Prediction 1318
| Model | LaCiD/UFRN |
|---|---|
| Author | Laboratório de Ciência de Dados |
| ADM 1 | Bahia |
Description:
Dengue predictions for BA using Validation Test 2
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 506.08 | 339.32 | 365.10 | 394.65 | 441.80 | 584.44 | 648.76 | 693.25 | 734.63 |
| 2023-10-15 | 312.85 | 185.48 | 199.33 | 219.87 | 257.19 | 373.10 | 437.31 | 478.92 | 513.03 |
| 2023-10-22 | 427.62 | 251.09 | 271.35 | 302.18 | 358.66 | 505.83 | 600.17 | 652.71 | 706.12 |
| 2023-10-29 | 286.38 | 161.75 | 179.94 | 199.71 | 239.35 | 346.23 | 402.61 | 441.51 | 490.06 |
| 2023-11-05 | 366.38 | 221.94 | 237.48 | 259.27 | 306.42 | 435.54 | 500.00 | 551.01 | 592.14 |
| 2023-11-12 | 455.24 | 282.30 | 302.08 | 335.61 | 383.54 | 543.83 | 633.65 | 691.84 | 738.33 |
| 2023-11-19 | 363.04 | 216.84 | 232.78 | 256.93 | 302.56 | 430.64 | 501.47 | 548.97 | 599.02 |
| 2023-11-26 | 358.35 | 209.74 | 226.50 | 249.86 | 296.00 | 424.99 | 491.43 | 543.92 | 583.91 |
| 2023-12-03 | 413.95 | 242.23 | 265.04 | 295.72 | 347.54 | 498.42 | 578.98 | 645.72 | 693.51 |
| 2023-12-10 | 376.07 | 219.61 | 239.53 | 260.27 | 311.18 | 444.25 | 517.25 | 559.48 | 620.99 |
| 2023-12-17 | 264.91 | 144.95 | 156.30 | 177.85 | 217.18 | 318.00 | 368.41 | 418.37 | 452.37 |
| 2023-12-24 | 120.14 | 65.90 | 73.09 | 81.77 | 97.70 | 148.41 | 176.27 | 196.50 | 215.63 |
| 2023-12-31 | 241.20 | 137.90 | 153.40 | 168.26 | 201.28 | 291.51 | 339.86 | 381.98 | 412.26 |
| 2024-01-07 | 1570.84 | 1038.89 | 1114.18 | 1206.39 | 1367.68 | 1833.04 | 2059.43 | 2236.67 | 2364.60 |
| 2024-01-14 | 1100.89 | 716.89 | 751.38 | 813.03 | 949.22 | 1280.77 | 1455.42 | 1584.89 | 1697.44 |
| 2024-01-21 | 1184.50 | 745.61 | 800.09 | 876.25 | 1017.76 | 1384.56 | 1599.31 | 1714.05 | 1839.45 |
| 2024-01-28 | 2190.12 | 1433.95 | 1522.30 | 1659.65 | 1875.79 | 2506.27 | 2830.30 | 3093.10 | 3308.13 |
| 2024-02-04 | 4436.24 | 2971.13 | 3153.78 | 3396.83 | 3871.29 | 4926.17 | 5468.55 | 5903.76 | 6272.21 |
| 2024-02-11 | 5125.37 | 3607.13 | 3783.98 | 4011.01 | 4502.87 | 5769.05 | 6397.46 | 6930.05 | 7397.57 |
| 2024-02-18 | 8445.87 | 6004.58 | 6223.38 | 6634.80 | 7479.97 | 9475.59 | 10363.82 | 10931.71 | 11527.56 |
| 2024-02-25 | 16484.43 | 12227.16 | 12829.02 | 13536.88 | 14790.69 | 18253.63 | 20044.92 | 21168.60 | 21969.38 |
| 2024-03-03 | 18860.80 | 13837.10 | 14416.81 | 15324.30 | 16890.59 | 20995.78 | 22825.72 | 23909.80 | 24895.16 |
| 2024-03-10 | 17726.22 | 13169.36 | 13972.08 | 14688.71 | 15929.06 | 19722.54 | 21372.92 | 22449.40 | 23279.56 |
| 2024-03-17 | 19406.83 | 14536.36 | 15193.11 | 15953.50 | 17497.82 | 21227.11 | 23137.39 | 24095.71 | 25107.26 |
| 2024-03-24 | 19781.28 | 14634.35 | 15426.98 | 16289.69 | 17998.14 | 21597.69 | 23739.94 | 24822.79 | 26285.00 |
