -0.00 13.57 62.59 137.95 260.20
2023-09-24 0.63 -23.01 -7.14 -1.43 -0.00 13.87 68.10 130.29 237.17
2023-10-01 0.96 -23.48 -6.44 -1.17 -0.00 16.59 80.31 156.66 271.57
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