Prediction 1418
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | São Paulo |
Description:
Validation 2 (NegBinom Baseline model)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-09 | 249.0 | 47.0 | 65.0 | 91.0 | 153.0 | 381.0 | 531.0 | 637.0 | 739.0 |
| 2023-10-16 | 265.0 | 57.0 | 76.0 | 105.0 | 168.0 | 393.0 | 539.0 | 640.0 | 737.0 |
| 2023-10-23 | 272.0 | 56.0 | 76.0 | 105.0 | 171.0 | 407.0 | 561.0 | 669.0 | 772.0 |
| 2023-10-30 | 302.0 | 58.0 | 80.0 | 113.0 | 187.0 | 458.0 | 637.0 | 763.0 | 883.0 |
| 2023-11-06 | 345.0 | 54.0 | 77.0 | 114.0 | 201.0 | 545.0 | 779.0 | 945.0 | 1105.0 |
| 2023-11-13 | 380.0 | 59.0 | 86.0 | 126.0 | 222.0 | 600.0 | 857.0 | 1039.0 | 1216.0 |
| 2023-11-20 | 445.0 | 58.0 | 87.0 | 134.0 | 249.0 | 725.0 | 1058.0 | 1297.0 | 1529.0 |
| 2023-11-27 | 525.0 | 63.0 | 96.0 | 151.0 | 288.0 | 869.0 | 1281.0 | 1579.0 | 1868.0 |
| 2023-12-04 | 626.0 | 59.0 | 96.0 | 158.0 | 324.0 | 1079.0 | 1635.0 | 2039.0 | 2436.0 |
| 2023-12-11 | 710.0 | 55.0 | 93.0 | 161.0 | 351.0 | 1265.0 | 1957.0 | 2464.0 | 2964.0 |
| 2023-12-18 | 719.0 | 60.0 | 100.0 | 170.0 | 361.0 | 1265.0 | 1941.0 | 2436.0 | 2922.0 |
| 2023-12-25 | 736.0 | 47.0 | 84.0 | 151.0 | 348.0 | 1350.0 | 2127.0 | 2702.0 | 3270.0 |
| 2024-01-01 | 1267.0 | 127.0 | 203.0 | 330.0 | 665.0 | 2164.0 | 3259.0 | 4053.0 | 4831.0 |
| 2024-01-08 | 1624.0 | 225.0 | 333.0 | 504.0 | 921.0 | 2624.0 | 3809.0 | 4655.0 | 5477.0 |
| 2024-01-15 | 2025.0 | 359.0 | 503.0 | 719.0 | 1221.0 | 3126.0 | 4400.0 | 5299.0 | 6164.0 |
| 2024-01-22 | 2463.0 | 529.0 | 711.0 | 974.0 | 1561.0 | 3665.0 | 5027.0 | 5977.0 | 6886.0 |
| 2024-01-29 | 3191.0 | 853.0 | 1093.0 | 1428.0 | 2142.0 | 4540.0 | 6033.0 | 7060.0 | 8034.0 |
| 2024-02-05 | 3774.0 | 1141.0 | 1426.0 | 1813.0 | 2620.0 | 5230.0 | 6817.0 | 7899.0 | 8921.0 |
| 2024-02-12 | 4473.0 | 1513.0 | 1847.0 | 2294.0 | 3202.0 | 6046.0 | 7737.0 | 8880.0 | 9954.0 |
| 2024-02-19 | 4975.0 | 1795.0 | 2162.0 | 2648.0 | 3626.0 | 6626.0 | 8386.0 | 9571.0 | 10680.0 |
| 2024-02-26 | 5728.0 | 2236.0 | 2651.0 | 3194.0 | 4269.0 | 7489.0 | 9348.0 | 10591.0 | 11750.0 |
| 2024-03-04 | 6299.0 | 2583.0 | 3032.0 | 3616.0 | 4761.0 | 8138.0 | 10068.0 | 11352.0 | 12546.0 |
| 2024-03-11 | 7113.0 | 3094.0 | 3591.0 | 4230.0 | 5469.0 | 9059.0 | 11084.0 | 12424.0 | 13667.0 |
| 2024-03-18 | 7374.0 | 3262.0 | 3773.0 | 4429.0 | 5697.0 | 9353.0 | 11407.0 | 12765.0 | 14022.0 |
| 2024-03-25 | 7667.0 | 3452.0 | 3979.0 | 4654.0 | 5954.0 | 9682.0 | 11768.0 | 13145.0 | 14419.0 |
