Prediction 1294
Model | LaCiD/UFRN |
---|---|
Author | Laboratório de Ciência de Dados |
ADM 1 | Distrito Federal |
Description:
Dengue predictions for DF using Validation Test 1
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2022-10-09 | 315.60 | 195.46 | 213.48 | 234.41 | 268.35 | 374.55 | 423.91 | 458.50 | 490.99 |
2022-10-16 | 466.91 | 227.29 | 249.50 | 285.57 | 353.37 | 590.00 | 726.69 | 836.01 | 903.48 |
2022-10-23 | 520.54 | 252.41 | 278.50 | 324.49 | 410.30 | 664.32 | 855.05 | 972.28 | 1048.00 |
2022-10-30 | 249.47 | 100.91 | 116.65 | 139.68 | 186.79 | 330.91 | 414.02 | 482.74 | 549.47 |
2022-11-06 | 153.34 | 61.32 | 71.21 | 85.07 | 112.66 | 200.56 | 258.65 | 296.31 | 351.91 |
2022-11-13 | 476.55 | 228.98 | 260.13 | 296.50 | 375.34 | 611.04 | 760.00 | 878.14 | 990.12 |
2022-11-20 | 383.76 | 177.04 | 202.44 | 229.34 | 282.99 | 499.06 | 629.80 | 697.79 | 764.32 |
2022-11-27 | 445.83 | 201.97 | 228.97 | 271.92 | 345.45 | 574.06 | 707.80 | 807.20 | 919.23 |
2022-12-04 | 449.77 | 213.23 | 241.32 | 273.41 | 346.03 | 595.55 | 735.54 | 856.56 | 954.71 |
2022-12-11 | 678.99 | 313.40 | 352.71 | 417.22 | 529.08 | 869.15 | 1057.91 | 1159.12 | 1340.00 |
2022-12-18 | 527.68 | 233.00 | 273.68 | 313.69 | 405.45 | 683.20 | 845.34 | 959.43 | 1096.25 |
2022-12-25 | 323.95 | 145.39 | 162.24 | 191.63 | 245.86 | 420.38 | 533.41 | 627.52 | 705.31 |
2023-01-01 | 495.32 | 228.99 | 262.29 | 303.66 | 380.26 | 637.17 | 781.10 | 865.67 | 997.68 |
2023-01-08 | 1104.29 | 558.69 | 616.81 | 704.84 | 876.47 | 1379.15 | 1673.82 | 1889.45 | 2164.87 |
2023-01-15 | 609.23 | 275.45 | 315.92 | 377.17 | 472.56 | 766.90 | 956.19 | 1061.49 | 1192.69 |
2023-01-22 | 931.15 | 450.06 | 495.52 | 583.91 | 733.05 | 1171.53 | 1457.07 | 1641.29 | 1767.66 |
2023-01-29 | 618.03 | 267.40 | 321.15 | 369.76 | 458.46 | 783.47 | 990.07 | 1131.61 | 1259.24 |
2023-02-05 | 1158.98 | 530.03 | 617.24 | 738.06 | 916.98 | 1469.70 | 1770.56 | 2020.41 | 2211.32 |
2023-02-12 | 960.18 | 486.05 | 517.17 | 617.51 | 760.08 | 1208.54 | 1484.46 | 1704.62 | 1945.58 |
2023-02-19 | 603.14 | 271.47 | 313.16 | 366.98 | 464.20 | 772.03 | 938.55 | 1086.08 | 1184.22 |
2023-02-26 | 1055.02 | 537.08 | 588.24 | 666.53 | 830.00 | 1326.37 | 1634.62 | 1803.99 | 1990.49 |
2023-03-05 | 850.76 | 410.15 | 449.84 | 520.20 | 666.79 | 1088.60 | 1342.63 | 1479.16 | 1611.29 |
2023-03-12 | 1098.17 | 556.30 | 630.02 | 703.08 | 865.63 | 1407.36 | 1692.60 | 1939.06 | 2093.10 |
2023-03-19 | 829.41 | 417.92 | 447.85 | 515.17 | 650.27 | 1028.76 | 1227.64 | 1369.81 | 1487.67 |
2023-03-26 | 1306.89 | 663.47 | 746.13 | 859.98 | 1051.18 | 1587.44 | 1877.02 | 2121.03 | 2353.74 |
