Prediction 1304
| Model | LaCiD/UFRN |
|---|---|
| Author | Laboratório de Ciência de Dados |
| ADM 1 | Paraná |
Description:
Dengue predictions for PR using Validation Test 1
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 261.70 | 153.10 | 168.69 | 187.12 | 217.72 | 318.71 | 368.17 | 403.74 | 437.78 |
| 2022-10-16 | 277.14 | 161.78 | 174.51 | 192.82 | 225.71 | 329.82 | 378.50 | 412.06 | 448.28 |
| 2022-10-23 | 357.43 | 179.57 | 200.34 | 234.17 | 286.60 | 455.93 | 559.11 | 616.39 | 675.85 |
| 2022-10-30 | 515.71 | 289.26 | 319.23 | 350.05 | 415.84 | 640.61 | 784.36 | 869.56 | 998.26 |
| 2022-11-06 | 452.46 | 233.91 | 260.74 | 296.73 | 361.43 | 558.12 | 667.46 | 755.78 | 840.16 |
| 2022-11-13 | 569.07 | 310.33 | 351.39 | 393.21 | 457.43 | 705.28 | 856.33 | 978.65 | 1083.99 |
| 2022-11-20 | 806.45 | 437.93 | 486.15 | 553.18 | 660.00 | 986.75 | 1159.98 | 1277.52 | 1384.59 |
| 2022-11-27 | 905.43 | 473.22 | 541.63 | 601.80 | 737.18 | 1124.83 | 1328.42 | 1504.42 | 1631.02 |
| 2022-12-04 | 860.59 | 457.24 | 510.69 | 581.29 | 697.73 | 1059.41 | 1292.69 | 1455.14 | 1574.27 |
| 2022-12-11 | 894.03 | 484.90 | 531.88 | 602.64 | 724.99 | 1093.45 | 1338.01 | 1496.11 | 1658.51 |
| 2022-12-18 | 1242.78 | 661.98 | 731.35 | 823.12 | 990.92 | 1513.13 | 1815.03 | 1998.86 | 2205.88 |
| 2022-12-25 | 1056.32 | 569.52 | 632.39 | 712.07 | 857.29 | 1291.40 | 1548.78 | 1712.77 | 1870.17 |
| 2023-01-01 | 508.78 | 285.91 | 304.21 | 338.03 | 421.30 | 628.84 | 775.64 | 878.73 | 958.78 |
| 2023-01-08 | 277.55 | 152.05 | 165.99 | 188.35 | 225.23 | 344.65 | 416.61 | 483.22 | 535.78 |
| 2023-01-15 | 378.48 | 201.38 | 220.58 | 252.25 | 301.03 | 472.92 | 569.83 | 654.65 | 686.91 |
| 2023-01-22 | 605.36 | 326.38 | 361.92 | 409.23 | 492.97 | 757.95 | 918.75 | 1030.69 | 1123.19 |
| 2023-01-29 | 866.37 | 462.38 | 516.59 | 578.01 | 698.32 | 1073.38 | 1314.27 | 1477.28 | 1645.52 |
| 2023-02-05 | 1258.04 | 677.79 | 754.32 | 844.76 | 1024.58 | 1525.01 | 1797.03 | 1980.36 | 2136.41 |
| 2023-02-12 | 2082.54 | 1123.20 | 1243.11 | 1442.61 | 1700.46 | 2511.17 | 2970.97 | 3299.91 | 3556.35 |
| 2023-02-19 | 2949.39 | 1541.13 | 1743.98 | 1971.96 | 2402.52 | 3545.26 | 4270.01 | 4654.15 | 4948.94 |
| 2023-02-26 | 3210.14 | 1880.87 | 2040.83 | 2281.11 | 2647.59 | 3945.93 | 4685.90 | 5141.91 | 5671.24 |
| 2023-03-05 | 4493.20 | 2493.44 | 2744.74 | 3115.06 | 3675.08 | 5490.05 | 6530.37 | 7317.49 | 7905.02 |
| 2023-03-12 | 8686.92 | 5133.99 | 5531.28 | 6106.72 | 7194.32 | 10416.91 | 12133.84 | 13050.78 | 14039.53 |
| 2023-03-19 | 9770.02 | 5723.61 | 6122.45 | 6780.12 | 8192.68 | 11863.44 | 14045.35 | 15425.67 | 16613.73 |
| 2023-03-26 | 13874.81 | 8065.87 | 8541.90 | 9572.02 | 11548.78 | 16390.13 | 19382.45 | 21445.80 | 23239.36 |
