Prediction 1421
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Alagoas |
Description:
Validation 3 (NegBinom Baseline model)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-07 | 119.0 | 10.0 | 17.0 | 29.0 | 61.0 | 207.0 | 314.0 | 392.0 | 469.0 |
| 2024-10-14 | 126.0 | 8.0 | 14.0 | 26.0 | 60.0 | 230.0 | 360.0 | 456.0 | 552.0 |
| 2024-10-21 | 111.0 | 6.0 | 12.0 | 22.0 | 52.0 | 207.0 | 328.0 | 418.0 | 507.0 |
| 2024-10-28 | 103.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 17.0 | 44.0 | 201.0 | 330.0 | 428.0 | 524.0 |
| 2024-11-04 | 115.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 14.0 | 43.0 | 244.0 | 421.0 | 556.0 | 693.0 |
| 2024-11-11 | 110.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 11.0 | 39.0 | 246.0 | 434.0 | 579.0 | 727.0 |
| 2024-11-18 | 94.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | 39.0 | 187.0 | 309.0 | 401.0 | 494.0 |
| 2024-11-25 | 86.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 11.0 | 33.0 | 180.0 | 307.0 | 404.0 | 501.0 |
| 2024-12-02 | 89.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 12.0 | 36.0 | 182.0 | 305.0 | 398.0 | 492.0 |
| 2024-12-09 | 81.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 | 31.0 | 171.0 | 292.0 | 385.0 | 478.0 |
| 2024-12-16 | 63.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 25.0 | 130.0 | 219.0 | 288.0 | 356.0 |
| 2024-12-23 | 56.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 19.0 | 127.0 | 227.0 | 304.0 | 383.0 |
| 2024-12-30 | 80.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | 35.0 | 154.0 | 250.0 | 322.0 | 393.0 |
| 2025-01-06 | 97.0 | 7.0 | 12.0 | 21.0 | 47.0 | 176.0 | 273.0 | 346.0 | 417.0 |
| 2025-01-13 | 104.0 | 7.0 | 12.0 | 22.0 | 50.0 | 188.0 | 293.0 | 370.0 | 446.0 |
| 2025-01-20 | 105.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 18.0 | 46.0 | 202.0 | 327.0 | 421.0 | 515.0 |
| 2025-01-27 | 118.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 20.0 | 52.0 | 228.0 | 369.0 | 475.0 | 580.0 |
| 2025-02-03 | 136.0 | 8.0 | 14.0 | 26.0 | 63.0 | 253.0 | 401.0 | 512.0 | 621.0 |
| 2025-02-10 | 147.0 | 6.0 | 12.0 | 25.0 | 64.0 | 284.0 | 463.0 | 597.0 | 730.0 |
| 2025-02-17 | 161.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 23.0 | 65.0 | 327.0 | 549.0 | 718.0 | 887.0 |
| 2025-02-24 | 194.0 | 5.0 | 12.0 | 26.0 | 76.0 | 403.0 | 683.0 | 897.0 | 1112.0 |
| 2025-03-03 | 218.0 | 4.0 | 11.0 | 25.0 | 81.0 | 468.0 | 810.0 | 1073.0 | 1338.0 |
| 2025-03-10 | 227.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 | 24.0 | 81.0 | 496.0 | 870.0 | 1158.0 | 1450.0 |