2023-04-02 | 1058.57 | 508.92 | 601.43 | 676.20 | 828.39 | 1325.66 | 1608.76 | 1777.80 | 2005.80 |
2023-04-09 | 637.80 | 299.92 | 345.66 | 387.82 | 507.61 | 803.02 | 1002.38 | 1129.80 | 1234.21 |
2023-04-16 | 2344.70 | 1271.74 | 1384.60 | 1569.19 | 1855.81 | 2865.68 | 3313.97 | 3660.06 | 3904.93 |
2023-04-23 | 681.97 | 338.15 | 383.16 | 431.38 | 533.20 | 864.42 | 1068.24 | 1203.26 | 1343.37 |
2023-04-30 | 1031.17 | 550.35 | 585.74 | 658.82 | 821.12 | 1280.24 | 1554.25 | 1724.53 | 1979.19 |
2023-05-07 | 1188.06 | 596.13 | 680.20 | 759.40 | 935.15 | 1499.24 | 1766.63 | 1950.39 | 2107.10 |
2023-05-14 | 749.46 | 351.52 | 411.93 | 478.73 | 599.64 | 955.55 | 1174.54 | 1354.08 | 1527.94 |
2023-05-21 | 1002.68 | 484.14 | 558.78 | 634.88 | 796.34 | 1239.83 | 1465.97 | 1658.65 | 1831.43 |
2023-05-28 | 530.35 | 238.35 | 270.58 | 315.73 | 403.85 | 660.32 | 841.99 | 944.91 | 1054.36 |
2023-06-04 | 793.70 | 372.31 | 429.53 | 506.69 | 620.41 | 992.46 | 1229.25 | 1399.47 | 1568.91 |
2023-06-11 | 572.44 | 258.83 | 290.29 | 342.41 | 444.60 | 726.48 | 886.20 | 998.70 | 1090.07 |
2023-06-18 | 761.56 | 375.28 | 415.87 | 488.82 | 602.13 | 931.11 | 1168.27 | 1321.25 | 1483.30 |
2023-06-25 | 467.81 | 203.85 | 239.46 | 289.14 | 362.25 | 593.36 | 739.33 | 830.70 | 927.71 |
2023-07-02 | 320.33 | 139.11 | 161.56 | 187.68 | 242.26 | 420.49 | 529.37 | 600.57 | 673.20 |
2023-07-09 | 529.21 | 240.36 | 269.99 | 320.39 | 408.83 | 681.96 | 841.38 | 982.18 | 1056.68 |
2023-07-16 | 519.72 | 235.51 | 270.32 | 311.43 | 393.98 | 661.89 | 848.60 | 965.12 | 1047.68 |
2023-07-23 | 314.49 | 148.16 | 164.31 | 187.54 | 240.61 | 409.68 | 519.58 | 596.60 | 677.02 |
2023-07-30 | 328.80 | 151.67 | 173.10 | 195.64 | 249.43 | 434.02 | 540.47 | 603.45 | 659.69 |
2023-08-06 | 541.93 | 245.46 | 286.01 | 325.02 | 416.18 | 689.18 | 843.77 | 924.12 | 1035.33 |
2023-08-13 | 315.99 | 133.23 | 150.21 | 180.18 | 236.50 | 420.20 | 527.22 | 600.68 | 649.92 |
2023-08-20 | 425.84 | 189.61 | 226.58 | 254.23 | 325.39 | 557.49 | 692.82 | 784.05 | 850.99 |
2023-08-27 | 324.76 | 148.86 | 172.28 | 191.63 | 247.93 | 418.10 | 525.65 | 630.58 | 688.21 |
2023-09-03 | 433.79 | 198.38 | 215.72 | 254.00 | 333.02 | 561.92 | 704.93 | 790.78 | 885.01 |
2023-09-10 | 493.12 | 220.54 | 245.86 | 283.41 | 379.23 | 635.26 | 771.19 | 879.51 | 972.28 |
2023-09-17 | 431.40 | 190.20 | 222.41 | 266.26 | 326.93 | 553.70 | 693.59 | 784.27 | 862.98 |
2023-09-24 | 339.89 | 142.00 | 166.64 | 201.14 | 258.14 | 435.45 | 563.85 | 620.31 | 717.78 |
2023-10-01 | 365.03 | 165.79 | 189.37 | 215.58 | 276.04 | 477.08 | 599.49 | 657.15 | 728.94 |