Prediction 1293
Model | LaCiD/UFRN |
---|---|
Author | Laboratório de Ciência de Dados |
ADM 1 | Ceará |
Description:
Dengue predictions for CE using Validation Test 1
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2022-10-09 | 221.78 | 140.80 | 153.23 | 167.52 | 190.42 | 260.13 | 291.66 | 313.48 | 333.77 |
2022-10-16 | 195.17 | 110.60 | 119.70 | 133.17 | 158.26 | 234.95 | 277.70 | 304.78 | 327.08 |
2022-10-23 | 159.24 | 84.46 | 92.69 | 105.48 | 129.56 | 193.07 | 234.26 | 257.67 | 281.28 |
2022-10-30 | 91.36 | 43.75 | 50.61 | 57.94 | 73.02 | 115.02 | 137.91 | 153.46 | 173.93 |
2022-11-06 | 139.01 | 76.24 | 82.84 | 92.34 | 112.83 | 170.06 | 198.94 | 222.38 | 240.18 |
2022-11-13 | 207.61 | 120.74 | 130.76 | 147.33 | 171.74 | 252.73 | 297.79 | 327.31 | 350.87 |
2022-11-20 | 148.71 | 81.09 | 88.08 | 98.98 | 120.50 | 180.69 | 214.33 | 237.21 | 260.68 |
2022-11-27 | 138.85 | 72.84 | 80.42 | 90.49 | 110.45 | 168.82 | 199.69 | 223.09 | 241.70 |
2022-12-04 | 130.51 | 67.05 | 75.23 | 86.15 | 105.48 | 162.85 | 194.19 | 220.34 | 238.82 |
2022-12-11 | 84.25 | 40.69 | 45.99 | 51.52 | 65.55 | 104.48 | 126.60 | 139.72 | 158.69 |
2022-12-18 | 60.28 | 26.06 | 29.21 | 34.98 | 46.08 | 76.59 | 92.52 | 108.55 | 119.50 |
2022-12-25 | 27.09 | 11.20 | 13.06 | 15.51 | 20.16 | 36.37 | 45.76 | 52.56 | 59.61 |
2023-01-01 | 94.03 | 47.06 | 54.09 | 60.72 | 75.79 | 117.66 | 140.74 | 160.65 | 175.48 |
2023-01-08 | 326.25 | 195.93 | 213.94 | 236.49 | 275.58 | 392.08 | 450.48 | 496.07 | 528.45 |
2023-01-15 | 89.92 | 46.03 | 49.70 | 56.45 | 72.07 | 112.75 | 135.93 | 153.45 | 168.90 |
2023-01-22 | 254.79 | 142.63 | 156.12 | 175.72 | 211.43 | 307.28 | 365.65 | 396.16 | 430.24 |
2023-01-29 | 288.38 | 163.71 | 178.01 | 199.80 | 235.39 | 343.27 | 400.22 | 447.64 | 485.95 |
2023-02-05 | 265.00 | 144.19 | 157.88 | 177.76 | 216.74 | 309.16 | 357.83 | 399.39 | 433.63 |
2023-02-12 | 259.24 | 150.32 | 162.48 | 177.73 | 212.36 | 309.05 | 358.66 | 403.00 | 441.17 |
2023-02-19 | 278.48 | 158.95 | 168.64 | 188.08 | 229.19 | 333.28 | 382.44 | 415.48 | 449.62 |
2023-02-26 | 435.83 | 267.09 | 289.45 | 316.91 | 366.23 | 510.98 | 591.52 | 642.75 | 678.83 |
2023-03-05 | 689.47 | 430.70 | 460.25 | 505.48 | 586.56 | 807.20 | 910.94 | 973.50 | 1030.07 |
2023-03-12 | 663.40 | 423.11 | 464.71 | 501.05 | 566.49 | 774.91 | 870.33 | 934.98 | 982.71 |
2023-03-19 | 549.17 | 346.46 | 371.92 | 402.90 | 467.02 | 630.73 | 718.09 | 764.86 | 811.83 |
2023-03-26 | 642.92 | 402.43 | 438.84 | 477.42 | 557.33 | 732.96 | 841.02 | 898.43 | 976.29 |
