Prediction 1339

Dengue Sprint2425 R Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model LaCiD/UFRN
Author Laboratório de Ciência de Dados
ADM 1 Tocantins

Description:

Dengue predictions for TO using Validation Test 2


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 11.09 5.06 5.86 6.84 8.54 14.55 17.66 19.95 22.16
2023-10-15 13.85 6.61 7.32 8.32 10.58 17.56 21.53 23.88 26.37
2023-10-22 32.82 16.09 17.95 21.30 26.13 40.65 49.43 55.13 60.27
2023-10-29 13.35 6.13 7.17 8.27 10.58 17.06 21.13 24.20 27.52
2023-11-05 24.92 12.72 14.07 15.97 19.78 31.18 37.07 42.13 46.49
2023-11-12 37.14 19.25 21.44 23.93 29.11 46.55 55.67 62.60 68.94
2023-11-19 24.57 11.48 13.51 15.98 19.79 30.88 37.46 42.30 46.14
2023-11-26 53.71 26.73 30.48 35.24 43.23 67.06 79.67 87.65 94.11
2023-12-03 70.32 37.95 41.40 47.16 56.85 85.77 104.52 113.79 126.78
2023-12-10 66.45 35.03 38.58 44.40 54.15 79.96 96.13 106.69 117.16
2023-12-17 72.65 37.27 40.95 47.09 58.01 89.43 105.93 117.08 128.42
2023-12-24 85.18 48.19 52.28 57.92 69.87 103.29 121.34 132.57 143.11
2023-12-31 66.58 36.77 40.23 45.86 54.58 80.05 98.27 109.91 118.90
2024-01-07 51.37 27.85 30.18 34.47 41.50 63.32 77.96 88.13 95.84
2024-01-14 51.00 26.53 29.11 33.56 41.31 62.84 75.62 84.65 93.32
2024-01-21 62.35 33.12 36.30 41.55 49.76 77.62 94.00 105.17 114.25
2024-01-28 67.75 34.79 38.99 44.23 53.45 84.23 100.34 112.89 121.44
2024-02-04 128.64 72.84 78.65 88.98 106.62 154.99 177.75 192.80 214.61
2024-02-11 130.68 71.29 79.91 90.46 107.18 157.49 186.14 200.67 220.67
2024-02-18 125.54 67.99 76.25 84.39 103.31 153.07 177.89 194.23 204.81
2024-02-25 178.06 105.35 114.05 125.60 148.40 210.46 248.36 267.32 292.68
2024-03-03 225.47 134.49 145.90 160.30 185.52 273.88 313.12 339.88 365.96
2024-03-10 225.01 137.94 147.16 159.89 187.22 268.40 308.03 333.72 354.46
2024-03-17 224.74 130.16 142.22 157.67 189.28 263.49 310.06 334.17 357.68
2024-03-24 255.89 151.58 167.67 184.98 215.45 300.90 350.29 382.60 414.06
2024-03-31 199.40 117.97 128.14 140.44 166.35 234.98 276.49 313.21 331.31
2024-04-07 217.19 134.69 144.07 157.13 184.80 256.76 299.06 324.88 352.65
2024-04-14 281.55 164.55 178.08 201.64 232.59 330.73 379.08 412.93 436.73
2024-04-21 320.90 200.20 215.29 237.66 271.66 378.32 433.17 466.23 513.91
2024-04-28 264.17 162.40 172.28 190.73 221.54 308.83 358.38 395.96 432.27
2024-05-05 194.31 118.12 128.72 140.08 163.89 234.29 276.27 301.75 315.90
2024-05-12 159.54 96.67 103.97 113.02 133.89 190.02 226.28 246.42 260.97
2024-05-19 184.97 106.96 117.30 128.21 155.45 218.36 255.76 280.13 297.47
2024-05-26 141.17 78.05 85.92 96.03 117.06 166.71 194.75 215.67 243.20
2024-06-02 127.25 70.07 79.15 86.75 102.04 151.85 177.84 196.25 214.88
2024-06-09 66.29 34.91 39.92 45.64 54.79 82.06 98.77 108.36 117.55
2024-06-16 56.53 28.88 32.77 37.51 45.53 68.96 82.23 91.15 100.85
2024-06-23 52.21 26.28 29.68 33.97 41.91 65.06 78.02 88.92 100.62
2024-06-30 42.47 22.71 24.75 27.48 33.98 52.21 63.28 70.85 78.55
2024-07-07 41.56 19.98 22.85 26.38 33.25 52.92 64.05 72.13 78.44
2024-07-14 19.32 9.30 10.27 11.75 15.24 24.75 30.25 33.94 37.14
2024-07-21 17.45 8.47 9.59 10.75 13.63 23.09 28.67 32.80 36.14
2024-07-28 17.31 8.34 9.23 10.32 13.00 22.11 26.88 30.87 33.81
2024-08-04 21.11 10.18 11.28 12.75 16.34 26.69 33.40 37.86 43.45
2024-08-11 11.94 5.13 5.99 6.93 9.07 15.97 19.58 21.84 25.39
2024-08-18 9.91 4.05 4.95 5.73 7.43 12.92 16.35 18.67 20.50
2024-08-25 14.97 6.42 7.75 8.84 11.36 19.54 25.24 28.39 31.87
2024-09-01 15.54 6.90 8.00 9.28 11.91 20.44 25.34 28.99 31.05
2024-09-08 12.19 5.24 6.29 7.53 9.39 15.79 19.82 22.01 25.52
2024-09-15 14.23 6.50 7.52 8.50 10.66 18.34 22.69 25.36 29.14
2024-09-22 16.12 7.35 8.40 9.86 12.40 20.55 25.44 28.92 31.30
2024-09-29 4.16 1.53 1.88 2.20 2.97 5.81 7.46 8.70 9.66
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