Prediction 1301
Model | LaCiD/UFRN |
---|---|
Author | Laboratório de Ciência de Dados |
ADM 1 | Paraíba |
Description:
Dengue predictions for PB using Validation Test 1
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2022-10-09 | 134.52 | 82.75 | 90.65 | 99.77 | 114.42 | 159.15 | 179.41 | 193.44 | 206.49 |
2022-10-16 | 204.95 | 119.45 | 129.53 | 143.12 | 168.17 | 243.90 | 286.14 | 311.96 | 335.10 |
2022-10-23 | 118.33 | 60.97 | 67.62 | 77.09 | 95.77 | 145.17 | 176.58 | 194.51 | 212.07 |
2022-10-30 | 102.46 | 50.69 | 58.14 | 65.83 | 82.78 | 127.89 | 151.20 | 168.57 | 187.50 |
2022-11-06 | 104.37 | 55.39 | 60.22 | 68.04 | 83.84 | 127.91 | 150.70 | 168.90 | 183.21 |
2022-11-13 | 124.96 | 68.99 | 75.10 | 86.27 | 101.58 | 154.19 | 183.23 | 203.56 | 218.15 |
2022-11-20 | 64.93 | 30.94 | 34.41 | 39.70 | 50.30 | 81.22 | 99.90 | 111.53 | 123.66 |
2022-11-27 | 37.48 | 15.37 | 17.67 | 20.83 | 27.76 | 48.85 | 60.48 | 70.01 | 77.31 |
2022-12-04 | 48.38 | 20.58 | 24.21 | 28.74 | 37.16 | 63.69 | 78.51 | 91.62 | 100.67 |
2022-12-11 | 82.69 | 40.23 | 45.19 | 50.87 | 64.87 | 102.74 | 124.03 | 137.15 | 154.23 |
2022-12-18 | 21.82 | 7.06 | 8.33 | 10.69 | 15.47 | 29.61 | 37.36 | 45.65 | 51.39 |
2022-12-25 | 20.99 | 7.74 | 9.40 | 11.39 | 15.25 | 28.87 | 36.78 | 42.92 | 48.74 |
2023-01-01 | 59.95 | 27.89 | 32.10 | 36.98 | 47.06 | 76.52 | 93.01 | 106.90 | 117.67 |
2023-01-08 | 165.91 | 93.35 | 102.84 | 115.61 | 137.73 | 203.97 | 236.46 | 261.86 | 281.79 |
2023-01-15 | 87.80 | 44.91 | 48.48 | 55.30 | 70.34 | 109.73 | 131.69 | 148.08 | 161.80 |
2023-01-22 | 92.27 | 44.70 | 50.15 | 58.14 | 73.36 | 115.95 | 142.31 | 156.99 | 172.49 |
2023-01-29 | 188.57 | 103.12 | 112.59 | 128.28 | 152.17 | 226.09 | 265.86 | 296.64 | 324.22 |
2023-02-05 | 109.81 | 52.79 | 59.27 | 68.45 | 86.34 | 131.49 | 156.54 | 176.36 | 194.52 |
2023-02-12 | 150.98 | 83.02 | 89.91 | 100.08 | 122.28 | 183.45 | 214.95 | 242.44 | 267.20 |
2023-02-19 | 109.47 | 55.02 | 59.70 | 68.28 | 86.63 | 135.69 | 159.33 | 175.12 | 192.88 |
2023-02-26 | 147.85 | 80.38 | 88.89 | 99.65 | 119.35 | 179.83 | 213.42 | 235.61 | 252.58 |
2023-03-05 | 202.32 | 111.35 | 120.95 | 136.12 | 164.52 | 245.10 | 284.24 | 307.25 | 328.14 |
2023-03-12 | 236.49 | 136.89 | 152.57 | 168.75 | 195.04 | 283.54 | 324.85 | 351.74 | 374.42 |
2023-03-19 | 257.77 | 153.20 | 165.42 | 181.72 | 214.32 | 300.10 | 346.28 | 369.24 | 396.35 |
2023-03-26 | 416.67 | 256.16 | 279.49 | 306.52 | 359.37 | 477.06 | 548.10 | 586.54 | 637.33 |
