Prediction 13
| Modelo | Random Forest model with uncertainty computed with conformal prediction |
|---|---|
| Autor | Eduardo Correa Araujo |
Descrição:
Forecast de novos casos para o geocode 2211001 entre 2022-01-01 e 2023-01-01 usando apenas os dados de todos as cidades clusterizadas com 2211001 como input
Mostrar Tabela
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-01-02 | 48.34 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 160.29 | - |
| 2022-01-09 | 24.97 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 125.35 | - |
| 2022-01-16 | 46.85 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 146.39 | - |
| 2022-01-23 | 23.49 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 134.82 | - |
| 2022-01-30 | 21.34 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 156.80 | - |
| 2022-02-06 | 71.75 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 242.66 | - |
| 2022-02-13 | 79.83 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 253.83 | - |
| 2022-02-20 | 98.67 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 211.13 | - |
| 2022-02-27 | 58.89 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 160.43 | - |
| 2022-03-06 | 263.29 | - | 139.35 | - | - | - | - | 387.23 | - |
| 2022-03-13 | 262.44 | - | 132.42 | - | - | - | - | 392.46 | - |
| 2022-03-20 | 410.93 | - | 285.07 | - | - | - | - | 536.79 | - |
| 2022-03-27 | 245.24 | - | 151.53 | - | - | - | - | 338.95 | - |
| 2022-04-03 | 200.17 | - | 87.34 | - | - | - | - | 313.00 | - |
| 2022-04-10 | 329.99 | - | 182.07 | - | - | - | - | 477.91 | - |
| 2022-04-17 | 345.77 | - | 147.50 | - | - | - | - | 544.04 | - |
| 2022-04-24 | 365.84 | - | 81.25 | - | - | - | - | 650.43 | - |
| 2022-05-01 | 353.57 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 719.72 | - |
| 2022-05-08 | 337.69 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 734.28 | - |
| 2022-05-15 | 258.38 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 655.12 | - |
| 2022-05-22 | 349.49 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 746.64 | - |
| 2022-05-29 | 266.96 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 635.66 | - |
| 2022-06-05 | 197.73 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 552.07 | - |
| 2022-06-12 | 164.83 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 498.14 | - |
| 2022-06-19 | 139.61 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 430.53 | - |
| 2022-06-26 | 125.85 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 374.26 | - |
| 2022-07-03 | 122.91 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 368.86 | - |
| 2022-07-10 | 143.53 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 387.41 | - |
| 2022-07-17 | 140.02 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 374.10 | - |
| 2022-07-24 | 137.74 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 371.47 | - |
| 2022-07-31 | 146.39 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 352.66 | - |
| 2022-08-07 | 146.03 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 322.46 | - |
| 2022-08-14 | 122.28 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 302.74 | - |
| 2022-08-21 | 76.52 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 245.45 | - |
| 2022-08-28 | 52.02 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 230.69 | - |
| 2022-09-04 | 53.01 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 220.29 | - |
| 2022-09-11 | 38.81 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 193.93 | - |
| 2022-09-18 | 29.55 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 186.74 | - |
| 2022-09-25 | 21.28 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 163.80 | - |
| 2022-10-02 | 18.16 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 161.36 | - |
| 2022-10-09 | 15.74 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 168.58 | - |
| 2022-10-16 | 11.49 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 162.06 | - |
| 2022-10-23 | 9.09 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 165.04 | - |
| 2022-10-30 | 14.06 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 159.48 | - |
| 2022-11-06 | 15.27 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 151.54 | - |
| 2022-11-13 | 13.24 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 140.16 | - |
| 2022-11-20 | 11.20 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 111.39 | - |
| 2022-11-27 | 11.69 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 104.07 | - |
| 2022-12-04 | 15.11 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 120.56 | - |
| 2022-12-11 | 17.61 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 174.80 | - |
| 2022-12-18 | 29.04 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 201.84 | - |
| 2022-12-25 | 35.64 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 156.34 | - |
| 2023-01-01 | 24.39 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 137.18 | - |
| 2023-01-08 | 36.93 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 181.41 | - |
| 2023-01-15 | 12.60 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 191.19 | - |
| 2023-01-22 | 15.99 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 193.04 | - |
| 2023-01-29 | 52.69 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 250.62 | - |
| 2023-02-05 | 126.44 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 295.70 | - |
| 2023-02-12 | 126.89 | - | 14.73 | - | - | - | - | 239.05 | - |
| 2023-02-19 | 101.68 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 223.84 | - |
| 2023-02-26 | 179.47 | - | 47.87 | - | - | - | - | 311.07 | - |
| 2023-03-05 | 210.53 | - | 93.81 | - | - | - | - | 327.25 | - |
| 2023-03-12 | 277.56 | - | 166.70 | - | - | - | - | 388.42 | - |
| 2023-03-19 | 315.36 | - | 226.60 | - | - | - | - | 404.12 | - |
| 2023-03-26 | 307.91 | - | 250.60 | - | - | - | - | 365.22 | - |
| 2023-04-02 | 349.12 | - | 283.29 | - | - | - | - | 414.95 | - |
| 2023-04-09 | 378.93 | - | 270.69 | - | - | - | - | 487.17 | - |
| 2023-04-16 | 386.89 | - | 260.18 | - | - | - | - | 513.60 | - |
| 2023-04-23 | 387.71 | - | 212.43 | - | - | - | - | 562.99 | - |
| 2023-04-30 | 245.08 | - | 58.23 | - | - | - | - | 431.93 | - |
| 2023-05-07 | 301.08 | - | 87.60 | - | - | - | - | 514.56 | - |
| 2023-05-14 | 304.34 | - | 113.03 | - | - | - | - | 495.65 | - |
| 2023-05-21 | 294.08 | - | 128.26 | - | - | - | - | 459.90 | - |
| 2023-05-28 | 275.68 | - | 103.34 | - | - | - | - | 448.02 | - |
| 2023-06-04 | 214.17 | - | 24.60 | - | - | - | - | 403.74 | - |
| 2023-06-11 | 194.16 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 389.34 | - |
| 2023-06-18 | 201.96 | - | 7.79 | - | - | - | - | 396.13 | - |
| 2023-06-25 | 120.43 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 292.23 | - |
| 2023-07-02 | 97.49 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 222.06 | - |
Bem-vindo ao Painel de Previsões Mosqlimate
Intervalo de Confiança
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ou linha
Limites do Intervalo
Quando o Intervalo de Confiança estiver ativo, a Previsão exibirá os limites de 50% e 90% (superior e inferior)
