Prediction 1292

Dengue Sprint2425 R Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model LaCiD/UFRN
Author Laboratório de Ciência de Dados
ADM 1 Bahia

Description:

Dengue predictions for BA using Validation Test 1


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 274.75 178.85 193.51 210.39 237.50 320.55 358.42 384.75 409.32
2022-10-16 190.77 109.83 118.55 131.48 155.18 229.70 271.47 298.71 321.11
2022-10-23 196.42 109.25 119.01 134.02 161.85 236.24 284.86 312.24 340.15
2022-10-30 142.97 76.79 86.23 96.61 117.68 175.69 206.82 228.54 255.67
2022-11-06 48.26 24.73 27.09 30.50 38.09 60.54 72.41 82.15 90.20
2022-11-13 56.04 29.46 32.30 37.24 44.58 70.91 86.68 97.25 105.84
2022-11-20 52.83 26.86 29.51 33.61 41.67 65.89 80.14 89.94 100.49
2022-11-27 70.21 35.86 39.50 44.71 55.33 86.76 103.75 117.56 128.22
2022-12-04 63.57 31.63 35.60 41.10 50.73 80.70 97.63 112.13 122.73
2022-12-11 66.88 33.70 37.67 41.91 52.62 82.44 99.72 109.96 125.11
2022-12-18 62.99 30.18 33.10 38.80 49.51 78.52 93.68 109.07 119.73
2022-12-25 57.54 29.78 33.38 37.76 45.90 72.47 87.37 98.36 108.73
2023-01-01 472.19 287.68 315.96 342.97 401.92 559.11 641.34 712.13 762.58
2023-01-08 1780.84 1196.20 1279.33 1381.13 1558.84 2067.15 2312.28 2504.23 2642.72
2023-01-15 821.36 529.14 555.20 602.13 705.62 958.86 1092.71 1192.47 1279.25
2023-01-22 1043.54 656.99 705.16 772.24 896.54 1219.74 1408.97 1509.80 1620.30
2023-01-29 1203.83 764.24 814.73 894.24 1019.65 1390.63 1583.59 1740.54 1870.10
2023-02-05 1609.26 1018.48 1090.67 1187.22 1378.09 1812.24 2040.67 2224.65 2382.65
2023-02-12 1597.38 1059.89 1121.05 1200.29 1373.90 1832.31 2065.76 2265.30 2442.41
2023-02-19 933.12 586.24 615.88 672.38 791.50 1089.77 1228.90 1319.43 1416.24
2023-02-26 1342.36 876.86 939.52 1014.46 1151.16 1549.49 1765.60 1905.80 2007.12
2023-03-05 1342.34 855.64 908.46 993.50 1144.41 1565.80 1763.41 1883.35 1994.22
2023-03-12 1575.08 1036.75 1127.31 1210.08 1355.89 1826.70 2041.03 2183.92 2295.96
2023-03-19 1290.44 844.57 901.35 968.80 1109.63 1469.59 1664.00 1763.60 1870.89
2023-03-26 1382.35 890.98 962.54 1042.54 1205.46 1568.75 1795.92 1914.04 2076.45
2023-04-02 1019.91 654.88 696.68 768.00 872.49 1190.91 1349.78 1468.90 1570.12
2023-04-09 931.95 621.62 650.61 700.66 810.46 1084.92 1239.26 1355.51 1459.33
2023-04-16 2779.72 1873.42 1973.28 2121.51 2387.22 3148.46 3485.02 3724.50 3931.98
2023-04-23 936.17 614.97 654.55 718.71 818.75 1093.28 1255.50 1339.01 1439.16
2023-04-30 1344.32 898.11 950.93 1014.10 1154.68 1543.39 1731.43 1895.88 2066.12
2023-05-07 1930.75 1272.25 1373.09 1486.92 1686.40 2239.81 2488.18 2636.67 2809.28
2023-05-14 1657.19 1077.56 1164.68 1263.74 1432.78 1883.47 2133.04 2292.19 2461.20
2023-05-21 1522.71 1003.81 1066.67 1163.14 1331.61 1749.14 1983.04 2130.25 2249.59
2023-05-28 1300.87 822.61 878.71 959.58 1121.35 1487.37 1691.73 1830.39 1924.94
2023-06-04 1740.45 1163.15 1233.27 1351.74 1517.50 1991.91 2273.55 2450.77 2596.87
2023-06-11 1400.86 903.22 963.47 1048.23 1210.25 1614.59 1813.11 1946.25 2061.19
2023-06-18 1438.53 959.67 1021.26 1102.56 1251.91 1650.49 1873.01 1970.06 2162.21
2023-06-25 1205.48 759.26 833.20 913.48 1045.12 1390.51 1563.11 1716.92 1823.00
2023-07-02 1189.02 770.24 826.67 883.05 1011.18 1371.72 1558.39 1682.04 1770.26
2023-07-09 1157.04 729.23 790.22 851.76 1002.68 1349.02 1514.97 1703.99 1795.94
2023-07-16 1376.89 908.24 966.77 1037.75 1200.08 1588.94 1807.29 1957.80 2079.35
2023-07-23 1195.91 791.77 851.98 908.05 1026.09 1383.32 1569.93 1718.69 1807.69
2023-07-30 652.77 398.05 439.43 479.55 556.13 769.14 880.50 955.25 1007.99
2023-08-06 981.56 629.14 676.77 727.81 842.43 1143.86 1281.61 1394.54 1472.10
2023-08-13 698.38 417.86 459.59 507.42 583.09 831.86 947.40 1031.26 1089.17
2023-08-20 576.18 344.31 385.88 423.20 491.70 676.89 784.23 840.35 892.12
2023-08-27 530.86 330.83 353.17 386.98 445.24 627.98 722.08 789.96 856.98
2023-09-03 602.09 370.45 396.22 426.19 498.74 706.87 815.36 886.70 947.89
2023-09-10 377.00 223.51 245.82 268.09 315.79 447.33 513.06 557.74 600.59
2023-09-17 358.32 214.70 234.50 253.80 297.97 430.94 497.85 539.72 584.76
2023-09-24 419.51 249.70 274.06 305.38 355.98 495.80 568.24 622.56 680.78
2023-10-01 334.62 200.95 218.77 238.86 280.42 399.38 466.29 505.85 538.14
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