| 2025-03-17 | 250.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 21.0 | 82.0 | 582.0 | 1054.0 | 1424.0 | 1801.0 |
| 2025-03-24 | 247.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 18.0 | 76.0 | 595.0 | 1099.0 | 1496.0 | 1902.0 |
| 2025-03-31 | 298.0 | 7.0 | 17.0 | 37.0 | 114.0 | 626.0 | 1072.0 | 1412.0 | 1755.0 |
| 2025-04-07 | 321.0 | 8.0 | 18.0 | 40.0 | 123.0 | 676.0 | 1157.0 | 1525.0 | 1896.0 |
| 2025-04-14 | 348.0 | 11.0 | 23.0 | 49.0 | 140.0 | 711.0 | 1194.0 | 1561.0 | 1930.0 |
| 2025-04-21 | 356.0 | 12.0 | 24.0 | 52.0 | 145.0 | 721.0 | 1206.0 | 1573.0 | 1942.0 |
| 2025-04-28 | 410.0 | 13.0 | 27.0 | 58.0 | 165.0 | 837.0 | 1407.0 | 1840.0 | 2275.0 |
| 2025-05-05 | 446.0 | 16.0 | 33.0 | 68.0 | 186.0 | 890.0 | 1476.0 | 1918.0 | 2361.0 |
| 2025-05-12 | 470.0 | 19.0 | 38.0 | 77.0 | 201.0 | 920.0 | 1509.0 | 1952.0 | 2394.0 |
| 2025-05-19 | 436.0 | 15.0 | 31.0 | 65.0 | 179.0 | 877.0 | 1461.0 | 1903.0 | 2346.0 |
| 2025-05-26 | 445.0 | 18.0 | 35.0 | 71.0 | 189.0 | 877.0 | 1442.0 | 1868.0 | 2293.0 |
| 2025-06-02 | 450.0 | 22.0 | 42.0 | 81.0 | 201.0 | 857.0 | 1381.0 | 1773.0 | 2162.0 |
| 2025-06-09 | 457.0 | 29.0 | 52.0 | 94.0 | 216.0 | 837.0 | 1319.0 | 1675.0 | 2027.0 |
| 2025-06-16 | 403.0 | 19.0 | 37.0 | 71.0 | 179.0 | 772.0 | 1249.0 | 1605.0 | 1960.0 |
| 2025-06-23 | 358.0 | 17.0 | 32.0 | 63.0 | 158.0 | 687.0 | 1113.0 | 1431.0 | 1749.0 |
| 2025-06-30 | 343.0 | 15.0 | 30.0 | 58.0 | 150.0 | 664.0 | 1081.0 | 1394.0 | 1705.0 |
| 2025-07-07 | 343.0 | 17.0 | 33.0 | 63.0 | 154.0 | 650.0 | 1045.0 | 1340.0 | 1633.0 |
| 2025-07-14 | 311.0 | 17.0 | 32.0 | 59.0 | 143.0 | 582.0 | 929.0 | 1187.0 | 1443.0 |
| 2025-07-21 | 280.0 | 18.0 | 32.0 | 58.0 | 133.0 | 511.0 | 803.0 | 1019.0 | 1232.0 |
| 2025-07-28 | 267.0 | 17.0 | 31.0 | 55.0 | 127.0 | 489.0 | 769.0 | 976.0 | 1180.0 |
| 2025-08-04 | 245.0 | 19.0 | 33.0 | 56.0 | 122.0 | 434.0 | 669.0 | 841.0 | 1011.0 |
| 2025-08-11 | 233.0 | 18.0 | 30.0 | 52.0 | 115.0 | 416.0 | 643.0 | 810.0 | 974.0 |
| 2025-08-18 | 199.0 | 17.0 | 29.0 | 49.0 | 102.0 | 346.0 | 527.0 | 659.0 | 789.0 |
| 2025-08-25 | 188.0 | 13.0 | 23.0 | 40.0 | 91.0 | 339.0 | 529.0 | 668.0 | 806.0 |
| 2025-09-01 | 178.0 | 14.0 | 24.0 | 42.0 | 89.0 | 313.0 | 480.0 | 602.0 | 722.0 |
| 2025-09-08 | 156.0 | 15.0 | 24.0 | 39.0 | 81.0 | 268.0 | 405.0 | 505.0 | 603.0 |
| 2025-09-15 | 157.0 | 14.0 | 23.0 | 39.0 | 81.0 | 271.0 | 411.0 | 513.0 | 613.0 |
| 2025-09-22 | 146.0 | 15.0 | 24.0 | 39.0 | 78.0 | 247.0 | 370.0 | 459.0 | 546.0 |
| 2025-09-29 | 119.0 | 11.0 | 17.0 | 29.0 | 61.0 | 206.0 | 312.0 | 390.0 | 466.0 |
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