Prediction 1309
Model | LaCiD/UFRN |
---|---|
Author | Laboratório de Ciência de Dados |
ADM 1 | Rio Grande do Sul |
Description:
Dengue predictions for RS using Validation Test 1
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2022-10-09 | 15.15 | 4.89 | 6.04 | 7.54 | 10.38 | 22.47 | 29.78 | 35.56 | 41.48 |
2022-10-16 | 8.01 | 2.38 | 2.89 | 3.53 | 5.16 | 11.69 | 15.92 | 18.98 | 22.21 |
2022-10-23 | 8.92 | 1.89 | 2.59 | 3.50 | 5.52 | 14.51 | 21.35 | 27.46 | 32.15 |
2022-10-30 | 14.42 | 3.69 | 4.67 | 6.01 | 9.10 | 22.28 | 32.11 | 41.02 | 48.75 |
2022-11-06 | 10.41 | 2.44 | 3.27 | 4.29 | 6.47 | 16.61 | 24.73 | 29.91 | 37.06 |
2022-11-13 | 30.09 | 8.48 | 11.13 | 13.99 | 20.23 | 47.81 | 68.70 | 85.62 | 105.22 |
2022-11-20 | 55.20 | 15.06 | 19.70 | 24.70 | 36.70 | 78.53 | 107.71 | 131.36 | 150.37 |
2022-11-27 | 37.89 | 10.05 | 13.25 | 16.88 | 25.01 | 59.16 | 81.36 | 99.92 | 120.24 |
2022-12-04 | 52.67 | 14.16 | 18.57 | 23.38 | 35.61 | 79.73 | 112.55 | 138.14 | 162.33 |
2022-12-11 | 97.66 | 30.81 | 38.81 | 47.12 | 67.70 | 143.50 | 198.62 | 245.07 | 292.95 |
2022-12-18 | 113.82 | 33.40 | 39.76 | 50.85 | 75.50 | 162.78 | 230.12 | 277.05 | 315.51 |
2022-12-25 | 87.40 | 27.20 | 33.32 | 42.81 | 60.64 | 125.37 | 175.44 | 213.32 | 241.79 |
2023-01-01 | 55.16 | 16.58 | 20.69 | 26.03 | 37.92 | 83.99 | 121.53 | 144.82 | 166.85 |
2023-01-08 | 12.20 | 3.05 | 3.88 | 5.41 | 7.92 | 18.99 | 28.21 | 37.12 | 42.55 |
2023-01-15 | 12.84 | 3.05 | 3.75 | 5.20 | 8.15 | 19.82 | 29.74 | 36.35 | 45.06 |
2023-01-22 | 46.54 | 14.63 | 17.72 | 22.54 | 31.79 | 74.87 | 105.39 | 130.20 | 153.07 |
2023-01-29 | 19.85 | 5.01 | 6.22 | 8.28 | 12.39 | 30.86 | 47.31 | 60.73 | 73.99 |
2023-02-05 | 59.07 | 16.12 | 21.55 | 26.92 | 39.48 | 86.64 | 118.27 | 145.35 | 170.98 |
2023-02-12 | 175.90 | 56.11 | 67.65 | 84.91 | 121.96 | 244.29 | 331.15 | 395.60 | 460.89 |
2023-02-19 | 174.78 | 49.79 | 60.96 | 81.87 | 118.46 | 244.09 | 328.24 | 383.08 | 433.57 |
2023-02-26 | 146.12 | 46.74 | 61.76 | 75.08 | 101.35 | 213.63 | 290.26 | 343.29 | 408.59 |
2023-03-05 | 471.10 | 172.19 | 200.84 | 245.42 | 341.75 | 649.64 | 897.58 | 1065.79 | 1175.19 |
2023-03-12 | 651.92 | 250.33 | 289.57 | 358.58 | 460.35 | 894.01 | 1110.04 | 1260.40 | 1430.29 |
2023-03-19 | 1051.74 | 417.85 | 489.30 | 571.33 | 767.30 | 1433.60 | 1875.04 | 2255.98 | 2477.88 |
2023-03-26 | 1804.62 | 735.85 | 832.51 | 973.52 | 1352.55 | 2420.72 | 3013.42 | 3589.35 | 4149.10 |
2023-04-02 | 2348.54 | 1050.49 | 1198.92 | 1400.37 | 1766.14 | 3137.17 | 4056.56 | 4732.07 | 5440.69 |