2023-04-02 | 511.27 | 319.01 | 340.99 | 378.47 | 434.19 | 600.44 | 684.50 | 746.56 | 798.00 |
2023-04-09 | 296.73 | 183.48 | 194.28 | 212.41 | 252.43 | 353.83 | 411.77 | 455.31 | 495.50 |
2023-04-16 | 926.76 | 603.48 | 640.12 | 692.66 | 787.33 | 1058.34 | 1178.32 | 1264.96 | 1333.92 |
2023-04-23 | 382.51 | 238.78 | 256.46 | 285.14 | 329.93 | 453.35 | 525.86 | 564.77 | 608.05 |
2023-04-30 | 454.31 | 286.56 | 306.17 | 329.76 | 382.23 | 529.43 | 600.80 | 661.62 | 727.06 |
2023-05-07 | 791.94 | 508.66 | 552.90 | 600.73 | 687.62 | 924.90 | 1031.76 | 1092.83 | 1166.53 |
2023-05-14 | 850.19 | 549.07 | 593.91 | 646.23 | 734.98 | 967.63 | 1094.30 | 1178.15 | 1261.52 |
2023-05-21 | 612.41 | 388.00 | 414.86 | 457.25 | 529.32 | 708.72 | 809.20 | 871.39 | 921.58 |
2023-05-28 | 602.03 | 369.47 | 396.85 | 435.78 | 515.38 | 692.97 | 789.69 | 857.90 | 901.67 |
2023-06-04 | 406.91 | 249.80 | 268.32 | 300.23 | 344.74 | 477.25 | 557.15 | 607.13 | 647.79 |
2023-06-11 | 443.89 | 266.49 | 287.61 | 317.95 | 375.50 | 520.28 | 590.88 | 636.98 | 680.99 |
2023-06-18 | 540.67 | 345.90 | 370.10 | 403.00 | 464.65 | 626.87 | 718.59 | 757.70 | 837.37 |
2023-06-25 | 357.86 | 207.27 | 230.55 | 257.97 | 302.41 | 420.94 | 481.81 | 535.45 | 572.60 |
2023-07-02 | 306.22 | 179.72 | 197.42 | 213.25 | 251.68 | 362.62 | 420.52 | 459.22 | 487.50 |
2023-07-09 | 348.83 | 201.90 | 221.70 | 243.47 | 295.73 | 415.85 | 473.22 | 541.41 | 574.20 |
2023-07-16 | 339.23 | 203.99 | 220.10 | 240.64 | 287.35 | 402.22 | 468.04 | 512.54 | 549.75 |
2023-07-23 | 240.86 | 141.17 | 155.94 | 169.08 | 198.44 | 288.76 | 336.75 | 376.76 | 400.16 |
2023-07-30 | 231.09 | 128.43 | 144.76 | 160.50 | 191.95 | 279.54 | 326.09 | 356.18 | 379.25 |
2023-08-06 | 274.09 | 159.67 | 174.08 | 190.92 | 227.95 | 329.08 | 375.30 | 413.16 | 440.00 |
2023-08-13 | 197.83 | 103.97 | 117.61 | 133.52 | 158.80 | 244.48 | 284.40 | 315.65 | 335.75 |
2023-08-20 | 196.80 | 105.24 | 121.26 | 135.94 | 162.89 | 237.65 | 281.32 | 304.63 | 325.97 |
2023-08-27 | 237.41 | 137.48 | 149.18 | 165.50 | 194.97 | 286.71 | 334.22 | 368.70 | 402.59 |
2023-09-03 | 148.64 | 78.99 | 86.49 | 95.04 | 117.01 | 181.63 | 216.15 | 239.79 | 259.55 |
2023-09-10 | 107.30 | 54.02 | 61.61 | 68.95 | 85.39 | 132.80 | 157.04 | 174.02 | 189.95 |
2023-09-17 | 123.70 | 65.14 | 73.01 | 80.59 | 98.58 | 154.60 | 183.51 | 201.62 | 221.14 |
2023-09-24 | 83.70 | 40.36 | 46.16 | 53.92 | 66.91 | 104.60 | 125.28 | 140.30 | 157.42 |
2023-10-01 | 76.79 | 37.99 | 42.96 | 48.45 | 60.56 | 97.20 | 118.62 | 131.68 | 142.00 |