| 2023-04-02 | 19994.96 | 12233.27 | 13125.76 | 14550.42 | 16649.83 | 23941.44 | 28049.95 | 31079.62 | 34355.95 |
| 2023-04-09 | 17312.60 | 10260.35 | 11651.14 | 12527.07 | 14593.07 | 20789.64 | 24758.37 | 26884.92 | 29001.02 |
| 2023-04-16 | 19127.03 | 10839.55 | 12055.86 | 13362.02 | 16125.71 | 22889.54 | 26402.95 | 29526.53 | 32056.94 |
| 2023-04-23 | 20356.38 | 12666.13 | 13538.54 | 14576.88 | 17154.40 | 24622.37 | 28567.13 | 31492.89 | 33884.15 |
| 2023-04-30 | 13533.22 | 7671.58 | 8465.63 | 9458.12 | 11167.02 | 16169.86 | 18852.52 | 21087.38 | 22713.68 |
| 2023-05-07 | 12248.45 | 7219.22 | 7860.04 | 8644.96 | 10344.56 | 14595.22 | 17085.43 | 18855.47 | 20882.79 |
| 2023-05-14 | 13812.43 | 8360.66 | 8881.38 | 9976.02 | 11367.28 | 16596.57 | 19327.99 | 21456.65 | 23017.96 |
| 2023-05-21 | 10121.42 | 5873.48 | 6493.70 | 7158.18 | 8437.29 | 12109.65 | 14190.36 | 15826.67 | 17510.73 |
| 2023-05-28 | 6055.79 | 3392.56 | 3738.95 | 4250.68 | 5054.64 | 7250.88 | 8685.91 | 9648.71 | 10511.85 |
| 2023-06-04 | 3863.02 | 2175.38 | 2388.20 | 2695.57 | 3151.85 | 4691.84 | 5597.75 | 6127.61 | 6539.45 |
| 2023-06-11 | 3096.71 | 1722.20 | 1903.09 | 2128.43 | 2551.39 | 3790.35 | 4593.40 | 5010.98 | 5402.00 |
| 2023-06-18 | 2000.97 | 1045.41 | 1160.11 | 1348.74 | 1633.05 | 2417.63 | 2902.44 | 3237.27 | 3469.18 |
| 2023-06-25 | 1164.86 | 636.65 | 683.05 | 794.07 | 951.93 | 1424.33 | 1728.06 | 1963.78 | 2125.08 |
| 2023-07-02 | 913.96 | 501.87 | 547.31 | 628.14 | 761.87 | 1140.52 | 1364.52 | 1540.30 | 1708.40 |
| 2023-07-09 | 998.13 | 507.09 | 570.27 | 678.05 | 815.37 | 1246.07 | 1518.08 | 1684.73 | 1831.23 |
| 2023-07-16 | 688.87 | 360.55 | 411.94 | 463.64 | 563.04 | 844.82 | 1000.10 | 1084.92 | 1178.74 |
| 2023-07-23 | 471.06 | 241.28 | 273.88 | 308.18 | 370.81 | 585.45 | 699.91 | 800.22 | 887.35 |
| 2023-07-30 | 436.28 | 229.64 | 257.03 | 294.65 | 348.38 | 546.47 | 665.59 | 736.79 | 803.75 |
| 2023-08-06 | 471.14 | 248.69 | 275.74 | 308.37 | 376.02 | 593.63 | 721.77 | 815.14 | 912.94 |
| 2023-08-13 | 485.09 | 257.78 | 288.57 | 316.67 | 384.10 | 607.18 | 738.67 | 829.71 | 909.34 |
| 2023-08-20 | 437.42 | 235.62 | 253.14 | 286.94 | 349.93 | 543.95 | 678.44 | 745.21 | 814.02 |
| 2023-08-27 | 440.33 | 234.33 | 257.55 | 286.80 | 347.58 | 562.51 | 675.32 | 781.51 | 858.37 |
| 2023-09-03 | 360.93 | 193.15 | 212.43 | 241.00 | 291.67 | 459.08 | 569.29 | 641.50 | 703.60 |
| 2023-09-10 | 293.44 | 158.98 | 172.49 | 194.04 | 234.26 | 360.65 | 433.96 | 502.20 | 543.23 |
| 2023-09-17 | 414.38 | 224.53 | 245.88 | 271.63 | 331.59 | 521.56 | 635.53 | 694.78 | 757.41 |
| 2023-09-24 | 609.21 | 335.93 | 367.47 | 403.41 | 498.32 | 757.65 | 913.64 | 990.32 | 1065.36 |
| 2023-10-01 | 552.15 | 296.61 | 329.97 | 366.89 | 442.28 | 687.91 | 824.81 | 919.13 | 994.89 |
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