2023-04-02 | 305.80 | 184.35 | 199.29 | 222.34 | 257.17 | 362.31 | 416.42 | 452.84 | 487.46 |
2023-04-09 | 279.17 | 176.20 | 184.72 | 202.55 | 238.83 | 329.72 | 381.04 | 421.35 | 451.92 |
2023-04-16 | 650.68 | 424.01 | 448.91 | 486.72 | 551.58 | 740.82 | 823.70 | 881.23 | 936.36 |
2023-04-23 | 268.45 | 164.92 | 177.98 | 198.35 | 231.18 | 318.53 | 370.36 | 398.38 | 430.17 |
2023-04-30 | 182.32 | 106.20 | 115.27 | 125.23 | 150.03 | 218.21 | 251.93 | 282.88 | 313.46 |
2023-05-07 | 296.45 | 174.54 | 192.94 | 213.13 | 250.80 | 354.17 | 400.81 | 428.47 | 461.40 |
2023-05-14 | 218.62 | 123.02 | 136.71 | 152.16 | 180.54 | 256.90 | 301.12 | 327.32 | 357.17 |
2023-05-21 | 215.12 | 124.20 | 135.26 | 151.40 | 181.29 | 256.39 | 299.92 | 326.28 | 349.54 |
2023-05-28 | 218.43 | 120.23 | 131.25 | 148.11 | 180.95 | 257.20 | 299.38 | 329.56 | 349.79 |
2023-06-04 | 182.54 | 102.78 | 112.00 | 128.25 | 150.89 | 218.38 | 259.41 | 285.22 | 307.98 |
2023-06-11 | 155.01 | 83.39 | 91.97 | 103.30 | 126.61 | 188.21 | 219.65 | 239.96 | 258.12 |
2023-06-18 | 138.68 | 76.33 | 84.46 | 94.33 | 113.98 | 167.63 | 199.27 | 212.96 | 239.75 |
2023-06-25 | 157.01 | 82.08 | 94.29 | 107.43 | 128.92 | 188.84 | 219.46 | 247.06 | 265.93 |
2023-07-02 | 119.30 | 62.62 | 69.31 | 77.42 | 94.32 | 145.61 | 174.00 | 191.15 | 206.89 |
2023-07-09 | 140.24 | 72.56 | 82.52 | 91.54 | 115.10 | 171.97 | 200.53 | 232.98 | 248.89 |
2023-07-16 | 92.47 | 47.38 | 52.12 | 58.74 | 74.66 | 114.99 | 139.25 | 155.32 | 169.23 |
2023-07-23 | 84.81 | 43.44 | 49.35 | 54.48 | 66.69 | 105.81 | 127.64 | 145.34 | 155.82 |
2023-07-30 | 103.97 | 51.35 | 59.44 | 67.71 | 83.32 | 128.91 | 154.15 | 170.51 | 182.46 |
2023-08-06 | 91.72 | 46.15 | 52.26 | 58.42 | 72.98 | 114.70 | 134.39 | 151.27 | 162.70 |
2023-08-13 | 102.54 | 48.73 | 56.78 | 65.46 | 80.03 | 129.63 | 154.53 | 171.76 | 184.39 |
2023-08-20 | 62.99 | 27.74 | 33.78 | 39.21 | 49.40 | 79.59 | 98.50 | 109.03 | 117.84 |
2023-08-27 | 69.82 | 34.10 | 37.90 | 43.64 | 54.02 | 88.40 | 106.74 | 120.98 | 134.39 |
2023-09-03 | 85.70 | 42.27 | 46.49 | 51.81 | 65.87 | 107.04 | 129.61 | 144.36 | 157.76 |
2023-09-10 | 77.59 | 37.29 | 42.49 | 48.44 | 60.74 | 97.00 | 115.66 | 128.13 | 140.81 |
2023-09-17 | 77.83 | 37.84 | 43.10 | 48.29 | 60.73 | 98.70 | 118.85 | 130.56 | 144.89 |
2023-09-24 | 73.20 | 34.38 | 39.70 | 46.48 | 58.10 | 91.64 | 110.27 | 122.86 | 138.96 |
2023-10-01 | 91.27 | 47.01 | 52.19 | 58.86 | 72.81 | 113.80 | 137.28 | 150.45 | 162.72 |