Prediction 1427
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Espírito Santo |
Description:
Validation 3 (NegBinom Baseline model)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-07 | 96.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 22.0 | 277.0 | 561.0 | 794.0 | 1036.0 |
| 2024-10-14 | 110.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 27.0 | 298.0 | 587.0 | 822.0 | 1065.0 |
| 2024-10-21 | 107.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 27.0 | 290.0 | 570.0 | 798.0 | 1032.0 |
| 2024-10-28 | 117.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 31.0 | 305.0 | 589.0 | 817.0 | 1052.0 |
| 2024-11-04 | 136.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 38.0 | 347.0 | 661.0 | 912.0 | 1170.0 |
| 2024-11-11 | 131.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 38.0 | 325.0 | 611.0 | 838.0 | 1071.0 |
| 2024-11-18 | 152.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 | 44.0 | 380.0 | 716.0 | 984.0 | 1259.0 |
| 2024-11-25 | 182.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 13.0 | 55.0 | 441.0 | 819.0 | 1119.0 | 1425.0 |
| 2024-12-02 | 202.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 12.0 | 57.0 | 509.0 | 965.0 | 1329.0 | 1703.0 |
| 2024-12-09 | 216.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 14.0 | 63.0 | 537.0 | 1008.0 | 1382.0 | 1765.0 |
| 2024-12-16 | 217.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 17.0 | 69.0 | 513.0 | 936.0 | 1269.0 | 1609.0 |
| 2024-12-23 | 246.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 21.0 | 81.0 | 571.0 | 1033.0 | 1395.0 | 1763.0 |
| 2024-12-30 | 207.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 43.0 | 625.0 | 1301.0 | 1861.0 | 2446.0 |
| 2025-01-06 | 320.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 18.0 | 89.0 | 821.0 | 1570.0 | 2170.0 | 2787.0 |
| 2025-01-13 | 321.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 19.0 | 89.0 | 823.0 | 1573.0 | 2173.0 | 2790.0 |
| 2025-01-20 | 326.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 19.0 | 91.0 | 831.0 | 1584.0 | 2185.0 | 2803.0 |
| 2025-01-27 | 333.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 20.0 | 94.0 | 842.0 | 1598.0 | 2201.0 | 2821.0 |
| 2025-02-03 | 349.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 23.0 | 102.0 | 869.0 | 1634.0 | 2243.0 | 2866.0 |
| 2025-02-10 | 388.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 | 29.0 | 120.0 | 932.0 | 1718.0 | 2338.0 | 2971.0 |
| 2025-02-17 | 410.0 | 4.0 | 12.0 | 33.0 | 131.0 | 965.0 | 1762.0 | 2388.0 | 3026.0 |
| 2025-02-24 | 463.0 | 7.0 | 17.0 | 44.0 | 158.0 | 1048.0 | 1870.0 | 2510.0 | 3160.0 |
| 2025-03-03 | 499.0 | 9.0 | 21.0 | 52.0 | 177.0 | 1102.0 | 1941.0 | 2590.0 | 3247.0 |
| 2025-03-10 | 530.0 | 11.0 | 25.0 | 59.0 | 193.0 | 1148.0 | 2000.0 | 2656.0 | 3319.0 |
| 2025-03-17 | 517.0 | 10.0 | 24.0 | 57.0 | 187.0 | 1130.0 | 1976.0 | 2630.0 | 3291.0 |
| 2025-03-24 | 545.0 | 12.0 | 27.0 | 63.0 | 202.0 | 1172.0 | 2030.0 | 2690.0 | 3356.0 |
| 2025-03-31 | 540.0 | 11.0 | 26.0 | 62.0 | 199.0 | 1163.0 | 2019.0 | 2678.0 | 3343.0 |
| 2025-04-07 | 529.0 | 11.0 | 25.0 | 59.0 | 193.0 | 1148.0 | 1999.0 | 2656.0 | 3319.0 |
| 2025-04-14 | 516.0 | 10.0 | 23.0 | 56.0 | 186.0 | 1129.0 | 1974.0 | 2628.0 | 3288.0 |
| 2025-04-21 | 500.0 | 9.0 | 21.0 | 52.0 | 178.0 | 1104.0 | 1943.0 | 2593.0 | 3250.0 |
| 2025-04-28 | 491.0 | 8.0 | 20.0 | 50.0 | 173.0 | 1090.0 | 1925.0 | 2572.0 | 3228.0 |
| 2025-05-05 | 486.0 | 8.0 | 20.0 | 49.0 | 170.0 | 1083.0 | 1915.0 | 2561.0 | 3216.0 |
| 2025-05-12 | 435.0 | 5.0 | 14.0 | 38.0 | 143.0 | 1004.0 | 1813.0 | 2446.0 | 3089.0 |
| 2025-05-19 | 385.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 | 29.0 | 119.0 | 926.0 | 1710.0 | 2329.0 | 2961.0 |
| 2025-05-26 | 369.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 26.0 | 111.0 | 901.0 | 1677.0 | 2291.0 | 2920.0 |
| 2025-06-02 | 344.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 22.0 | 99.0 | 860.0 | 1623.0 | 2230.0 | 2853.0 |
| 2025-06-09 | 333.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 20.0 | 94.0 | 842.0 | 1598.0 | 2201.0 | 2821.0 |
| 2025-06-16 | 282.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 13.0 | 72.0 | 756.0 | 1483.0 | 2070.0 | 2677.0 |
| 2025-06-23 | 227.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 50.0 | 660.0 | 1351.0 | 1919.0 | 2509.0 |
| 2025-06-30 | 202.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 41.0 | 615.0 | 1288.0 | 1846.0 | 2429.0 |
| 2025-07-07 | 181.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 34.0 | 575.0 | 1231.0 | 1780.0 | 2356.0 |
| 2025-07-14 | 160.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 33.0 | 484.0 | 1009.0 | 1444.0 | 1899.0 |
| 2025-07-21 | 151.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 32.0 | 451.0 | 935.0 | 1335.0 | 1751.0 |
| 2025-07-28 | 145.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 32.0 | 427.0 | 877.0 | 1248.0 | 1634.0 |
| 2025-08-04 | 131.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 30.0 | 377.0 | 766.0 | 1085.0 | 1417.0 |
| 2025-08-11 | 121.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 30.0 | 331.0 | 656.0 | 919.0 | 1191.0 |
| 2025-08-18 | 110.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 26.0 | 311.0 | 627.0 | 885.0 | 1152.0 |
| 2025-08-25 | 100.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 25.0 | 273.0 | 540.0 | 755.0 | 978.0 |
| 2025-09-01 | 92.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 22.0 | 254.0 | 507.0 | 712.0 | 925.0 |
| 2025-09-08 | 109.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 26.0 | 305.0 | 611.0 | 861.0 | 1120.0 |
| 2025-09-15 | 101.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 24.0 | 283.0 | 570.0 | 803.0 | 1046.0 |
| 2025-09-22 | 94.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 21.0 | 272.0 | 553.0 | 784.0 | 1024.0 |
| 2025-09-29 | 98.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 21.0 | 293.0 | 606.0 | 864.0 | 1133.0 |
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