Prediction 1428
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Goiás |
Description:
Validation 3 (NegBinom Baseline model)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-07 | 462.0 | 203.0 | 236.0 | 277.0 | 357.0 | 586.0 | 714.0 | 799.0 | 878.0 |
| 2024-10-14 | 509.0 | 225.0 | 261.0 | 306.0 | 393.0 | 645.0 | 786.0 | 879.0 | 965.0 |
| 2024-10-21 | 497.0 | 240.0 | 273.0 | 315.0 | 394.0 | 616.0 | 737.0 | 817.0 | 890.0 |
| 2024-10-28 | 496.0 | 209.0 | 244.0 | 290.0 | 378.0 | 637.0 | 783.0 | 880.0 | 971.0 |
| 2024-11-04 | 592.0 | 248.0 | 290.0 | 344.0 | 451.0 | 761.0 | 937.0 | 1054.0 | 1162.0 |
| 2024-11-11 | 641.0 | 251.0 | 298.0 | 358.0 | 478.0 | 837.0 | 1043.0 | 1181.0 | 1309.0 |
| 2024-11-18 | 735.0 | 258.0 | 313.0 | 385.0 | 532.0 | 985.0 | 1251.0 | 1431.0 | 1600.0 |
| 2024-11-25 | 799.0 | 234.0 | 294.0 | 377.0 | 550.0 | 1114.0 | 1459.0 | 1694.0 | 1917.0 |
| 2024-12-02 | 905.0 | 261.0 | 329.0 | 423.0 | 620.0 | 1267.0 | 1664.0 | 1936.0 | 2192.0 |
| 2024-12-09 | 892.0 | 278.0 | 345.0 | 436.0 | 624.0 | 1228.0 | 1593.0 | 1842.0 | 2076.0 |
| 2024-12-16 | 714.0 | 217.0 | 271.0 | 345.0 | 497.0 | 987.0 | 1285.0 | 1487.0 | 1679.0 |
| 2024-12-23 | 713.0 | 156.0 | 209.0 | 285.0 | 454.0 | 1056.0 | 1444.0 | 1714.0 | 1972.0 |
| 2024-12-30 | 1776.0 | 282.0 | 405.0 | 594.0 | 1042.0 | 2800.0 | 3996.0 | 4845.0 | 5666.0 |
| 2025-01-06 | 2053.0 | 369.0 | 516.0 | 735.0 | 1243.0 | 3161.0 | 4441.0 | 5343.0 | 6211.0 |
| 2025-01-13 | 2370.0 | 491.0 | 665.0 | 918.0 | 1488.0 | 3550.0 | 4894.0 | 5834.0 | 6734.0 |
| 2025-01-20 | 2654.0 | 610.0 | 807.0 | 1090.0 | 1711.0 | 3896.0 | 5294.0 | 6266.0 | 7192.0 |
| 2025-01-27 | 3100.0 | 810.0 | 1043.0 | 1369.0 | 2068.0 | 4432.0 | 5909.0 | 6927.0 | 7893.0 |
| 2025-02-03 | 3181.0 | 848.0 | 1087.0 | 1421.0 | 2134.0 | 4528.0 | 6019.0 | 7044.0 | 8018.0 |
| 2025-02-10 | 3245.0 | 878.0 | 1123.0 | 1463.0 | 2185.0 | 4604.0 | 6106.0 | 7137.0 | 8116.0 |
| 2025-02-17 | 3303.0 | 906.0 | 1155.0 | 1501.0 | 2233.0 | 4673.0 | 6185.0 | 7222.0 | 8206.0 |
| 2025-02-24 | 3517.0 | 1011.0 | 1276.0 | 1641.0 | 2408.0 | 4926.0 | 6473.0 | 7531.0 | 8532.0 |
| 2025-03-03 | 3617.0 | 1061.0 | 1334.0 | 1707.0 | 2490.0 | 5044.0 | 6606.0 | 7674.0 | 8683.0 |
| 2025-03-10 | 3794.0 | 1152.0 | 1437.0 | 1826.0 | 2636.0 | 5253.0 | 6843.0 | 7927.0 | 8950.0 |
| 2025-03-17 | 3802.0 | 1155.0 | 1441.0 | 1831.0 | 2642.0 | 5262.0 | 6853.0 | 7938.0 | 8961.0 |
| 2025-03-24 | 3629.0 | 1068.0 | 1341.0 | 1716.0 | 2500.0 | 5059.0 | 6623.0 | 7692.0 | 8702.0 |
