Prediction 1320

Dengue Sprint2425 R Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model LaCiD/UFRN
Author Laboratório de Ciência de Dados
ADM 1 Distrito Federal

Description:

Dengue predictions for DF using Validation Test 2


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 390.93 247.73 269.39 294.46 334.93 460.33 518.10 558.45 596.23
2023-10-15 167.02 73.74 82.64 96.45 122.23 216.09 273.60 318.40 349.45
2023-10-22 560.55 280.89 309.25 356.58 446.48 708.69 901.59 1016.21 1089.57
2023-10-29 196.22 79.60 92.59 109.81 147.73 261.12 325.68 380.20 429.80
2023-11-05 525.19 254.33 285.22 329.66 409.42 655.12 800.59 903.02 1031.93
2023-11-12 657.27 338.08 379.84 426.96 527.53 828.86 1012.57 1163.83 1300.29
2023-11-19 668.14 334.62 377.89 424.37 508.87 845.08 1040.29 1140.38 1240.79
2023-11-26 1500.87 798.61 884.35 1004.66 1223.35 1841.26 2185.58 2425.86 2712.11
2023-12-03 1522.49 838.90 926.60 1027.95 1236.41 1918.04 2288.20 2577.70 2815.98
2023-12-10 2216.01 1201.29 1315.23 1498.85 1817.78 2720.42 3190.56 3448.93 3888.95
2023-12-17 3468.26 1913.32 2141.16 2370.91 2851.80 4197.08 4905.10 5394.71 5950.74
2023-12-24 3005.30 1734.91 1867.39 2099.32 2486.47 3615.83 4279.08 4819.39 5261.22
2023-12-31 4678.66 2756.86 3020.99 3330.86 3890.54 5575.15 6444.29 6930.53 7673.52
2024-01-07 18837.64 12244.33 13029.55 14209.41 16262.75 21721.44 24621.07 26685.74 29259.01
2024-01-14 7276.32 4314.47 4720.93 5272.96 6153.56 8511.40 9909.91 10669.14 11475.87
2024-01-21 19784.41 12753.47 13495.03 14900.40 17108.86 22884.63 26289.56 28336.37 29601.04
2024-01-28 27252.15 17381.03 19055.16 20587.15 23123.94 31148.15 35626.02 38376.53 40925.50
2024-02-04 23789.40 14827.85 16179.04 18033.31 20573.40 27607.08 31087.33 33755.02 35884.51
2024-02-11 19483.41 12848.58 13365.09 14861.42 16864.68 22598.87 25640.69 27994.68 30592.24
2024-02-18 21918.07 14017.40 15140.65 16519.97 18871.82 25313.97 28406.16 30995.08 32573.32
2024-02-25 24136.15 16182.52 17089.12 18294.39 20910.76 27904.20 31795.02 33780.01 35816.11
2024-03-03 20122.81 12989.89 13709.26 14960.54 17343.94 23447.41 26696.04 28398.44 29842.69
2024-03-10 16036.39 10317.62 11216.04 11993.45 13748.03 18850.67 21365.79 23330.93 24567.15
2024-03-17 15663.80 10263.44 10686.42 11586.40 13426.48 17897.72 20038.21 21528.54 22707.98
2024-03-24 13894.82 8754.60 9479.38 10430.21 11971.82 15876.19 17831.37 19469.11 20853.95
2024-03-31 6306.64 3708.82 4131.44 4525.78 5259.58 7474.88 8661.96 9366.46 10225.35
2024-04-07 11154.75 6957.71 7604.90 8135.64 9629.93 12909.65 14876.99 16141.26 17104.62
2024-04-14 9492.10 5880.74 6283.98 6910.66 7902.01 11085.14 12481.12 13524.98 14258.72
2024-04-21 4801.20 2911.02 3196.06 3458.95 4024.43 5739.23 6691.28 7303.50 7920.74
2024-04-28 4394.66 2695.28 2835.39 3106.06 3687.33 5197.98 6057.66 6614.74 7354.11
2024-05-05 3479.89 1986.44 2202.18 2413.91 2855.18 4214.52 4843.51 5261.76 5607.76
2024-05-12 3101.54 1722.78 1947.69 2184.35 2605.06 3751.83 4425.96 4965.78 5483.32
2024-05-19 2762.24 1512.24 1698.70 1896.45 2285.62 3291.93 3804.32 4223.27 4574.94
2024-05-26 2417.18 1316.22 1443.92 1618.08 1956.81 2868.08 3467.09 3793.27 4125.28
2024-06-02 1479.10 766.57 865.78 999.76 1191.29 1801.46 2185.58 2455.51 2697.36
2024-06-09 866.58 423.52 468.73 543.78 686.35 1074.91 1287.91 1440.72 1553.26
2024-06-16 600.44 297.54 328.50 385.00 476.01 733.96 923.11 1039.27 1177.88
2024-06-23 374.45 164.64 191.71 232.32 289.74 475.44 592.40 665.57 745.32
2024-06-30 146.55 59.73 69.66 81.90 108.41 195.94 251.49 286.90 324.35
2024-07-07 440.90 201.83 227.24 267.72 341.95 566.84 705.38 812.15 880.69
2024-07-14 219.86 92.24 107.62 125.80 162.25 285.77 375.16 431.97 468.73
2024-07-21 152.74 68.49 76.16 87.73 114.35 203.66 259.56 302.29 347.75
2024-07-28 238.75 108.56 124.80 140.88 180.60 315.72 396.02 439.91 481.08
2024-08-04 269.06 116.14 135.47 155.56 203.11 348.54 432.78 476.00 536.77
2024-08-11 215.53 88.96 101.94 121.55 160.71 288.41 364.21 416.28 447.53
2024-08-18 291.11 127.83 154.23 173.06 223.16 386.64 480.87 545.14 593.26
2024-08-25 197.90 87.30 101.90 114.48 149.35 256.51 326.34 389.13 432.39
2024-09-01 156.80 64.93 71.80 85.78 116.54 208.38 270.72 305.78 348.06
2024-09-08 189.22 77.42 87.55 102.59 141.50 250.21 310.21 358.65 399.64
2024-09-15 203.06 83.98 99.42 120.69 150.57 266.75 337.41 388.63 428.68
2024-09-22 169.49 67.08 78.93 97.30 126.39 219.89 289.27 322.10 376.47
2024-09-29 229.12 100.90 116.14 133.20 171.44 300.31 381.33 418.37 467.35
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