Prediction 1430
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Minas Gerais |
Description:
Validation 3 (NegBinom Baseline model)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-07 | 211.0 | 26.0 | 39.0 | 61.0 | 116.0 | 347.0 | 511.0 | 628.0 | 742.0 |
| 2024-10-14 | 257.0 | 32.0 | 49.0 | 76.0 | 143.0 | 422.0 | 619.0 | 760.0 | 898.0 |
| 2024-10-21 | 267.0 | 28.0 | 45.0 | 72.0 | 142.0 | 450.0 | 671.0 | 832.0 | 988.0 |
| 2024-10-28 | 285.0 | 30.0 | 48.0 | 77.0 | 152.0 | 480.0 | 717.0 | 889.0 | 1056.0 |
| 2024-11-04 | 347.0 | 23.0 | 40.0 | 72.0 | 165.0 | 635.0 | 998.0 | 1266.0 | 1531.0 |
| 2024-11-11 | 366.0 | 21.0 | 39.0 | 72.0 | 170.0 | 680.0 | 1080.0 | 1377.0 | 1671.0 |
| 2024-11-18 | 492.0 | 24.0 | 46.0 | 89.0 | 220.0 | 937.0 | 1512.0 | 1941.0 | 2367.0 |
| 2024-11-25 | 544.0 | 21.0 | 42.0 | 85.0 | 229.0 | 1078.0 | 1780.0 | 2310.0 | 2839.0 |
| 2024-12-02 | 658.0 | 27.0 | 53.0 | 107.0 | 281.0 | 1290.0 | 2118.0 | 2742.0 | 3364.0 |
| 2024-12-09 | 722.0 | 28.0 | 56.0 | 114.0 | 305.0 | 1427.0 | 2353.0 | 3052.0 | 3750.0 |
| 2024-12-16 | 703.0 | 26.0 | 53.0 | 108.0 | 294.0 | 1400.0 | 2320.0 | 3015.0 | 3710.0 |
| 2024-12-23 | 691.0 | 25.0 | 51.0 | 105.0 | 287.0 | 1384.0 | 2299.0 | 2992.0 | 3685.0 |
| 2024-12-30 | 1454.0 | 176.0 | 268.0 | 418.0 | 798.0 | 2407.0 | 3550.0 | 4373.0 | 5174.0 |
| 2025-01-06 | 1883.0 | 309.0 | 441.0 | 641.0 | 1114.0 | 2950.0 | 4193.0 | 5074.0 | 5924.0 |
| 2025-01-13 | 2253.0 | 445.0 | 609.0 | 849.0 | 1397.0 | 3407.0 | 4728.0 | 5654.0 | 6543.0 |
| 2025-01-20 | 2594.0 | 584.0 | 776.0 | 1053.0 | 1664.0 | 3823.0 | 5210.0 | 6175.0 | 7096.0 |
| 2025-01-27 | 3033.0 | 779.0 | 1007.0 | 1327.0 | 2014.0 | 4352.0 | 5817.0 | 6828.0 | 7789.0 |
| 2025-02-03 | 3337.0 | 923.0 | 1174.0 | 1523.0 | 2260.0 | 4713.0 | 6230.0 | 7271.0 | 8257.0 |
| 2025-02-10 | 3812.0 | 1161.0 | 1447.0 | 1838.0 | 2650.0 | 5274.0 | 6866.0 | 7952.0 | 8976.0 |
| 2025-02-17 | 4216.0 | 1373.0 | 1689.0 | 2115.0 | 2987.0 | 5746.0 | 7400.0 | 8522.0 | 9577.0 |
| 2025-02-24 | 4834.0 | 1715.0 | 2072.0 | 2548.0 | 3506.0 | 6463.0 | 8205.0 | 9378.0 | 10477.0 |
| 2025-03-03 | 5458.0 | 2075.0 | 2473.0 | 2997.0 | 4037.0 | 7180.0 | 9005.0 | 10227.0 | 11368.0 |
| 2025-03-10 | 6115.0 | 2470.0 | 2908.0 | 3479.0 | 4602.0 | 7929.0 | 9836.0 | 11107.0 | 12290.0 |
| 2025-03-17 | 6377.0 | 2631.0 | 3085.0 | 3675.0 | 4829.0 | 8227.0 | 10166.0 | 11456.0 | 12655.0 |
| 2025-03-24 | 6432.0 | 2665.0 | 3123.0 | 3716.0 | 4876.0 | 8289.0 | 10234.0 | 11528.0 | 12731.0 |
