Prediction 1300

Dengue Sprint2425 R Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model LaCiD/UFRN
Author Laboratório de Ciência de Dados
ADM 1 Pará

Description:

Dengue predictions for PA using Validation Test 1


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 41.98 17.23 20.63 24.75 31.75 55.30 66.76 74.91 82.63
2022-10-16 76.53 36.08 40.08 46.17 58.94 97.41 117.99 129.57 141.81
2022-10-23 34.95 10.26 12.86 16.49 24.32 50.23 65.39 76.39 87.88
2022-10-30 47.78 16.90 20.07 25.68 34.56 63.94 80.75 93.29 107.54
2022-11-06 24.10 6.33 8.12 10.08 15.97 34.57 47.96 54.46 62.53
2022-11-13 31.60 10.09 12.25 15.09 21.24 44.92 57.81 67.04 76.39
2022-11-20 42.88 12.64 16.98 21.22 30.18 56.55 72.63 85.29 94.92
2022-11-27 26.22 7.34 8.99 12.08 17.38 38.11 51.02 59.27 66.91
2022-12-04 24.91 5.59 7.68 10.48 16.33 36.06 47.83 56.58 65.34
2022-12-11 21.17 5.14 6.57 8.35 13.48 30.81 42.15 51.31 57.54
2022-12-18 3.47 0.04 0.19 0.48 1.45 6.61 11.41 14.98 18.27
2022-12-25 11.94 1.91 2.98 4.20 7.02 18.96 26.99 32.57 38.92
2023-01-01 101.42 47.78 54.23 61.78 79.05 127.45 154.84 171.07 185.69
2023-01-08 280.37 173.93 185.28 203.91 241.02 336.90 389.30 422.61 451.10
2023-01-15 246.98 141.55 156.39 173.84 207.83 291.17 342.05 371.79 408.21
2023-01-22 249.91 139.54 156.74 173.63 204.98 299.98 359.21 382.85 401.99
2023-01-29 212.84 113.41 129.76 147.27 171.04 256.25 302.53 332.24 358.72
2023-02-05 281.79 158.26 173.32 196.46 235.58 327.33 372.34 403.21 435.10
2023-02-12 286.64 167.26 187.06 203.05 240.71 340.77 389.88 420.89 454.78
2023-02-19 159.99 79.06 89.48 99.21 126.91 195.43 228.71 250.51 269.37
2023-02-26 184.74 101.87 114.04 127.46 152.07 225.68 263.35 291.33 318.15
2023-03-05 209.21 107.51 120.24 139.33 167.99 252.54 291.49 321.34 347.20
2023-03-12 333.56 205.72 221.10 245.41 282.72 389.81 441.64 474.88 501.40
2023-03-19 324.81 192.69 214.54 231.94 272.59 377.95 433.43 461.61 498.90
2023-03-26 243.07 129.53 148.29 170.24 206.88 291.70 333.59 371.24 396.42
2023-04-02 144.66 75.81 86.21 95.78 119.63 180.60 217.63 242.81 260.87
2023-04-09 92.50 44.59 52.41 58.71 73.58 116.43 142.63 160.70 179.06
2023-04-16 333.63 191.07 212.41 232.19 277.77 385.00 439.78 478.46 508.30
2023-04-23 122.98 62.99 71.59 80.10 97.30 153.77 186.64 207.16 227.60
2023-04-30 70.04 28.49 33.06 39.68 53.15 91.10 113.05 127.83 149.80
2023-05-07 121.13 55.35 64.33 72.96 94.57 147.37 176.23 197.52 214.03
2023-05-14 144.55 72.37 82.37 93.32 114.05 177.00 208.31 228.99 247.51
2023-05-21 90.50 40.78 47.04 55.37 71.57 115.96 144.70 159.83 175.34
2023-05-28 118.24 50.54 59.40 71.18 94.71 145.01 176.76 194.17 211.80
2023-06-04 119.87 56.50 67.43 74.49 93.67 149.20 181.18 197.69 216.00
2023-06-11 106.24 48.64 55.66 65.23 81.70 135.33 162.20 180.52 197.60
2023-06-18 96.04 43.35 49.70 57.98 74.98 120.55 146.93 167.34 181.80
2023-06-25 69.39 28.21 33.03 39.10 52.36 91.22 113.05 128.18 143.85
2023-07-02 65.76 27.31 31.14 36.95 49.32 87.48 107.76 123.54 135.03
2023-07-09 49.23 16.34 19.11 24.29 35.64 66.32 84.86 98.80 110.99
2023-07-16 42.54 12.75 15.82 19.95 29.50 55.61 71.86 84.00 90.26
2023-07-23 80.82 32.88 39.99 48.10 61.12 103.74 127.89 144.61 157.37
2023-07-30 75.57 30.65 36.43 44.63 56.44 98.50 122.03 134.42 147.06
2023-08-06 80.46 34.32 40.08 47.15 60.33 104.00 127.15 142.67 158.76
2023-08-13 88.39 37.21 43.97 52.27 66.68 114.98 141.61 162.66 174.29
2023-08-20 96.78 40.85 48.12 58.13 74.93 121.11 146.52 163.97 177.14
2023-08-27 65.42 26.21 30.75 35.73 49.16 86.97 110.57 125.58 136.01
2023-09-03 30.15 8.26 10.56 13.65 19.80 43.96 57.18 69.60 78.18
2023-09-10 56.64 21.15 25.74 31.27 41.28 73.87 93.34 103.89 113.73
2023-09-17 72.97 31.02 36.66 42.35 54.48 96.70 120.67 135.25 151.94
2023-09-24 46.74 16.97 20.19 24.08 33.04 60.74 77.82 89.39 101.89
2023-10-01 45.82 16.39 19.38 23.56 33.10 62.94 81.44 90.27 101.72
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