| 2024-04-01 | 8293.0 | 3863.0 | 4424.0 | 5138.0 | 6505.0 | 10382.0 | 12535.0 | 13952.0 | 15260.0 |
| 2024-04-08 | 8237.0 | 3827.0 | 4384.0 | 5095.0 | 6456.0 | 10320.0 | 12468.0 | 13881.0 | 15186.0 |
| 2024-04-15 | 8230.0 | 3822.0 | 4379.0 | 5090.0 | 6450.0 | 10313.0 | 12459.0 | 13872.0 | 15177.0 |
| 2024-04-22 | 7378.0 | 3264.0 | 3775.0 | 4432.0 | 5700.0 | 9357.0 | 11411.0 | 12769.0 | 14027.0 |
| 2024-04-29 | 6585.0 | 2761.0 | 3227.0 | 3831.0 | 5009.0 | 8463.0 | 10426.0 | 11730.0 | 12942.0 |
| 2024-05-06 | 5385.0 | 2032.0 | 2426.0 | 2943.0 | 3975.0 | 7096.0 | 8911.0 | 10128.0 | 11264.0 |
| 2024-05-13 | 4352.0 | 1447.0 | 1772.0 | 2209.0 | 3101.0 | 5905.0 | 7579.0 | 8712.0 | 9777.0 |
| 2024-05-20 | 3068.0 | 795.0 | 1026.0 | 1349.0 | 2042.0 | 4393.0 | 5865.0 | 6879.0 | 7843.0 |
| 2024-05-27 | 2346.0 | 482.0 | 653.0 | 904.0 | 1469.0 | 3522.0 | 4861.0 | 5798.0 | 6696.0 |
| 2024-06-03 | 1749.0 | 264.0 | 384.0 | 568.0 | 1013.0 | 2781.0 | 3995.0 | 4858.0 | 5693.0 |
| 2024-06-10 | 1416.0 | 165.0 | 254.0 | 400.0 | 770.0 | 2358.0 | 3491.0 | 4308.0 | 5105.0 |
| 2024-06-17 | 1112.0 | 92.0 | 154.0 | 261.0 | 557.0 | 1960.0 | 3011.0 | 3781.0 | 4538.0 |
| 2024-06-24 | 855.0 | 46.0 | 85.0 | 160.0 | 388.0 | 1613.0 | 2586.0 | 3311.0 | 4030.0 |
| 2024-07-01 | 617.0 | 21.0 | 44.0 | 91.0 | 253.0 | 1242.0 | 2072.0 | 2700.0 | 3330.0 |
| 2024-07-08 | 528.0 | 27.0 | 50.0 | 96.0 | 237.0 | 1004.0 | 1616.0 | 2074.0 | 2529.0 |
| 2024-07-15 | 429.0 | 23.0 | 43.0 | 80.0 | 195.0 | 807.0 | 1291.0 | 1652.0 | 2011.0 |
| 2024-07-22 | 366.0 | 20.0 | 37.0 | 69.0 | 167.0 | 688.0 | 1099.0 | 1405.0 | 1708.0 |
| 2024-07-29 | 324.0 | 24.0 | 42.0 | 73.0 | 159.0 | 578.0 | 895.0 | 1128.0 | 1358.0 |
| 2024-08-05 | 283.0 | 29.0 | 46.0 | 75.0 | 150.0 | 479.0 | 718.0 | 891.0 | 1060.0 |
| 2024-08-12 | 239.0 | 27.0 | 42.0 | 67.0 | 130.0 | 400.0 | 593.0 | 732.0 | 868.0 |
| 2024-08-19 | 223.0 | 29.0 | 43.0 | 67.0 | 125.0 | 365.0 | 534.0 | 654.0 | 772.0 |
| 2024-08-26 | 205.0 | 31.0 | 45.0 | 67.0 | 119.0 | 326.0 | 467.0 | 568.0 | 665.0 |
| 2024-09-02 | 203.0 | 29.0 | 42.0 | 64.0 | 116.0 | 327.0 | 472.0 | 576.0 | 677.0 |
| 2024-09-09 | 225.0 | 37.0 | 52.0 | 76.0 | 133.0 | 352.0 | 499.0 | 604.0 | 705.0 |
| 2024-09-16 | 234.0 | 45.0 | 62.0 | 87.0 | 144.0 | 355.0 | 493.0 | 590.0 | 683.0 |
| 2024-09-23 | 223.0 | 41.0 | 57.0 | 81.0 | 136.0 | 340.0 | 476.0 | 571.0 | 662.0 |
| 2024-09-30 | 233.0 | 40.0 | 56.0 | 81.0 | 140.0 | 362.0 | 511.0 | 616.0 | 717.0 |
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