Prediction 1420
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Acre |
Description:
Validation 3 (NegBinom Baseline model)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-07 | 81.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 17.0 | 246.0 | 514.0 | 736.0 | 968.0 |
| 2024-10-14 | 93.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 20.0 | 278.0 | 577.0 | 824.0 | 1082.0 |
| 2024-10-21 | 95.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 20.0 | 280.0 | 577.0 | 821.0 | 1076.0 |
| 2024-10-28 | 112.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 30.0 | 295.0 | 573.0 | 796.0 | 1026.0 |
| 2024-11-04 | 129.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 36.0 | 330.0 | 630.0 | 871.0 | 1118.0 |
| 2024-11-11 | 147.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 42.0 | 368.0 | 694.0 | 954.0 | 1221.0 |
| 2024-11-18 | 162.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 11.0 | 48.0 | 400.0 | 751.0 | 1029.0 | 1314.0 |
| 2024-11-25 | 185.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 14.0 | 58.0 | 442.0 | 814.0 | 1107.0 | 1405.0 |
| 2024-12-02 | 210.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 17.0 | 67.0 | 493.0 | 899.0 | 1218.0 | 1543.0 |
| 2024-12-09 | 204.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 15.0 | 63.0 | 486.0 | 895.0 | 1217.0 | 1546.0 |
| 2024-12-16 | 179.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 14.0 | 56.0 | 427.0 | 785.0 | 1067.0 | 1354.0 |
| 2024-12-23 | 153.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 42.0 | 393.0 | 753.0 | 1041.0 | 1338.0 |
| 2024-12-30 | 306.0 | 6.0 | 15.0 | 35.0 | 112.0 | 661.0 | 1149.0 | 1524.0 | 1904.0 |
| 2025-01-06 | 305.0 | 7.0 | 16.0 | 37.0 | 115.0 | 650.0 | 1119.0 | 1480.0 | 1843.0 |
| 2025-01-13 | 341.0 | 12.0 | 25.0 | 52.0 | 142.0 | 681.0 | 1129.0 | 1468.0 | 1807.0 |
| 2025-01-20 | 313.0 | 13.0 | 26.0 | 52.0 | 135.0 | 609.0 | 996.0 | 1287.0 | 1577.0 |
| 2025-01-27 | 309.0 | 9.0 | 20.0 | 43.0 | 124.0 | 631.0 | 1060.0 | 1387.0 | 1714.0 |
| 2025-02-03 | 295.0 | 9.0 | 19.0 | 41.0 | 118.0 | 605.0 | 1020.0 | 1336.0 | 1653.0 |
| 2025-02-10 | 289.0 | 9.0 | 18.0 | 40.0 | 115.0 | 593.0 | 1000.0 | 1309.0 | 1620.0 |
| 2025-02-17 | 250.0 | 6.0 | 14.0 | 32.0 | 97.0 | 522.0 | 889.0 | 1170.0 | 1452.0 |
| 2025-02-24 | 243.0 | 7.0 | 15.0 | 32.0 | 96.0 | 502.0 | 851.0 | 1116.0 | 1383.0 |
| 2025-03-03 | 208.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | 30.0 | 84.0 | 421.0 | 704.0 | 919.0 | 1135.0 |
| 2025-03-10 | 188.0 | 6.0 | 13.0 | 28.0 | 77.0 | 377.0 | 628.0 | 818.0 | 1008.0 |
| 2025-03-17 | 161.0 | 8.0 | 15.0 | 29.0 | 72.0 | 304.0 | 489.0 | 627.0 | 764.0 |
| 2025-03-24 | 135.0 | 6.0 | 12.0 | 24.0 | 60.0 | 259.0 | 418.0 | 537.0 | 655.0 |
| 2025-03-31 | 126.0 | 7.0 | 13.0 | 25.0 | 59.0 | 235.0 | 372.0 | 474.0 | 575.0 |
| 2025-04-07 | 110.0 | 8.0 | 14.0 | 24.0 | 54.0 | 196.0 | 303.0 | 382.0 | 460.0 |
| 2025-04-14 | 97.0 | 9.0 | 15.0 | 25.0 | 51.0 | 165.0 | 248.0 | 309.0 | 367.0 |
| 2025-04-21 | 80.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 16.0 | 38.0 | 147.0 | 231.0 | 293.0 | 355.0 |
| 2025-04-28 | 81.0 | 8.0 | 13.0 | 21.0 | 43.0 | 137.0 | 205.0 | 254.0 | 302.0 |
| 2025-05-05 | 73.0 | 7.0 | 12.0 | 19.0 | 39.0 | 123.0 | 183.0 | 226.0 | 269.0 |
| 2025-05-12 | 62.0 | 7.0 | 12.0 | 18.0 | 34.0 | 102.0 | 149.0 | 182.0 | 215.0 |
| 2025-05-19 | 56.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 16.0 | 31.0 | 91.0 | 133.0 | 163.0 | 192.0 |
| 2025-05-26 | 52.0 | 8.0 | 12.0 | 17.0 | 31.0 | 82.0 | 117.0 | 142.0 | 165.0 |
| 2025-06-02 | 43.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 21.0 | 78.0 | 122.0 | 154.0 | 186.0 |
| 2025-06-09 | 41.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 12.0 | 23.0 | 67.0 | 98.0 | 120.0 | 141.0 |
| 2025-06-16 | 33.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 16.0 | 59.0 | 92.0 | 116.0 | 139.0 |
| 2025-06-23 | 35.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 17.0 | 61.0 | 93.0 | 117.0 | 140.0 |
| 2025-06-30 | 35.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 18.0 | 60.0 | 90.0 | 112.0 | 133.0 |
| 2025-07-07 | 34.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 18.0 | 58.0 | 87.0 | 107.0 | 128.0 |
| 2025-07-14 | 32.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 15.0 | 59.0 | 93.0 | 118.0 | 143.0 |
| 2025-07-21 | 28.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 11.0 | 57.0 | 96.0 | 125.0 | 154.0 |
| 2025-07-28 | 32.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 14.0 | 63.0 | 102.0 | 131.0 | 161.0 |
| 2025-08-04 | 27.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 | 59.0 | 103.0 | 136.0 | 170.0 |
| 2025-08-11 | 29.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 11.0 | 63.0 | 109.0 | 144.0 | 179.0 |
| 2025-08-18 | 31.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 79.0 | 152.0 | 210.0 | 270.0 |
| 2025-08-25 | 39.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 121.0 | 253.0 | 363.0 | 478.0 |
| 2025-09-01 | 42.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 149.0 | 334.0 | 492.0 | 659.0 |
| 2025-09-08 | 57.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 202.0 | 456.0 | 672.0 | 902.0 |
| 2025-09-15 | 58.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 208.0 | 472.0 | 698.0 | 937.0 |
| 2025-09-22 | 55.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 204.0 | 471.0 | 702.0 | 947.0 |
| 2025-09-29 | 68.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 11.0 | 242.0 | 545.0 | 804.0 | 1079.0 |
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