Prediction 1417
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Sergipe |
Description:
Validation 2 (NegBinom Baseline model)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-09 | 32.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 14.0 | 61.0 | 99.0 | 127.0 | 155.0 |
| 2023-10-16 | 30.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 12.0 | 62.0 | 106.0 | 139.0 | 172.0 |
| 2023-10-23 | 29.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 12.0 | 57.0 | 93.0 | 120.0 | 147.0 |
| 2023-10-30 | 31.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 11.0 | 67.0 | 116.0 | 153.0 | 191.0 |
| 2023-11-06 | 34.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 85.0 | 160.0 | 219.0 | 280.0 |
| 2023-11-13 | 31.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 76.0 | 142.0 | 194.0 | 247.0 |
| 2023-11-20 | 33.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 91.0 | 178.0 | 249.0 | 322.0 |
| 2023-11-27 | 29.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 77.0 | 151.0 | 210.0 | 271.0 |
| 2023-12-04 | 27.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 66.0 | 123.0 | 169.0 | 215.0 |
| 2023-12-11 | 23.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 53.0 | 96.0 | 130.0 | 164.0 |
| 2023-12-18 | 15.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 31.0 | 51.0 | 66.0 | 81.0 |
| 2023-12-25 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 28.0 | 51.0 | 68.0 | 86.0 |
| 2024-01-01 | 16.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 38.0 | 71.0 | 96.0 | 122.0 |
| 2024-01-08 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 39.0 | 65.0 | 84.0 | 103.0 |
| 2024-01-15 | 17.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 41.0 | 76.0 | 103.0 | 131.0 |
| 2024-01-22 | 21.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 47.0 | 82.0 | 109.0 | 137.0 |
| 2024-01-29 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 57.0 | 114.0 | 160.0 | 208.0 |
| 2024-02-05 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 71.0 | 142.0 | 200.0 | 260.0 |
| 2024-02-12 | 27.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 76.0 | 154.0 | 218.0 | 285.0 |
| 2024-02-19 | 24.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 62.0 | 120.0 | 166.0 | 214.0 |
| 2024-02-26 | 30.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 72.0 | 131.0 | 178.0 | 226.0 |
| 2024-03-04 | 27.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 68.0 | 128.0 | 175.0 | 224.0 |
| 2024-03-11 | 34.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 11.0 | 80.0 | 145.0 | 196.0 | 247.0 |
| 2024-03-18 | 37.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 13.0 | 82.0 | 143.0 | 191.0 | 239.0 |
| 2024-03-25 | 38.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 14.0 | 82.0 | 143.0 | 189.0 | 236.0 |
| 2024-04-01 | 43.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 15.0 | 96.0 | 169.0 | 225.0 | 282.0 |
| 2024-04-08 | 49.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 19.0 | 100.0 | 167.0 | 219.0 | 271.0 |
| 2024-04-15 | 48.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 20.0 | 95.0 | 157.0 | 204.0 | 250.0 |
| 2024-04-22 | 43.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 19.0 | 82.0 | 132.0 | 170.0 | 207.0 |
| 2024-04-29 | 54.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 23.0 | 103.0 | 167.0 | 215.0 | 262.0 |
| 2024-05-06 | 60.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 14.0 | 30.0 | 107.0 | 165.0 | 207.0 | 249.0 |
| 2024-05-13 | 64.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 14.0 | 31.0 | 113.0 | 175.0 | 220.0 | 264.0 |
| 2024-05-20 | 61.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 12.0 | 29.0 | 112.0 | 175.0 | 222.0 | 269.0 |
| 2024-05-27 | 57.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 25.0 | 107.0 | 172.0 | 220.0 | 267.0 |
| 2024-06-03 | 60.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 11.0 | 27.0 | 113.0 | 182.0 | 233.0 | 283.0 |
| 2024-06-10 | 55.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 23.0 | 109.0 | 181.0 | 236.0 | 290.0 |
| 2024-06-17 | 52.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 22.0 | 104.0 | 172.0 | 223.0 | 274.0 |
| 2024-06-24 | 46.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 15.0 | 106.0 | 192.0 | 259.0 | 327.0 |
| 2024-07-01 | 55.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 19.0 | 123.0 | 216.0 | 289.0 | 362.0 |
| 2024-07-08 | 56.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 22.0 | 118.0 | 201.0 | 264.0 | 328.0 |
| 2024-07-15 | 51.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 20.0 | 107.0 | 183.0 | 240.0 | 298.0 |
| 2024-07-22 | 49.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 14.0 | 124.0 | 234.0 | 322.0 | 412.0 |
| 2024-07-29 | 48.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 16.0 | 109.0 | 195.0 | 262.0 | 330.0 |
| 2024-08-05 | 50.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 20.0 | 103.0 | 173.0 | 226.0 | 280.0 |
| 2024-08-12 | 50.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 21.0 | 100.0 | 165.0 | 215.0 | 264.0 |
| 2024-08-19 | 43.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 16.0 | 91.0 | 157.0 | 207.0 | 257.0 |
| 2024-08-26 | 36.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 14.0 | 74.0 | 125.0 | 164.0 | 203.0 |
| 2024-09-02 | 44.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 17.0 | 91.0 | 154.0 | 202.0 | 250.0 |
| 2024-09-09 | 41.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 14.0 | 92.0 | 163.0 | 219.0 | 275.0 |
| 2024-09-16 | 41.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 14.0 | 94.0 | 168.0 | 226.0 | 284.0 |
| 2024-09-23 | 32.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 11.0 | 71.0 | 125.0 | 167.0 | 209.0 |
| 2024-09-30 | 35.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 14.0 | 72.0 | 121.0 | 159.0 | 196.0 |
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