| 2025-03-31 | 7189.0 | 3143.0 | 3643.0 | 4288.0 | 5535.0 | 9144.0 | 11177.0 | 12523.0 | 13770.0 |
| 2025-04-07 | 7327.0 | 3232.0 | 3740.0 | 4393.0 | 5656.0 | 9300.0 | 11349.0 | 12703.0 | 13958.0 |
| 2025-04-14 | 7010.0 | 3029.0 | 3520.0 | 4152.0 | 5379.0 | 8943.0 | 10956.0 | 12289.0 | 13526.0 |
| 2025-04-21 | 6536.0 | 2730.0 | 3194.0 | 3794.0 | 4967.0 | 8408.0 | 10365.0 | 11666.0 | 12875.0 |
| 2025-04-28 | 5948.0 | 2369.0 | 2797.0 | 3356.0 | 4458.0 | 7740.0 | 9627.0 | 10885.0 | 12058.0 |
| 2025-05-05 | 5091.0 | 1862.0 | 2236.0 | 2732.0 | 3725.0 | 6759.0 | 8536.0 | 9729.0 | 10846.0 |
| 2025-05-12 | 4116.0 | 1320.0 | 1628.0 | 2045.0 | 2903.0 | 5629.0 | 7268.0 | 8381.0 | 9428.0 |
| 2025-05-19 | 3076.0 | 799.0 | 1030.0 | 1354.0 | 2049.0 | 4403.0 | 5877.0 | 6892.0 | 7856.0 |
| 2025-05-26 | 2380.0 | 495.0 | 670.0 | 924.0 | 1496.0 | 3564.0 | 4910.0 | 5851.0 | 6752.0 |
| 2025-06-02 | 1877.0 | 307.0 | 438.0 | 637.0 | 1109.0 | 2942.0 | 4184.0 | 5064.0 | 5914.0 |
| 2025-06-09 | 1459.0 | 177.0 | 270.0 | 421.0 | 801.0 | 2414.0 | 3558.0 | 4381.0 | 5183.0 |
| 2025-06-16 | 1094.0 | 88.0 | 148.0 | 254.0 | 545.0 | 1937.0 | 2983.0 | 3750.0 | 4505.0 |
| 2025-06-23 | 750.0 | 46.0 | 83.0 | 151.0 | 351.0 | 1386.0 | 2193.0 | 2791.0 | 3382.0 |
| 2025-06-30 | 570.0 | 41.0 | 71.0 | 124.0 | 277.0 | 1026.0 | 1598.0 | 2020.0 | 2435.0 |
| 2025-07-07 | 438.0 | 50.0 | 78.0 | 122.0 | 237.0 | 731.0 | 1085.0 | 1340.0 | 1588.0 |
| 2025-07-14 | 343.0 | 43.0 | 65.0 | 101.0 | 190.0 | 562.0 | 824.0 | 1013.0 | 1195.0 |
| 2025-07-21 | 283.0 | 39.0 | 58.0 | 88.0 | 161.0 | 457.0 | 662.0 | 809.0 | 951.0 |
| 2025-07-28 | 246.0 | 37.0 | 54.0 | 80.0 | 143.0 | 390.0 | 560.0 | 680.0 | 797.0 |
| 2025-08-04 | 221.0 | 34.0 | 49.0 | 73.0 | 129.0 | 350.0 | 500.0 | 607.0 | 710.0 |
| 2025-08-11 | 208.0 | 36.0 | 50.0 | 73.0 | 125.0 | 323.0 | 456.0 | 550.0 | 641.0 |
| 2025-08-18 | 196.0 | 36.0 | 51.0 | 72.0 | 120.0 | 300.0 | 418.0 | 502.0 | 582.0 |
| 2025-08-25 | 176.0 | 30.0 | 42.0 | 61.0 | 105.0 | 273.0 | 386.0 | 466.0 | 543.0 |
| 2025-09-01 | 183.0 | 40.0 | 53.0 | 73.0 | 116.0 | 270.0 | 369.0 | 437.0 | 503.0 |
| 2025-09-08 | 211.0 | 37.0 | 53.0 | 75.0 | 127.0 | 324.0 | 456.0 | 548.0 | 637.0 |
| 2025-09-15 | 208.0 | 34.0 | 49.0 | 71.0 | 123.0 | 325.0 | 461.0 | 557.0 | 650.0 |
| 2025-09-22 | 207.0 | 39.0 | 54.0 | 76.0 | 127.0 | 316.0 | 441.0 | 528.0 | 612.0 |
| 2025-09-29 | 212.0 | 29.0 | 43.0 | 65.0 | 120.0 | 342.0 | 496.0 | 607.0 | 714.0 |
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