Prediction 1323
Model | LaCiD/UFRN |
---|---|
Author | Laboratório de Ciência de Dados |
ADM 1 | Minas Gerais |
Description:
Dengue predictions for MG using Validation Test 2
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2023-10-08 | 1059.83 | 719.16 | 771.05 | 830.88 | 927.10 | 1224.18 | 1361.16 | 1457.02 | 1546.97 |
2023-10-15 | 1537.79 | 1049.60 | 1103.50 | 1184.25 | 1330.16 | 1748.40 | 1932.56 | 2053.58 | 2197.90 |
2023-10-22 | 1701.22 | 1004.54 | 1088.58 | 1237.34 | 1428.95 | 2074.42 | 2420.39 | 2618.72 | 2854.22 |
2023-10-29 | 2155.96 | 1367.58 | 1474.05 | 1585.92 | 1805.44 | 2545.40 | 2986.48 | 3290.03 | 3557.12 |
2023-11-05 | 2245.36 | 1372.30 | 1493.97 | 1606.75 | 1878.74 | 2661.15 | 3102.92 | 3380.68 | 3638.34 |
2023-11-12 | 3287.26 | 2030.98 | 2265.76 | 2447.16 | 2799.77 | 3878.55 | 4549.12 | 5045.78 | 5346.98 |
2023-11-19 | 4160.08 | 2603.81 | 2779.17 | 3072.08 | 3539.98 | 4913.78 | 5602.92 | 6020.13 | 6474.73 |
2023-11-26 | 4337.08 | 2597.12 | 2870.70 | 3168.26 | 3704.61 | 5164.48 | 5987.25 | 6511.76 | 6969.72 |
2023-12-03 | 7286.06 | 4511.23 | 4787.39 | 5348.76 | 6213.75 | 8556.99 | 9996.46 | 10936.73 | 11585.81 |
2023-12-10 | 6300.38 | 3902.68 | 4188.92 | 4655.53 | 5351.14 | 7400.28 | 8643.37 | 9413.64 | 10148.75 |
2023-12-17 | 6828.42 | 4113.07 | 4493.77 | 4957.09 | 5689.56 | 8028.06 | 9221.98 | 9964.41 | 10829.34 |
2023-12-24 | 5605.74 | 3537.92 | 3807.64 | 4095.00 | 4725.73 | 6608.75 | 7593.39 | 8375.56 | 8821.99 |
2023-12-31 | 4166.54 | 2659.58 | 2800.39 | 3018.73 | 3562.63 | 4915.35 | 5722.07 | 6300.66 | 6842.01 |
2024-01-07 | 18392.94 | 11945.57 | 12704.43 | 13918.31 | 15645.02 | 21312.75 | 24542.13 | 27013.18 | 29455.41 |
2024-01-14 | 66643.42 | 43179.43 | 45623.89 | 50315.45 | 56886.37 | 77331.48 | 89207.53 | 96725.29 | 102074.46 |
2024-01-21 | 44814.90 | 28593.05 | 30763.11 | 33869.25 | 38489.62 | 52535.70 | 60813.95 | 66926.12 | 70650.62 |
2024-01-28 | 69693.99 | 43924.74 | 47977.67 | 51817.30 | 59681.13 | 81373.80 | 94197.25 | 102427.14 | 111469.91 |
2024-02-04 | 90531.53 | 56926.91 | 61933.78 | 66549.92 | 77072.02 | 103734.79 | 117684.97 | 126353.46 | 135253.00 |
2024-02-11 | 96556.88 | 61218.86 | 66217.41 | 72960.40 | 83952.16 | 112723.62 | 128657.36 | 138557.66 | 148076.36 |
2024-02-18 | 105500.61 | 66429.47 | 71943.17 | 77438.45 | 90417.30 | 122171.78 | 139802.11 | 150225.10 | 161818.22 |
2024-02-25 | 136251.72 | 91174.04 | 96469.57 | 104834.27 | 118190.33 | 160237.70 | 183583.46 | 198200.21 | 211721.80 |
2024-03-03 | 162629.51 | 103871.57 | 111263.25 | 122750.89 | 140417.47 | 191037.52 | 216954.72 | 237949.56 | 255004.47 |
2024-03-10 | 121419.50 | 78531.10 | 84305.02 | 91140.28 | 103670.31 | 141425.37 | 159292.92 | 170701.29 | 179158.72 |
2024-03-17 | 112151.30 | 72614.51 | 77160.24 | 83838.35 | 96557.81 | 131375.77 | 151827.89 | 163729.80 | 174770.38 |
