Prediction 1426
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Distrito Federal |
Description:
Validation 3 (NegBinom Baseline model)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-07 | 58.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 21.0 | 125.0 | 217.0 | 287.0 | 358.0 |
| 2024-10-14 | 62.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 21.0 | 139.0 | 246.0 | 329.0 | 414.0 |
| 2024-10-21 | 55.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 20.0 | 118.0 | 205.0 | 272.0 | 339.0 |
| 2024-10-28 | 61.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 25.0 | 124.0 | 207.0 | 270.0 | 333.0 |
| 2024-11-04 | 68.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 25.0 | 149.0 | 261.0 | 348.0 | 435.0 |
| 2024-11-11 | 79.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 29.0 | 168.0 | 291.0 | 386.0 | 481.0 |
| 2024-11-18 | 93.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 30.0 | 215.0 | 389.0 | 525.0 | 663.0 |
| 2024-11-25 | 101.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 29.0 | 255.0 | 483.0 | 665.0 | 851.0 |
| 2024-12-02 | 132.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 37.0 | 333.0 | 632.0 | 871.0 | 1116.0 |
| 2024-12-09 | 159.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 41.0 | 424.0 | 828.0 | 1155.0 | 1492.0 |
| 2024-12-16 | 162.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 40.0 | 446.0 | 885.0 | 1243.0 | 1612.0 |
| 2024-12-23 | 170.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 38.0 | 497.0 | 1017.0 | 1444.0 | 1889.0 |
| 2024-12-30 | 286.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 14.0 | 74.0 | 763.0 | 1492.0 | 2080.0 | 2688.0 |
| 2025-01-06 | 310.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 17.0 | 84.0 | 804.0 | 1547.0 | 2143.0 | 2757.0 |
| 2025-01-13 | 364.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 25.0 | 108.0 | 892.0 | 1665.0 | 2278.0 | 2905.0 |
| 2025-01-20 | 407.0 | 4.0 | 12.0 | 33.0 | 129.0 | 961.0 | 1756.0 | 2382.0 | 3019.0 |
| 2025-01-27 | 468.0 | 7.0 | 18.0 | 45.0 | 161.0 | 1056.0 | 1880.0 | 2521.0 | 3172.0 |
| 2025-02-03 | 522.0 | 10.0 | 24.0 | 58.0 | 189.0 | 1136.0 | 1985.0 | 2639.0 | 3301.0 |
| 2025-02-10 | 524.0 | 10.0 | 24.0 | 58.0 | 191.0 | 1140.0 | 1989.0 | 2645.0 | 3307.0 |
| 2025-02-17 | 549.0 | 12.0 | 28.0 | 64.0 | 204.0 | 1177.0 | 2036.0 | 2697.0 | 3364.0 |
| 2025-02-24 | 627.0 | 18.0 | 39.0 | 85.0 | 249.0 | 1292.0 | 2183.0 | 2862.0 | 3544.0 |
| 2025-03-03 | 665.0 | 22.0 | 46.0 | 96.0 | 271.0 | 1346.0 | 2251.0 | 2938.0 | 3626.0 |
| 2025-03-10 | 708.0 | 27.0 | 54.0 | 110.0 | 297.0 | 1408.0 | 2330.0 | 3026.0 | 3721.0 |
| 2025-03-17 | 733.0 | 29.0 | 59.0 | 118.0 | 312.0 | 1443.0 | 2374.0 | 3075.0 | 3775.0 |
| 2025-03-24 | 750.0 | 31.0 | 62.0 | 123.0 | 322.0 | 1467.0 | 2404.0 | 3108.0 | 3811.0 |
| 2025-03-31 | 783.0 | 36.0 | 69.0 | 134.0 | 342.0 | 1513.0 | 2461.0 | 3172.0 | 3880.0 |
| 2025-04-07 | 860.0 | 47.0 | 86.0 | 161.0 | 391.0 | 1620.0 | 2594.0 | 3320.0 | 4040.0 |
| 2025-04-14 | 816.0 | 40.0 | 76.0 | 146.0 | 363.0 | 1558.0 | 2518.0 | 3235.0 | 3948.0 |
| 2025-04-21 | 810.0 | 39.0 | 75.0 | 144.0 | 359.0 | 1551.0 | 2508.0 | 3224.0 | 3937.0 |
| 2025-04-28 | 833.0 | 43.0 | 80.0 | 152.0 | 374.0 | 1583.0 | 2548.0 | 3269.0 | 3985.0 |
| 2025-05-05 | 817.0 | 40.0 | 76.0 | 146.0 | 364.0 | 1560.0 | 2520.0 | 3237.0 | 3951.0 |
| 2025-05-12 | 741.0 | 30.0 | 60.0 | 120.0 | 317.0 | 1455.0 | 2388.0 | 3091.0 | 3792.0 |
| 2025-05-19 | 652.0 | 21.0 | 44.0 | 93.0 | 263.0 | 1327.0 | 2228.0 | 2912.0 | 3598.0 |
| 2025-05-26 | 605.0 | 17.0 | 37.0 | 81.0 | 238.0 | 1253.0 | 2125.0 | 2791.0 | 3459.0 |
| 2025-06-02 | 488.0 | 13.0 | 29.0 | 65.0 | 191.0 | 1011.0 | 1716.0 | 2253.0 | 2793.0 |
| 2025-06-09 | 403.0 | 15.0 | 31.0 | 63.0 | 169.0 | 800.0 | 1323.0 | 1718.0 | 2112.0 |
| 2025-06-16 | 291.0 | 11.0 | 23.0 | 47.0 | 124.0 | 573.0 | 943.0 | 1221.0 | 1499.0 |
| 2025-06-23 | 206.0 | 7.0 | 15.0 | 31.0 | 85.0 | 412.0 | 684.0 | 890.0 | 1095.0 |
| 2025-06-30 | 166.0 | 6.0 | 12.0 | 25.0 | 69.0 | 333.0 | 553.0 | 720.0 | 887.0 |
| 2025-07-07 | 145.0 | 6.0 | 13.0 | 25.0 | 64.0 | 278.0 | 451.0 | 581.0 | 710.0 |
| 2025-07-14 | 122.0 | 6.0 | 12.0 | 23.0 | 56.0 | 229.0 | 365.0 | 467.0 | 568.0 |
| 2025-07-21 | 99.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 17.0 | 43.0 | 191.0 | 310.0 | 399.0 | 488.0 |
| 2025-07-28 | 93.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 15.0 | 40.0 | 181.0 | 296.0 | 382.0 | 468.0 |
| 2025-08-04 | 76.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 11.0 | 32.0 | 151.0 | 249.0 | 324.0 | 398.0 |
| 2025-08-11 | 75.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 12.0 | 32.0 | 147.0 | 243.0 | 314.0 | 386.0 |
| 2025-08-18 | 63.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 24.0 | 130.0 | 220.0 | 288.0 | 357.0 |
| 2025-08-25 | 63.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 23.0 | 136.0 | 236.0 | 313.0 | 390.0 |
| 2025-09-01 | 64.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 22.0 | 146.0 | 261.0 | 350.0 | 440.0 |
| 2025-09-08 | 71.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 26.0 | 153.0 | 264.0 | 350.0 | 436.0 |
| 2025-09-15 | 61.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 21.0 | 139.0 | 249.0 | 335.0 | 421.0 |
| 2025-09-22 | 72.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 27.0 | 151.0 | 257.0 | 339.0 | 421.0 |
| 2025-09-29 | 63.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 22.0 | 140.0 | 248.0 | 331.0 | 415.0 |
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