| 2025-03-31 | 3835.0 | 1173.0 | 1461.0 | 1854.0 | 2670.0 | 5301.0 | 6897.0 | 7985.0 | 9011.0 |
| 2025-04-07 | 3757.0 | 1132.0 | 1415.0 | 1801.0 | 2605.0 | 5209.0 | 6794.0 | 7874.0 | 8894.0 |
| 2025-04-14 | 3649.0 | 1077.0 | 1352.0 | 1729.0 | 2516.0 | 5082.0 | 6649.0 | 7720.0 | 8731.0 |
| 2025-04-21 | 3623.0 | 1065.0 | 1338.0 | 1712.0 | 2495.0 | 5052.0 | 6616.0 | 7684.0 | 8693.0 |
| 2025-04-28 | 3641.0 | 1073.0 | 1348.0 | 1723.0 | 2509.0 | 5072.0 | 6639.0 | 7708.0 | 8719.0 |
| 2025-05-05 | 3333.0 | 921.0 | 1172.0 | 1520.0 | 2257.0 | 4708.0 | 6225.0 | 7265.0 | 8251.0 |
| 2025-05-12 | 2914.0 | 724.0 | 943.0 | 1251.0 | 1919.0 | 4209.0 | 5654.0 | 6653.0 | 7603.0 |
| 2025-05-19 | 2403.0 | 504.0 | 681.0 | 938.0 | 1514.0 | 3591.0 | 4942.0 | 5885.0 | 6788.0 |
| 2025-05-26 | 2038.0 | 364.0 | 509.0 | 726.0 | 1231.0 | 3143.0 | 4419.0 | 5319.0 | 6186.0 |
| 2025-06-02 | 1810.0 | 284.0 | 409.0 | 601.0 | 1059.0 | 2859.0 | 4086.0 | 4957.0 | 5800.0 |
| 2025-06-09 | 1530.0 | 256.0 | 363.0 | 526.0 | 909.0 | 2388.0 | 3386.0 | 4092.0 | 4774.0 |
| 2025-06-16 | 1248.0 | 248.0 | 339.0 | 473.0 | 775.0 | 1884.0 | 2611.0 | 3120.0 | 3609.0 |
| 2025-06-23 | 875.0 | 193.0 | 258.0 | 351.0 | 558.0 | 1295.0 | 1769.0 | 2099.0 | 2415.0 |
| 2025-06-30 | 728.0 | 202.0 | 257.0 | 333.0 | 494.0 | 1026.0 | 1355.0 | 1581.0 | 1795.0 |
| 2025-07-07 | 619.0 | 182.0 | 229.0 | 293.0 | 427.0 | 863.0 | 1129.0 | 1311.0 | 1483.0 |
| 2025-07-14 | 543.0 | 162.0 | 203.0 | 259.0 | 376.0 | 754.0 | 985.0 | 1142.0 | 1290.0 |
| 2025-07-21 | 463.0 | 158.0 | 192.0 | 238.0 | 332.0 | 624.0 | 797.0 | 914.0 | 1024.0 |
| 2025-07-28 | 460.0 | 173.0 | 207.0 | 251.0 | 340.0 | 607.0 | 762.0 | 866.0 | 963.0 |
| 2025-08-04 | 427.0 | 169.0 | 200.0 | 241.0 | 320.0 | 556.0 | 691.0 | 781.0 | 865.0 |
| 2025-08-11 | 438.0 | 173.0 | 204.0 | 246.0 | 327.0 | 570.0 | 710.0 | 803.0 | 890.0 |
| 2025-08-18 | 397.0 | 163.0 | 192.0 | 228.0 | 301.0 | 513.0 | 634.0 | 714.0 | 789.0 |
| 2025-08-25 | 375.0 | 128.0 | 156.0 | 193.0 | 269.0 | 505.0 | 645.0 | 740.0 | 828.0 |
| 2025-09-01 | 373.0 | 124.0 | 152.0 | 189.0 | 266.0 | 506.0 | 649.0 | 746.0 | 836.0 |
| 2025-09-08 | 410.0 | 150.0 | 180.0 | 220.0 | 300.0 | 543.0 | 685.0 | 781.0 | 870.0 |
| 2025-09-15 | 425.0 | 151.0 | 183.0 | 225.0 | 309.0 | 567.0 | 719.0 | 822.0 | 917.0 |
| 2025-09-22 | 432.0 | 167.0 | 199.0 | 240.0 | 321.0 | 565.0 | 705.0 | 799.0 | 887.0 |
| 2025-09-29 | 473.0 | 189.0 | 224.0 | 268.0 | 355.0 | 614.0 | 762.0 | 861.0 | 953.0 |
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