2023-04-09 | 2401.04 | 1066.02 | 1224.13 | 1452.23 | 1813.38 | 3220.25 | 3971.05 | 4734.74 | 5189.43 |
2023-04-16 | 3456.67 | 1481.31 | 1718.03 | 1988.97 | 2555.87 | 4472.49 | 5601.33 | 6540.50 | 7281.26 |
2023-04-23 | 3594.33 | 1692.49 | 1939.09 | 2203.43 | 2738.96 | 4751.18 | 5959.44 | 6877.23 | 7797.53 |
2023-04-30 | 2869.16 | 1200.07 | 1393.52 | 1655.45 | 2132.66 | 3627.48 | 4812.19 | 5720.84 | 6410.86 |
2023-05-07 | 2706.73 | 1227.90 | 1367.46 | 1551.62 | 2062.21 | 3498.31 | 4456.43 | 5220.76 | 6030.51 |
2023-05-14 | 2870.56 | 1280.83 | 1471.40 | 1711.51 | 2169.76 | 3796.91 | 4815.64 | 5535.61 | 6314.91 |
2023-05-21 | 2143.42 | 933.63 | 1062.65 | 1250.01 | 1636.02 | 2832.60 | 3666.29 | 4282.10 | 4919.59 |
2023-05-28 | 2123.30 | 862.69 | 1000.63 | 1200.05 | 1620.15 | 2834.08 | 3540.66 | 4272.69 | 4789.32 |
2023-06-04 | 1471.00 | 614.45 | 720.33 | 853.94 | 1095.18 | 2013.67 | 2549.16 | 2909.22 | 3235.33 |
2023-06-11 | 951.31 | 360.09 | 430.02 | 512.85 | 699.80 | 1304.97 | 1669.55 | 1988.27 | 2262.95 |
2023-06-18 | 643.78 | 231.09 | 262.59 | 341.92 | 457.74 | 869.83 | 1140.46 | 1333.50 | 1521.24 |
2023-06-25 | 441.20 | 159.76 | 187.52 | 233.68 | 317.94 | 608.71 | 813.49 | 1022.15 | 1183.11 |
2023-07-02 | 182.76 | 62.94 | 76.78 | 95.47 | 133.97 | 271.82 | 358.22 | 433.48 | 513.67 |
2023-07-09 | 336.80 | 111.28 | 139.24 | 169.42 | 243.25 | 472.42 | 650.28 | 773.50 | 902.57 |
2023-07-16 | 243.16 | 80.54 | 98.79 | 122.22 | 172.77 | 345.41 | 439.76 | 509.35 | 600.12 |
2023-07-23 | 85.08 | 25.84 | 30.53 | 38.75 | 56.17 | 126.38 | 171.10 | 209.81 | 251.57 |
2023-07-30 | 68.34 | 19.96 | 24.76 | 30.07 | 43.89 | 98.75 | 138.63 | 165.18 | 198.86 |
2023-08-06 | 87.73 | 28.13 | 33.18 | 39.76 | 59.35 | 131.58 | 186.60 | 228.88 | 260.60 |
2023-08-13 | 95.21 | 30.33 | 34.84 | 42.64 | 62.81 | 138.72 | 199.09 | 240.07 | 278.39 |
2023-08-20 | 73.50 | 21.18 | 26.70 | 32.85 | 48.77 | 105.15 | 148.95 | 177.48 | 205.79 |
2023-08-27 | 33.06 | 8.79 | 10.77 | 13.96 | 20.82 | 51.90 | 76.26 | 96.25 | 110.13 |
2023-09-03 | 28.37 | 7.48 | 9.55 | 11.87 | 17.59 | 43.34 | 64.06 | 80.51 | 100.75 |
2023-09-10 | 22.65 | 5.94 | 7.98 | 10.10 | 14.50 | 33.99 | 49.64 | 61.03 | 74.98 |
2023-09-17 | 16.11 | 4.26 | 5.20 | 6.54 | 10.08 | 25.13 | 37.66 | 45.80 | 52.87 |
2023-09-24 | 55.67 | 17.39 | 21.18 | 25.67 | 37.14 | 83.52 | 116.90 | 137.56 | 157.69 |
2023-10-01 | 25.08 | 6.60 | 8.69 | 10.55 | 16.08 | 38.39 | 56.18 | 68.68 | 80.91 |