Prediction 1424
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Bahia |
Description:
Validation 3 (NegBinom Baseline model)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-07 | 183.0 | 38.0 | 52.0 | 72.0 | 116.0 | 274.0 | 376.0 | 448.0 | 516.0 |
| 2024-10-14 | 190.0 | 44.0 | 59.0 | 79.0 | 123.0 | 277.0 | 375.0 | 442.0 | 507.0 |
| 2024-10-21 | 186.0 | 47.0 | 61.0 | 80.0 | 123.0 | 267.0 | 357.0 | 419.0 | 478.0 |
| 2024-10-28 | 182.0 | 38.0 | 52.0 | 72.0 | 115.0 | 271.0 | 371.0 | 442.0 | 509.0 |
| 2024-11-04 | 199.0 | 37.0 | 51.0 | 73.0 | 122.0 | 304.0 | 425.0 | 510.0 | 591.0 |
| 2024-11-11 | 209.0 | 42.0 | 58.0 | 80.0 | 131.0 | 314.0 | 433.0 | 516.0 | 596.0 |
| 2024-11-18 | 230.0 | 40.0 | 57.0 | 81.0 | 139.0 | 355.0 | 499.0 | 601.0 | 699.0 |
| 2024-11-25 | 252.0 | 33.0 | 49.0 | 76.0 | 141.0 | 410.0 | 598.0 | 733.0 | 863.0 |
| 2024-12-02 | 269.0 | 34.0 | 52.0 | 80.0 | 150.0 | 441.0 | 646.0 | 793.0 | 936.0 |
| 2024-12-09 | 254.0 | 35.0 | 52.0 | 78.0 | 144.0 | 411.0 | 597.0 | 730.0 | 859.0 |
| 2024-12-16 | 220.0 | 29.0 | 44.0 | 67.0 | 124.0 | 356.0 | 518.0 | 634.0 | 747.0 |
| 2024-12-23 | 217.0 | 19.0 | 32.0 | 54.0 | 111.0 | 377.0 | 573.0 | 715.0 | 856.0 |
| 2024-12-30 | 430.0 | 84.0 | 115.0 | 161.0 | 266.0 | 651.0 | 904.0 | 1081.0 | 1251.0 |
| 2025-01-06 | 508.0 | 79.0 | 114.0 | 168.0 | 297.0 | 804.0 | 1150.0 | 1395.0 | 1633.0 |
| 2025-01-13 | 598.0 | 120.0 | 164.0 | 228.0 | 373.0 | 901.0 | 1246.0 | 1487.0 | 1719.0 |
| 2025-01-20 | 709.0 | 114.0 | 163.0 | 239.0 | 418.0 | 1114.0 | 1586.0 | 1921.0 | 2245.0 |
| 2025-01-27 | 893.0 | 108.0 | 165.0 | 257.0 | 490.0 | 1476.0 | 2175.0 | 2678.0 | 3168.0 |
| 2025-02-03 | 1030.0 | 84.0 | 140.0 | 239.0 | 514.0 | 1821.0 | 2803.0 | 3522.0 | 4230.0 |
| 2025-02-10 | 1196.0 | 110.0 | 179.0 | 297.0 | 615.0 | 2071.0 | 3146.0 | 3929.0 | 4697.0 |
| 2025-02-17 | 1355.0 | 149.0 | 233.0 | 370.0 | 726.0 | 2278.0 | 3396.0 | 4204.0 | 4993.0 |
| 2025-02-24 | 1497.0 | 187.0 | 284.0 | 439.0 | 828.0 | 2462.0 | 3615.0 | 4444.0 | 5251.0 |
| 2025-03-03 | 1633.0 | 228.0 | 337.0 | 508.0 | 928.0 | 2635.0 | 3822.0 | 4669.0 | 5492.0 |
| 2025-03-10 | 1756.0 | 267.0 | 387.0 | 572.0 | 1019.0 | 2791.0 | 4006.0 | 4870.0 | 5706.0 |
| 2025-03-17 | 1769.0 | 271.0 | 392.0 | 579.0 | 1028.0 | 2807.0 | 4024.0 | 4890.0 | 5728.0 |
| 2025-03-24 | 1733.0 | 259.0 | 377.0 | 560.0 | 1001.0 | 2761.0 | 3971.0 | 4832.0 | 5666.0 |
