Prediction 1303

Dengue Sprint2425 R Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model LaCiD/UFRN
Author Laboratório de Ciência de Dados
ADM 1 Piauí

Description:

Dengue predictions for PI using Validation Test 1


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 7.67 2.83 3.44 4.20 5.55 10.66 13.42 15.48 17.50
2022-10-16 18.77 8.15 9.37 10.66 13.86 24.11 29.22 32.80 36.58
2022-10-23 24.54 7.49 9.49 12.37 17.05 35.98 48.11 56.80 62.90
2022-10-30 11.31 3.23 4.07 5.29 7.43 16.66 23.10 27.98 32.94
2022-11-06 14.81 4.53 5.51 6.98 9.74 21.23 29.71 36.22 41.27
2022-11-13 26.97 9.45 11.73 14.27 19.30 37.41 50.00 60.39 66.96
2022-11-20 29.66 10.03 12.37 15.46 21.04 40.20 52.09 58.93 67.65
2022-11-27 34.05 11.74 14.96 17.30 24.49 48.06 62.56 70.44 81.55
2022-12-04 13.40 3.59 4.36 5.90 8.93 19.16 26.90 31.66 37.07
2022-12-11 1.14 0.13 0.20 0.30 0.58 2.09 3.50 4.32 5.52
2022-12-18 0.38 0.02 0.03 0.07 0.15 0.81 1.47 1.86 2.40
2022-12-25 1.70 0.26 0.36 0.51 0.91 2.97 4.62 5.92 7.07
2023-01-01 37.98 14.94 16.92 19.16 27.49 51.21 68.28 78.35 91.43
2023-01-08 130.64 63.46 70.84 82.98 101.76 165.77 205.35 234.00 258.58
2023-01-15 149.32 70.75 78.85 91.51 114.77 185.59 232.30 261.90 284.93
2023-01-22 81.10 35.03 40.22 47.90 61.92 107.53 137.60 159.71 175.48
2023-01-29 137.88 63.93 70.70 81.95 106.11 174.51 219.30 245.36 283.62
2023-02-05 186.77 91.27 101.13 115.23 145.58 230.37 279.44 309.70 336.11
2023-02-12 181.73 89.21 100.82 116.65 145.98 231.36 282.17 306.56 342.22
2023-02-19 186.30 88.62 98.91 114.69 146.51 232.27 284.87 314.17 338.55
2023-02-26 196.06 99.26 109.59 127.77 155.67 249.01 306.67 334.25 374.09
2023-03-05 288.71 146.04 163.91 191.07 233.80 363.70 433.54 487.36 528.34
2023-03-12 417.15 224.34 252.51 284.58 342.58 511.34 589.61 644.74 688.55
2023-03-19 376.63 200.75 222.93 249.75 300.94 462.51 556.45 617.23 658.92
2023-03-26 357.28 186.55 201.75 231.66 287.23 435.33 514.05 570.30 637.70
2023-04-02 373.88 209.51 226.76 251.98 302.31 462.68 545.61 607.67 664.40
2023-04-09 349.01 190.18 213.40 239.28 283.35 431.16 509.17 571.28 621.31
2023-04-16 567.39 310.31 336.10 384.96 469.70 680.62 792.58 882.07 956.62
2023-04-23 456.83 261.38 288.51 314.06 374.30 554.06 661.58 716.78 815.93
2023-04-30 235.91 114.81 129.07 152.92 187.23 294.23 358.33 413.71 455.90
2023-05-07 309.35 160.23 180.10 202.03 249.50 376.37 445.77 495.17 560.73
2023-05-14 359.17 191.71 213.37 241.98 288.09 438.60 525.23 579.51 620.40
2023-05-21 360.33 198.69 218.51 239.59 296.87 441.24 519.57 589.29 644.23
2023-05-28 271.83 130.06 146.97 176.28 218.53 332.17 397.93 452.76 489.35
2023-06-04 180.55 84.59 98.55 114.73 142.60 230.79 277.26 303.49 334.63
2023-06-11 186.28 88.47 101.65 116.39 145.71 237.77 287.73 324.23 358.15
2023-06-18 200.41 93.63 103.98 127.42 155.77 248.67 302.71 334.03 372.24
2023-06-25 206.91 99.58 114.43 130.53 163.67 258.03 314.32 351.80 392.28
2023-07-02 133.06 61.55 69.04 80.71 103.23 169.71 213.02 243.80 269.69
2023-07-09 74.61 28.17 34.46 42.55 56.75 99.77 129.05 144.25 163.87
2023-07-16 106.08 47.38 53.36 61.91 81.22 134.07 163.33 181.04 199.93
2023-07-23 89.75 35.66 43.59 51.37 65.17 115.40 143.60 164.99 189.20
2023-07-30 42.73 16.89 18.90 23.02 30.93 58.73 75.72 88.27 97.84
2023-08-06 74.45 31.47 36.26 41.28 54.39 98.54 125.18 145.90 174.17
2023-08-13 50.69 19.70 22.87 27.39 37.22 69.31 91.40 103.53 116.58
2023-08-20 39.21 14.55 16.90 20.45 28.68 54.39 70.99 79.95 90.50
2023-08-27 40.19 15.06 17.28 21.07 28.52 56.07 73.95 85.59 97.79
2023-09-03 41.64 15.98 18.52 22.91 30.30 58.55 76.37 89.43 98.81
2023-09-10 39.39 14.30 16.89 21.52 28.09 52.67 69.19 81.33 90.49
2023-09-17 29.05 10.74 12.32 14.59 20.29 40.96 53.98 62.94 72.95
2023-09-24 37.03 13.97 16.08 19.35 26.51 49.09 64.22 74.30 84.42
2023-10-01 14.73 4.25 5.44 6.79 9.93 21.58 29.58 35.66 39.18
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