Prediction 1315
Model | LaCiD/UFRN |
---|---|
Author | Laboratório de Ciência de Dados |
ADM 1 | Alagoas |
Description:
Dengue predictions for AL using Validation Test 2
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2023-10-08 | 53.30 | 26.77 | 30.57 | 35.08 | 42.58 | 67.00 | 78.66 | 86.90 | 94.69 |
2023-10-15 | 52.78 | 23.25 | 26.61 | 30.84 | 39.62 | 68.11 | 83.69 | 94.23 | 102.52 |
2023-10-22 | 60.13 | 25.94 | 29.11 | 35.18 | 45.77 | 77.72 | 96.88 | 110.10 | 122.22 |
2023-10-29 | 42.07 | 15.77 | 19.78 | 24.03 | 31.91 | 55.80 | 70.34 | 79.75 | 90.64 |
2023-11-05 | 25.21 | 9.19 | 10.31 | 13.04 | 17.69 | 34.09 | 43.58 | 50.50 | 56.74 |
2023-11-12 | 54.14 | 25.98 | 28.69 | 33.02 | 42.32 | 72.88 | 87.98 | 100.58 | 110.14 |
2023-11-19 | 35.09 | 12.91 | 15.29 | 19.05 | 26.08 | 45.71 | 58.86 | 68.41 | 76.81 |
2023-11-26 | 38.36 | 15.07 | 17.60 | 21.13 | 28.55 | 50.92 | 64.99 | 74.85 | 82.23 |
2023-12-03 | 28.21 | 9.53 | 11.53 | 14.46 | 20.17 | 38.63 | 49.75 | 58.11 | 64.68 |
2023-12-10 | 35.04 | 13.42 | 15.96 | 18.55 | 25.68 | 46.48 | 59.73 | 68.23 | 77.13 |
2023-12-17 | 19.25 | 4.83 | 6.86 | 8.54 | 13.32 | 26.59 | 35.83 | 42.88 | 50.43 |
2023-12-24 | 11.29 | 3.10 | 3.99 | 5.15 | 7.46 | 16.58 | 22.65 | 27.05 | 31.10 |
2023-12-31 | 45.26 | 18.77 | 22.02 | 26.66 | 34.18 | 59.36 | 74.09 | 84.91 | 93.53 |
2024-01-07 | 112.86 | 59.44 | 66.47 | 75.52 | 89.99 | 140.50 | 169.51 | 185.17 | 203.95 |
2024-01-14 | 71.03 | 34.01 | 37.30 | 43.26 | 55.39 | 89.89 | 110.82 | 125.36 | 140.54 |
2024-01-21 | 69.00 | 30.71 | 34.88 | 41.44 | 52.91 | 89.73 | 112.41 | 123.81 | 136.66 |
2024-01-28 | 99.06 | 44.88 | 55.36 | 61.64 | 76.80 | 125.12 | 150.74 | 172.21 | 188.87 |
2024-02-04 | 165.95 | 85.26 | 93.59 | 107.64 | 133.43 | 195.16 | 228.67 | 255.05 | 278.87 |
2024-02-11 | 210.83 | 117.31 | 130.87 | 145.51 | 172.39 | 253.80 | 293.84 | 318.64 | 352.19 |
2024-02-18 | 367.02 | 217.00 | 231.85 | 255.89 | 304.87 | 423.90 | 484.80 | 515.09 | 549.32 |
2024-02-25 | 816.53 | 548.92 | 591.46 | 645.25 | 714.44 | 934.22 | 1050.55 | 1107.44 | 1161.88 |
2024-03-03 | 748.61 | 484.79 | 522.35 | 564.84 | 642.36 | 857.01 | 952.16 | 1021.67 | 1070.60 |
2024-03-10 | 524.89 | 338.62 | 371.40 | 396.01 | 450.23 | 605.04 | 683.99 | 729.53 | 770.20 |
2024-03-17 | 575.11 | 371.19 | 401.74 | 430.57 | 494.24 | 653.20 | 732.61 | 777.41 | 841.28 |
2024-03-24 | 599.82 | 374.80 | 409.80 | 456.72 | 515.44 | 677.98 | 767.87 | 817.56 | 883.20 |
2024-03-31 | 405.85 | 254.41 | 275.26 | 301.19 | 348.79 | 480.71 | 551.40 | 603.03 | 644.70 |