| 2025-03-31 | 1892.0 | 312.0 | 444.0 | 646.0 | 1121.0 | 2961.0 | 4206.0 | 5088.0 | 5939.0 |
| 2025-04-07 | 1887.0 | 310.0 | 442.0 | 643.0 | 1117.0 | 2955.0 | 4199.0 | 5080.0 | 5931.0 |
| 2025-04-14 | 1806.0 | 283.0 | 407.0 | 599.0 | 1056.0 | 2853.0 | 4079.0 | 4950.0 | 5791.0 |
| 2025-04-21 | 1770.0 | 271.0 | 392.0 | 580.0 | 1029.0 | 2808.0 | 4026.0 | 4892.0 | 5730.0 |
| 2025-04-28 | 1755.0 | 266.0 | 386.0 | 572.0 | 1018.0 | 2790.0 | 4004.0 | 4869.0 | 5705.0 |
| 2025-05-05 | 1705.0 | 250.0 | 366.0 | 545.0 | 981.0 | 2726.0 | 3929.0 | 4786.0 | 5617.0 |
| 2025-05-12 | 1524.0 | 195.0 | 294.0 | 453.0 | 848.0 | 2496.0 | 3656.0 | 4489.0 | 5299.0 |
| 2025-05-19 | 1323.0 | 141.0 | 222.0 | 356.0 | 704.0 | 2237.0 | 3347.0 | 4150.0 | 4935.0 |
| 2025-05-26 | 1203.0 | 112.0 | 182.0 | 301.0 | 620.0 | 2080.0 | 3157.0 | 3942.0 | 4711.0 |
| 2025-06-02 | 1038.0 | 97.0 | 158.0 | 261.0 | 536.0 | 1793.0 | 2719.0 | 3393.0 | 4053.0 |
| 2025-06-09 | 844.0 | 77.0 | 125.0 | 208.0 | 433.0 | 1466.0 | 2231.0 | 2789.0 | 3336.0 |
| 2025-06-16 | 652.0 | 54.0 | 90.0 | 154.0 | 328.0 | 1149.0 | 1764.0 | 2214.0 | 2656.0 |
| 2025-06-23 | 570.0 | 57.0 | 92.0 | 149.0 | 300.0 | 973.0 | 1463.0 | 1819.0 | 2167.0 |
| 2025-06-30 | 561.0 | 50.0 | 82.0 | 137.0 | 286.0 | 977.0 | 1489.0 | 1863.0 | 2230.0 |
| 2025-07-07 | 522.0 | 42.0 | 71.0 | 122.0 | 261.0 | 921.0 | 1417.0 | 1780.0 | 2137.0 |
| 2025-07-14 | 452.0 | 34.0 | 59.0 | 102.0 | 222.0 | 806.0 | 1247.0 | 1572.0 | 1892.0 |
| 2025-07-21 | 388.0 | 39.0 | 62.0 | 101.0 | 203.0 | 662.0 | 996.0 | 1239.0 | 1477.0 |
| 2025-07-28 | 364.0 | 40.0 | 63.0 | 100.0 | 196.0 | 611.0 | 909.0 | 1124.0 | 1334.0 |
| 2025-08-04 | 325.0 | 43.0 | 64.0 | 98.0 | 182.0 | 529.0 | 772.0 | 946.0 | 1115.0 |
| 2025-08-11 | 283.0 | 40.0 | 59.0 | 89.0 | 162.0 | 456.0 | 659.0 | 804.0 | 944.0 |
| 2025-08-18 | 257.0 | 42.0 | 60.0 | 87.0 | 152.0 | 402.0 | 571.0 | 691.0 | 807.0 |
| 2025-08-25 | 240.0 | 32.0 | 48.0 | 74.0 | 136.0 | 389.0 | 565.0 | 690.0 | 813.0 |
| 2025-09-01 | 221.0 | 28.0 | 42.0 | 65.0 | 123.0 | 362.0 | 530.0 | 650.0 | 767.0 |
| 2025-09-08 | 213.0 | 33.0 | 48.0 | 71.0 | 125.0 | 336.0 | 480.0 | 582.0 | 681.0 |
| 2025-09-15 | 201.0 | 34.0 | 48.0 | 70.0 | 120.0 | 312.0 | 440.0 | 531.0 | 618.0 |
| 2025-09-22 | 198.0 | 43.0 | 58.0 | 79.0 | 126.0 | 293.0 | 400.0 | 474.0 | 546.0 |
| 2025-09-29 | 192.0 | 39.0 | 53.0 | 74.0 | 120.0 | 289.0 | 399.0 | 476.0 | 550.0 |
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