Prediction 1326

Dengue Sprint2425 R Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model LaCiD/UFRN
Author Laboratório de Ciência de Dados
ADM 1 Pará

Description:

Dengue predictions for PA using Validation Test 2


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 37.21 14.55 17.61 21.35 27.76 49.63 60.38 68.05 75.34
2023-10-15 48.13 19.56 22.25 26.40 35.45 63.78 79.51 88.51 98.16
2023-10-22 74.88 30.27 35.15 42.34 56.77 99.41 122.66 139.36 156.16
2023-10-29 40.11 13.08 15.91 20.78 28.44 54.70 70.18 80.80 94.40
2023-11-05 28.99 8.46 10.49 13.13 19.71 40.75 55.45 62.34 71.35
2023-11-12 52.16 20.36 23.89 28.51 37.33 70.35 87.20 98.69 111.40
2023-11-19 64.16 22.80 29.31 35.00 47.52 82.31 102.45 118.62 132.04
2023-11-26 73.18 31.53 36.01 43.45 55.24 96.07 119.45 133.63 147.20
2023-12-03 90.25 37.40 44.76 53.10 69.51 115.84 140.41 158.66 175.33
2023-12-10 61.65 24.22 28.62 33.51 45.31 80.57 100.94 117.98 127.78
2023-12-17 48.94 15.56 20.03 25.20 35.07 65.11 85.03 97.93 109.23
2023-12-24 25.77 6.86 9.36 11.84 17.18 37.17 48.88 57.78 66.12
2023-12-31 48.14 17.29 20.78 25.13 34.85 64.42 82.12 92.46 101.96
2024-01-07 286.00 178.50 189.14 209.60 247.64 343.93 397.84 430.98 460.12
2024-01-14 386.24 242.05 262.04 287.47 333.39 446.90 512.56 549.60 596.93
2024-01-21 424.27 261.11 290.48 314.00 360.40 495.74 575.92 608.99 635.11
2024-01-28 447.20 276.48 305.23 336.63 378.01 518.72 590.24 636.45 678.54
2024-02-04 757.24 504.50 538.02 586.49 666.36 842.05 927.76 986.84 1044.40
2024-02-11 798.08 552.63 592.31 625.95 704.98 902.22 993.03 1053.20 1113.36
2024-02-18 1358.74 985.03 1033.48 1086.75 1215.39 1500.33 1631.30 1710.01 1770.98
2024-02-25 1465.32 1101.19 1159.61 1223.62 1332.14 1623.23 1761.98 1856.95 1942.96
2024-03-03 1293.06 914.92 972.13 1039.44 1149.66 1430.49 1556.11 1640.84 1717.24
2024-03-10 1118.75 812.45 857.75 911.84 1000.01 1240.15 1355.29 1418.93 1482.20
2024-03-17 1137.36 814.81 869.67 917.45 1015.35 1255.32 1378.94 1438.74 1520.76
2024-03-24 1049.54 722.80 782.27 846.10 950.36 1174.62 1278.14 1371.86 1422.79
2024-03-31 912.54 652.19 694.83 734.51 823.51 1028.00 1146.21 1221.30 1268.43
2024-04-07 1116.60 829.01 883.31 924.17 1012.78 1235.85 1359.67 1436.78 1520.71
2024-04-14 872.95 591.55 635.94 673.25 764.67 969.79 1073.51 1139.48 1189.21
2024-04-21 684.23 475.53 509.47 541.77 602.88 776.92 872.96 927.74 983.71
2024-04-28 538.56 352.55 377.62 407.74 469.59 616.39 691.98 743.15 809.90
2024-05-05 421.74 257.37 282.93 305.94 359.14 480.84 543.61 588.88 622.00
2024-05-12 498.08 322.11 346.79 376.27 426.91 570.07 635.71 680.58 717.87
2024-05-19 361.85 223.88 243.69 267.86 312.65 422.83 488.84 522.92 559.82
2024-05-26 259.57 138.64 156.40 176.65 219.60 304.21 355.36 384.19 409.43
2024-06-02 204.23 111.34 127.58 137.55 166.58 245.57 290.69 311.54 339.46
2024-06-09 339.29 204.08 222.33 246.16 284.80 401.62 455.69 489.86 523.51
2024-06-16 386.63 241.42 261.04 285.70 332.05 447.67 507.73 555.41 587.88
2024-06-23 255.79 147.67 161.42 178.09 213.91 305.81 351.09 386.57 415.32
2024-06-30 235.53 135.29 148.17 162.90 195.79 285.06 328.84 359.54 384.80
2024-07-07 222.02 119.52 130.01 147.73 183.49 267.02 312.35 345.86 372.48
2024-07-14 217.36 115.47 128.36 144.10 176.98 254.90 298.13 328.32 345.05
2024-07-21 195.06 102.32 117.62 133.56 158.77 235.30 276.25 303.52 326.19
2024-07-28 162.37 82.30 94.17 108.57 130.13 198.67 236.52 255.14 276.35
2024-08-04 192.56 104.30 116.60 130.66 155.67 234.01 272.43 297.91 321.39
2024-08-11 202.43 107.84 122.28 137.00 164.93 247.55 291.55 326.11 344.44
2024-08-18 139.70 65.91 75.90 89.83 111.85 170.65 202.87 224.71 241.76
2024-08-25 190.98 104.36 115.61 126.73 157.49 233.89 278.70 306.42 324.95
2024-09-01 177.28 92.75 104.11 117.25 141.35 218.68 256.55 289.10 311.06
2024-09-08 114.44 53.99 62.48 72.65 89.44 141.72 171.05 186.33 200.27
2024-09-15 155.50 81.85 92.16 102.70 124.55 194.32 230.97 253.93 278.16
2024-09-22 207.00 115.47 128.12 140.67 168.98 244.47 285.17 311.50 342.18
2024-09-29 117.27 57.60 64.06 73.19 93.04 148.21 180.56 195.45 212.97
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