2024-04-07 | 515.86 | 342.81 | 369.39 | 397.76 | 451.89 | 594.52 | 679.09 | 725.28 | 785.88 |
2024-04-14 | 779.98 | 502.15 | 549.01 | 583.36 | 671.34 | 881.34 | 972.55 | 1042.73 | 1101.71 |
2024-04-21 | 559.58 | 373.42 | 402.15 | 432.87 | 490.33 | 651.07 | 736.28 | 786.67 | 847.18 |
2024-04-28 | 480.45 | 303.10 | 327.17 | 356.47 | 405.27 | 551.16 | 627.02 | 677.56 | 747.32 |
2024-05-05 | 565.97 | 366.70 | 395.91 | 423.69 | 487.08 | 650.12 | 726.48 | 787.10 | 829.40 |
2024-05-12 | 607.22 | 394.28 | 430.61 | 460.29 | 519.42 | 690.29 | 783.10 | 826.38 | 881.62 |
2024-05-19 | 691.44 | 466.86 | 495.92 | 535.98 | 608.58 | 795.56 | 890.03 | 950.88 | 1011.23 |
2024-05-26 | 530.88 | 325.56 | 351.82 | 392.14 | 460.13 | 606.03 | 687.71 | 739.21 | 782.40 |
2024-06-02 | 580.78 | 374.67 | 409.26 | 442.14 | 501.29 | 665.67 | 755.23 | 816.56 | 859.50 |
2024-06-09 | 677.86 | 441.25 | 473.58 | 516.85 | 589.62 | 778.19 | 871.48 | 928.41 | 984.12 |
2024-06-16 | 836.52 | 573.35 | 609.17 | 650.54 | 735.09 | 946.61 | 1047.48 | 1126.02 | 1206.20 |
2024-06-23 | 823.66 | 547.92 | 590.87 | 637.18 | 716.04 | 928.18 | 1036.22 | 1138.36 | 1186.83 |
2024-06-30 | 549.39 | 352.37 | 380.69 | 414.00 | 472.11 | 634.38 | 723.55 | 775.77 | 815.65 |
2024-07-07 | 823.20 | 544.81 | 590.82 | 623.71 | 727.19 | 940.65 | 1038.47 | 1126.31 | 1224.87 |
2024-07-14 | 895.19 | 608.39 | 648.54 | 699.59 | 792.20 | 1021.60 | 1129.38 | 1210.22 | 1275.04 |
2024-07-21 | 659.36 | 437.86 | 469.85 | 509.44 | 572.37 | 750.80 | 845.28 | 910.17 | 965.01 |
2024-07-28 | 595.30 | 375.03 | 417.82 | 452.25 | 515.02 | 685.65 | 772.21 | 824.78 | 871.08 |
2024-08-04 | 379.86 | 239.26 | 252.12 | 274.11 | 320.08 | 443.20 | 507.28 | 548.11 | 587.38 |
2024-08-11 | 395.52 | 233.54 | 258.81 | 286.28 | 329.78 | 471.00 | 536.21 | 582.26 | 618.81 |
2024-08-18 | 364.95 | 212.32 | 243.71 | 266.41 | 312.10 | 426.92 | 486.09 | 517.51 | 560.73 |
2024-08-25 | 250.83 | 150.18 | 159.51 | 174.57 | 206.85 | 302.62 | 348.36 | 384.05 | 417.84 |
2024-09-01 | 293.46 | 172.63 | 187.42 | 203.70 | 241.62 | 349.29 | 403.66 | 441.35 | 476.09 |
2024-09-08 | 226.96 | 133.33 | 143.27 | 160.42 | 187.24 | 269.37 | 315.74 | 340.76 | 362.65 |
2024-09-15 | 218.08 | 126.93 | 138.96 | 149.51 | 179.96 | 262.74 | 301.96 | 334.54 | 359.30 |
2024-09-22 | 237.19 | 137.94 | 150.34 | 167.74 | 198.92 | 282.28 | 322.43 | 357.50 | 388.85 |
2024-09-29 | 154.33 | 87.93 | 95.43 | 103.51 | 127.84 | 189.93 | 224.54 | 246.63 | 264.91 |