| 2024-03-31 | 16011.28 | 11864.62 | 12366.23 | 13203.86 | 14396.66 | 17805.10 | 19416.93 | 20587.85 | 21562.81 |
| 2024-04-07 | 25095.67 | 19480.92 | 20042.29 | 20982.43 | 22983.21 | 27637.12 | 30089.78 | 31877.64 | 33438.68 |
| 2024-04-14 | 15694.87 | 11500.19 | 11978.15 | 12680.33 | 13915.02 | 17327.69 | 18788.79 | 19815.30 | 20688.10 |
| 2024-04-21 | 12663.80 | 9470.00 | 9884.20 | 10541.43 | 11537.27 | 14121.34 | 15566.60 | 16295.90 | 17146.00 |
| 2024-04-28 | 9815.05 | 7228.44 | 7546.60 | 7922.43 | 8742.38 | 10909.62 | 11918.83 | 12782.96 | 13660.75 |
| 2024-05-05 | 9900.08 | 7095.16 | 7539.47 | 8032.48 | 8881.55 | 11157.48 | 12150.10 | 12734.84 | 13407.16 |
| 2024-05-12 | 8353.58 | 5920.07 | 6297.33 | 6722.28 | 7432.38 | 9265.41 | 10244.94 | 10866.19 | 11512.72 |
| 2024-05-19 | 5854.59 | 4135.23 | 4349.10 | 4675.61 | 5232.59 | 6577.22 | 7310.69 | 7765.99 | 8131.03 |
| 2024-05-26 | 4182.05 | 2825.06 | 2988.47 | 3221.44 | 3681.46 | 4693.51 | 5244.78 | 5615.79 | 5866.07 |
| 2024-06-02 | 2787.15 | 1900.43 | 2009.27 | 2192.14 | 2446.56 | 3169.72 | 3595.41 | 3862.00 | 4080.18 |
| 2024-06-09 | 2154.96 | 1416.38 | 1506.48 | 1632.76 | 1873.55 | 2468.91 | 2758.71 | 2951.68 | 3120.05 |
| 2024-06-16 | 1775.97 | 1190.88 | 1266.19 | 1365.48 | 1548.31 | 2034.37 | 2305.63 | 2423.40 | 2657.38 |
| 2024-06-23 | 1105.77 | 686.16 | 754.92 | 830.31 | 954.34 | 1280.97 | 1445.60 | 1592.16 | 1693.72 |
| 2024-06-30 | 1189.87 | 764.16 | 821.70 | 878.40 | 1008.66 | 1376.24 | 1566.90 | 1693.47 | 1783.60 |
| 2024-07-07 | 1117.40 | 696.27 | 755.80 | 816.48 | 965.12 | 1307.79 | 1471.99 | 1660.53 | 1752.37 |
| 2024-07-14 | 992.31 | 635.68 | 679.64 | 733.37 | 856.68 | 1156.42 | 1326.79 | 1444.62 | 1540.34 |
| 2024-07-21 | 927.25 | 598.97 | 647.65 | 692.79 | 788.68 | 1081.35 | 1235.61 | 1359.79 | 1434.03 |
| 2024-07-28 | 536.07 | 318.97 | 353.84 | 387.84 | 453.21 | 636.73 | 733.39 | 798.50 | 844.87 |
| 2024-08-04 | 626.57 | 385.80 | 417.66 | 452.20 | 530.51 | 740.02 | 837.00 | 917.06 | 972.62 |
| 2024-08-11 | 545.28 | 316.60 | 350.26 | 389.06 | 450.62 | 655.82 | 752.09 | 822.76 | 871.50 |
| 2024-08-18 | 472.72 | 275.28 | 310.35 | 341.93 | 400.33 | 559.76 | 653.04 | 701.73 | 747.14 |
| 2024-08-25 | 420.39 | 255.05 | 273.46 | 301.08 | 349.25 | 501.84 | 581.37 | 638.64 | 695.88 |
| 2024-09-01 | 341.98 | 199.39 | 214.98 | 233.19 | 277.58 | 408.29 | 477.95 | 524.10 | 563.91 |
| 2024-09-08 | 391.80 | 230.57 | 254.00 | 277.29 | 327.40 | 465.90 | 535.18 | 582.52 | 627.80 |
| 2024-09-15 | 394.42 | 235.79 | 257.65 | 279.00 | 327.74 | 474.87 | 548.96 | 595.36 | 645.21 |
| 2024-09-22 | 297.34 | 170.32 | 188.26 | 211.50 | 249.38 | 355.53 | 411.39 | 453.56 | 498.62 |
| 2024-09-29 | 288.70 | 169.68 | 185.44 | 203.21 | 240.16 | 347.08 | 407.65 | 443.75 | 473.10 |
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