2024-03-24 | 128350.82 | 81191.51 | 86453.31 | 94823.37 | 110031.24 | 147971.06 | 169277.66 | 182653.06 | 197906.05 |
2024-03-31 | 88958.79 | 59574.82 | 62398.59 | 67542.39 | 75870.42 | 104510.30 | 118779.22 | 128818.91 | 138541.92 |
2024-04-07 | 121005.92 | 80189.24 | 85848.99 | 93116.56 | 104830.21 | 141987.43 | 161426.18 | 176025.49 | 188513.46 |
2024-04-14 | 109897.22 | 69375.78 | 74887.68 | 81856.29 | 95741.14 | 128006.43 | 144903.20 | 158304.83 | 170180.56 |
2024-04-21 | 42607.74 | 27827.38 | 29519.52 | 31675.23 | 36284.62 | 49787.95 | 57046.84 | 60963.50 | 66633.09 |
2024-04-28 | 42665.88 | 26392.89 | 28408.99 | 31514.12 | 36191.45 | 49699.01 | 57184.67 | 62701.44 | 67056.88 |
2024-05-05 | 40959.84 | 25805.14 | 28047.20 | 30284.67 | 35490.97 | 47290.83 | 54243.65 | 58793.46 | 63810.00 |
2024-05-12 | 40860.74 | 26517.73 | 28191.73 | 30883.19 | 34820.14 | 47895.00 | 54834.57 | 59939.75 | 63719.04 |
2024-05-19 | 27950.64 | 17973.07 | 19110.69 | 20980.37 | 23938.02 | 32476.54 | 37433.15 | 41698.79 | 44842.58 |
2024-05-26 | 16800.38 | 10299.76 | 11093.70 | 12450.10 | 14329.29 | 19599.21 | 22636.83 | 24967.73 | 26260.35 |
2024-06-02 | 10711.02 | 6630.43 | 7169.04 | 7851.28 | 9047.96 | 12536.62 | 14600.89 | 15508.00 | 16704.03 |
2024-06-09 | 6198.23 | 3786.73 | 4177.41 | 4478.41 | 5256.48 | 7299.78 | 8486.18 | 9222.94 | 10142.80 |
2024-06-16 | 5140.44 | 3026.82 | 3312.83 | 3681.36 | 4320.15 | 5979.90 | 6951.90 | 7576.65 | 8177.23 |
2024-06-23 | 3841.40 | 2329.09 | 2517.01 | 2823.20 | 3270.41 | 4518.80 | 5295.20 | 5810.94 | 6268.59 |
2024-06-30 | 2596.21 | 1592.55 | 1716.10 | 1904.24 | 2212.95 | 3073.78 | 3618.80 | 4033.62 | 4275.29 |
2024-07-07 | 2045.16 | 1163.89 | 1311.11 | 1483.16 | 1745.66 | 2465.50 | 2886.03 | 3137.80 | 3365.67 |
2024-07-14 | 1541.43 | 920.19 | 1029.20 | 1108.36 | 1303.50 | 1811.93 | 2078.25 | 2203.24 | 2409.53 |
2024-07-21 | 1199.20 | 688.53 | 784.17 | 861.53 | 986.26 | 1432.36 | 1647.50 | 1835.55 | 1990.26 |
2024-07-28 | 925.34 | 564.34 | 613.31 | 675.71 | 780.05 | 1107.31 | 1291.04 | 1427.38 | 1519.87 |
2024-08-04 | 681.54 | 412.25 | 441.23 | 483.28 | 566.08 | 818.28 | 959.17 | 1061.19 | 1160.36 |
2024-08-11 | 861.04 | 515.75 | 562.03 | 612.57 | 715.96 | 1029.05 | 1222.49 | 1336.70 | 1450.09 |
2024-08-18 | 737.78 | 446.28 | 474.73 | 520.71 | 622.15 | 887.75 | 1044.54 | 1142.80 | 1214.39 |
2024-08-25 | 899.04 | 551.36 | 584.82 | 642.53 | 748.68 | 1092.46 | 1280.98 | 1396.07 | 1533.84 |
2024-09-01 | 760.94 | 461.53 | 504.60 | 552.80 | 645.07 | 919.05 | 1089.08 | 1201.28 | 1286.47 |
2024-09-08 | 643.38 | 389.21 | 422.63 | 465.78 | 540.59 | 757.94 | 893.83 | 1005.16 | 1069.07 |
2024-09-15 | 948.28 | 588.34 | 628.22 | 680.07 | 796.44 | 1143.47 | 1343.52 | 1437.38 | 1567.28 |
2024-09-22 | 947.93 | 576.85 | 625.89 | 687.16 | 804.70 | 1122.20 | 1303.57 | 1411.04 | 1500.11 |
2024-09-29 | 981.44 | 602.70 | 648.91 | 702.84 | 825.52 | 1177.25 | 1357.12 | 1501.07 | 1604.51 |